Thursday , 2 July 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium 7,647 HT 45' · FT 45'
Wellington 84' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Haruhiro Otsuka
  • Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 7.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
03 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–1 W
26 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
18 Aug Albirex Niigata H 0–1 L
12 Aug Yokohama FC H 2–0 W
06 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
02 Sep Yokohama FC H 1–1 D
26 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–3 L
18 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
13 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
05 Aug Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus
#10 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 46
59 Conceded 44
-10 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Best Denki Stadium that hosts another battle between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yudai Kimura scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Yuya Yamagishi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 6 goals this season.
  • 25' Japan international Itsuki Oda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 26' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryuji Izumi.
  • 31' Sho Inagaki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Avispa Fukuoka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 64' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 64 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Naoki Maeda.
  • 69' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Kazuya Konno trudges off to be replaced by Wellington on 69 minutes.
  • 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' Taika Nakashima is replacing Kasper Junker for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 79' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masato Yuzawa is hanging Itsuki Oda on the field on 79 minute.
  • 81' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 81 minute. Ryuji Izumi leaves to be changed by Haruki Yoshida.
  • 84' What a strike from Wellington! The score is 1-0.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Tatsuki Nara argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Reiju Tsuruno is hanging Takeshi Kanamori on the field on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Avispa Fukuoka is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.33 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka44% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
66%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka34% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.1%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 12% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 17% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 16% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 11% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.