Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Yokohama F·Marinos

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Fri 15 Sep 2023 · 10:30 UTC Nissan Stadium 7,771 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 87' Yoichi Naganuma

Kaina Yoshio 90' 1–1

Y 58' Yoichi Naganuma

Katsuya Nagato 72' Y

Y 90' Il-kyu Park

Overview

Match Preview

Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Nissan Stadium.

Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Masuya Ueda
Assistant 1 Naoya Okawa

11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Yokohama F·Marinos 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos

Recent Form

Yokohama F·Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
02 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–2	L
26 Aug	Yokohama FC	A	1–4	L
19 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	2–1	W
12 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	2–1	W
06 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–1	D
02 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F·Marinos

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

3/2

46-60

5/1

61-75

3/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Yokohama F·Marinos have won 556 goals from 302 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosuke Yamazaki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Yokohama F·Marinos.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kota Mizunuma, as he is very good at scoring at Nissan Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
20' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' Yokohama F·Marinos is showing some good football. However, Yokohama F·Marinos are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
30' Yuhi Murakami has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 302 appearances.
35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
40' Akito Fukuta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
55' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
58' It’s gonna be a card for Yoichi Naganuma.
63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Yokohama F·Marinos side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
64' The crowd applauds Tae-Hee Nam as he leaves the pitch. Takuma Nishimura steps in for Yokohama F.Marinos.
67' Jun Nishikawa makes way for Cayman Togashi at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
72' The referee shows Yokohama F.Marinos player a card on 72.
77' Yokohama F.Marinos ring the changes. Riku Yamane has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Kida to step up.
82' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
83' The supporters are chanting for Kaina Yoshio. He replaces Katsuya Nagato on 83 minute.
84' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ayumu Yokoyama on, Yuto Iwasaki off on 84 minutes.
87' What a strike from Yoichi Naganuma! The score is 0-1.
90' What an equalizer from Kaina Yoshio!
90' Il-kyu Park catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
90' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Akito Fukuta on, Taichi Kikuchi off on 90 minutes.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kevin Muscat

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 67'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 90'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
31
Masahiro Okamoto
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 67'
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 84'
38
Shota Hino ↑ 84'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Victor Ibarbo	1
Ryoya Morishita	1

Head to Head

Yokohama F·Marinos Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-08-26 Yokohama FC 4–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-08-19 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 FC Tōkyō W 2023-08-12 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 Gamba Osaka W 2023-08-06 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Yokohama F·Marinos D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Yokohama F·Marinos xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Yokohama F·Marinos50% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Yokohama F·Marinos or Draw

77%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

50%

Yokohama F·Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Yokohama F·Marinos33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.2%

0 – 0

10.2%

2 – 0

8.9%

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Yokohama F·Marinos

Handicap	Yokohama F·Marinos covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.