Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Nagoya Grampus
3 – 1
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 08:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 47' Kohei Okuno
Yuya Yamagishi 54' Y
Yuya Yamagishi 56' YR
Y 84' Hiroaki Okuno

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

9
9
6
Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-20 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shonan Bellmare 2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tokyo H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
16 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
10 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 1–3 L
13 Sep Kashima Antlers A 0–3 L
31 Aug Gamba Osaka H 4–5 L
23 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug FC Tokyo H 2–2 D
10 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Toyota Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 19' A goal from the Japan international Sho Inagaki! He fires home on 19 to make it 1-0!
  • 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' Assisted by Yuya Yamagishi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kensuke Nagai makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 36' Masaki Ikeda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 46' Yuto Suzuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tomoya Fujii at the 46 minute mark.
  • 47' A moment of madness from Kohei Okuno on 47 minutes earns him a card. Shonan Bellmare will be frustrated.
  • 48' Yuya Yamagishi doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 53' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Yuya Yamagishi is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 54.
  • 56' Controversy at the stadium! Yuya Yamagishi argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 61' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Ryuji Izumi by Yuki Nogami on 62 minute.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Yuya Asano has done his job and it is now time for Gen Kato to step up.
  • 77' Hiroya Matsumoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' Akito Suzuki makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Shonan Bellmare are in front.
  • 83' Rio Nitta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shonan Bellmare tonight.
  • 84' That is a card for Shonan Bellmare. Hiroaki Okuno will be fuming at that decision.
  • 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuki Ohashi 3
Mitsuki Saito 2
Hiroyuki Abe 2
Kensuke Nagai 2
Mateus 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Jo 2
Sho Fukuda 1

Head to Head

2025-09-20 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shonan Bellmare 2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-09-20 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2025-09-13 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2025-08-23 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-08-16 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-08-10 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2025-09-20 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-09-13 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-08-31 Shonan Bellmare 4–5 Gamba Osaka L 2025-08-23 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2025-08-16 Shonan Bellmare 2–2 FC Tokyo D 2025-08-10 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus51% Draw25% Shonan Bellmare24%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
77%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Shonan Bellmare
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw46% Shonan Bellmare19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.