Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 4–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Shonan Bellmare kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Kazunari Ono has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 19' Sho Inagaki doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 24' Tsukasa Morishima needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
- 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 31' Kensuke Nagai is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 41' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' Yuto Suzuki is replacing Tomoya Fujii for the Shonan Bellmare side.
- 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kohei Okuno on 47.
- 48' Goal! Yuya Yamagishi scores his 41 goal in 207 matches.
- 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 54' It’s gonna be a card for Yuya Yamagishi.
- 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yuya Yamagishi.
- 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 62' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Ryuji Izumi trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Nogami on 62 minutes.
- 67' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 72' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Yuya Asano is replaced by Gen Kato on 72 minute.
- 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
- 78' Magnificent from Akito Suzuki! That is 30 goals in 418 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 84' That is a card for Shonan Bellmare. Hiroaki Okuno will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' Haruya Fujii has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 446 appearances.
- It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare share the spoils 3-1.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 72'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuki Nogami 62'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Gen Kato 72'
- 27
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 8
- 21
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 62'
- 70
- 77
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 72'
- 20
- 41
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 72'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Ze Ricardo ↓ Kohei Okuno 46'
- 25
- 66
- 8
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↓ Yuto Suzuki 46'
- 81
- 47
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↓ Taiyo Hiraoka 46'
- 10
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Rio Nitta 46'
-
7
Konsuke Onose ↓ Luiz Phellype 62'
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 62'
- 22
- 1
-
37
Yuto Suzuki ↑ 46'
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 46'
- 14
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↑ 46'
-
72
Rio Nitta ↑ 46'
- 20
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 3 |
| Mitsuki Saito | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Abe | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Joao Schmidt | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
77%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.