Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Haruhiro Otsuka
- Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura
4 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 46 |
| 59 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Best Denki Stadium that hosts another battle between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yudai Kimura scoring 1 goals.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Yuya Yamagishi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 6 goals this season.
- 25' Japan international Itsuki Oda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 26' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryuji Izumi.
- 31' Sho Inagaki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 36' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Avispa Fukuoka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 64' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 64 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Naoki Maeda.
- 69' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Kazuya Konno trudges off to be replaced by Wellington on 69 minutes.
- 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 76' Taika Nakashima is replacing Kasper Junker for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 79' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masato Yuzawa is hanging Itsuki Oda on the field on 79 minute.
- 81' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 81 minute. Ryuji Izumi leaves to be changed by Haruki Yoshida.
- 84' What a strike from Wellington! The score is 1-0.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Tatsuki Nara argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Reiju Tsuruno is hanging Takeshi Kanamori on the field on 90 minute.
- With this win, Avispa Fukuoka is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 99
- 3
- 5
- 7
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↓ Masato Yuzawa 79'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Wellington 69'
- 29
- 31
- 6
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Hisashi Jogo 90'
- 33
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 69'
- 1
- 37
-
10
Hisashi Jogo ↑ 90'
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 79'
- 35
-
28
Reiju Tsuruno ↑ 90'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Naoki Maeda 64'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Tojiro Kubo 81'
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Haruki Yoshida 81'
- 4
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Taika Nakashima 76'
- 24
Bench
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 64'
- 3
- 16
-
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 64'
-
27
Taika Nakashima ↑ 76'
-
31
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 81'
-
20
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 81'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.33
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
66%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
56%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.1%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 12% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 16% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 11% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

