Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 4–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare has kicked off!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Tomoya Fujii has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 19' Goal! Sho Inagaki scores his 45 goal in 335 matches.
- 24' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kensuke Nagai, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 8 goals in the last 8 games.
- 31' GOAL! Kensuke Nagai scores on 31. Assisted by Yuya Yamagishi
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Yuto Suzuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Fujii on 46 minute.
- 47' The referee shows Shonan Bellmare player a card on 47.
- 48' Goal! Yuya Yamagishi scores his 41 goal in 200 matches.
- 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 54' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 56.
- 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Katsuhiro Nakayama made 143 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 62' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 62 minute. Ryuji Izumi leaves to be changed by Yuki Nogami.
- 67' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Gen Kato. He replaces Yuya Asano on 72 minute.
- 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 78' GOAL! Akito Suzuki scores on 78. Assisted by Yuto Suzuki
- 83' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
- 84' Shonan Bellmare receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
- 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shonan Bellmare needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Shonan Bellmare.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 72'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuki Nogami 62'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Gen Kato 72'
- 27
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 8
- 21
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 62'
- 70
- 77
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 72'
- 20
- 41
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 72'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Ze Ricardo ↓ Kohei Okuno 46'
- 25
- 66
- 8
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↓ Yuto Suzuki 46'
- 81
- 47
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↓ Taiyo Hiraoka 46'
- 10
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Rio Nitta 46'
-
7
Konsuke Onose ↓ Luiz Phellype 62'
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 62'
- 22
- 1
-
37
Yuto Suzuki ↑ 46'
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 46'
- 14
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↑ 46'
-
72
Rio Nitta ↑ 46'
- 20
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 3 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Mitsuki Saito | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Abe | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Min-Tae Kim | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
77%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.