Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 4–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Shonan Bellmare.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 19' Sho Inagaki does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rio Nitta made 453 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 31' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 47 goal in 448 matches.
- 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 41' Shonan Bellmare are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Yuto Suzuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Fujii on 46 minute.
- 47' Kohei Okuno was booked on 47.
- 48' GOAL! Yuya Yamagishi fires home to make it 3-0!
- 53' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 54' The referee calls foul for Yuya Yamagishi. He receives a card.
- 56' Controversy at the stadium! Yuya Yamagishi argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 62' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Ryuji Izumi is withdrawn and Yuki Nogami gets his opportunity.
- 67' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Yota Sato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 72' Yuya Asano makes way for Gen Kato at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 77' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
- 78' The deadlock is broken! Akito Suzuki gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
- 83' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' Hiroaki Okuno picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yudai Kimura 72'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuki Nogami 62'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Gen Kato 72'
- 27
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 8
- 21
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 62'
- 70
- 77
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 72'
- 20
- 41
-
26
Gen Kato ↑ 72'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Ze Ricardo ↓ Kohei Okuno 46'
- 25
- 66
- 8
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↓ Yuto Suzuki 46'
- 81
- 47
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↓ Taiyo Hiraoka 46'
- 10
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Rio Nitta 46'
-
7
Konsuke Onose ↓ Luiz Phellype 62'
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 62'
- 22
- 1
-
37
Yuto Suzuki ↑ 46'
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 46'
- 14
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↑ 46'
-
72
Rio Nitta ↑ 46'
- 20
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Ohashi | 3 |
| Mitsuki Saito | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Abe | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Shunsuke Kikuchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
77%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

