Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 08:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
16 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
10 Aug Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
13 Sep Kashima Antlers A 0–3 L
31 Aug Gamba Osaka H 4–5 L
23 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug FC Tōkyō H 2–2 D
10 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Shonan Bellmare.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 19' Sho Inagaki does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
  • 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rio Nitta made 453 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 47 goal in 448 matches.
  • 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' Shonan Bellmare are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Yuto Suzuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Fujii on 46 minute.
  • 47' Kohei Okuno was booked on 47.
  • 48' GOAL! Yuya Yamagishi fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 53' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Yuya Yamagishi. He receives a card.
  • 56' Controversy at the stadium! Yuya Yamagishi argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 61' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 62' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Ryuji Izumi is withdrawn and Yuki Nogami gets his opportunity.
  • 67' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Yota Sato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Yuya Asano makes way for Gen Kato at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
  • 77' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
  • 78' The deadlock is broken! Akito Suzuki gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 84' Hiroaki Okuno picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus51% Draw25% Shonan Bellmare24%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
77%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw46% Shonan Bellmare19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.