Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Yokohama F·Marinos

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Fri 15 Sep 2023 · 10:30 UTC Nissan Stadium 7,771 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 87' Yoichi Naganuma

Kaina Yoshio 90' 1–1

Y 58' Yoichi Naganuma

Katsuya Nagato 72' Y

Y 90' Il-kyu Park

Overview

Match Preview

Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Nissan Stadium.

Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Masuya Ueda
Assistant 1 Naoya Okawa

3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Yokohama F·Marinos 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos

Recent Form

Yokohama F·Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
02 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–2	L
26 Aug	Yokohama FC	A	1–4	L
19 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	2–1	W
12 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	2–1	W
06 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
02 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

46% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F·Marinos

0-15

5/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

4/–

61-75

1/5

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Yokohama F·Marinos

Kaina Tanimura	7 G	1 A
Shin Miidera	2 G
Taisei Inoue	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Yokohama F.Marinos in their 4-2-1-3 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuhi Murakami is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Akito Fukuta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
25' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
30' Jun Nishikawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
40' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Kota Watanabe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
50' Taichi Kikuchi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yoichi Naganuma on 58 minutes.
63' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kevin Muscat might look to freshen things up shortly.
64' Fresh legs for Yokohama F.Marinos! Takuma Nishimura comes on to replace Tae-Hee Nam.
67' Jun Nishikawa makes way for Cayman Togashi at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
72' Katsuya Nagato catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
77' Yokohama F.Marinos make a change. Riku Yamane trudges off to be replaced by Takuya Kida on 77 minutes.
82' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
83' Katsuya Nagato makes way for Kaina Yoshio at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Yokohama F.Marinos.
84' Ayumu Yokoyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuto Iwasaki on 84 minute.
87' Yoichi Naganuma adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
90' What composure from Kaina Yoshio! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
90' The referee calls foul for Il-kyu Park. He receives a card.
90' Akito Fukuta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taichi Kikuchi at the 90 minute mark.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Yokohama F.Marinos 1-1 Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kevin Muscat

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 67'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 90'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
31
Masahiro Okamoto
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 67'
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 84'
38
Shota Hino ↑ 84'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Victor Ibarbo	1
Ryoya Morishita	1

Head to Head

Yokohama F·Marinos Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-08-26 Yokohama FC 4–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-08-19 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 FC Tokyo W 2023-08-12 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 Gamba Osaka W 2023-08-06 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Yokohama F·Marinos D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Yokohama F·Marinos xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Yokohama F·Marinos50% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Yokohama F·Marinos or Draw

77%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

50%

Yokohama F·Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Yokohama F·Marinos33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.2%

0 – 0

10.2%

2 – 0

8.9%

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Yokohama F·Marinos

Handicap	Yokohama F·Marinos covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.