Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 1

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 37' Keita Yamashita

Y 90' Marcos Guilherme

Y 90' Keita Endo

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō 2025-02-26 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-09-14 FC Tōkyō 4–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tōkyō 2023-06-24 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
23 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–4	L
16 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
10 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
20 Jul	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–3	L
05 Jul	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–0	D

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–4	L
16 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	A	2–2	D
10 Aug	Kashima Antlers	H	0–1	L
19 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	3–2	W
05 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		FC Tōkyō
#3	Position	#12
31	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
46	Scored	55
44	Conceded	42
+2	GD	+13
1.72	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

8/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

4/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Tokyo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' FC Tokyo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Ryuji Izumi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
35' Alexandre Pisano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
37' The referee calls foul for Keita Yamashita. He receives a card.
42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Inagaki made 335 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
52' FC Tokyo is showing some good football. However, FC Tokyo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
56' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Keita Yamashita is replaced by Marcelo Ryan on 56 minute.
61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
64' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 64 minute. Ryuji Izumi leaves to be changed by Yuya Asano.
65' What a strike from Yota Sato! The score is 1-0.
70' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
73' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 73 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Yudai Kimura.
74' Keita Endo is replacing Leon Nozawa for the FC Tokyo side.
77' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Keigo Higashi departs to be replaced by Kanta Doi.
82' GOAL! Keita Endo scores on 82.
87' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
90' FC Tokyo receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

3
Masato Morishige
6
Kashif Bangunagande
10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Kanta Doi 77'
24
Alexander Scholz
14
Keita Yamashita ↓ Marcelo Ryan 56'
81
Seung-Gyu Kim
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↓ Marcos Guilherme 56'
7
Soma Anzai
28
Leon Nozawa ↓ Keita Endo 74'
26
Motoki Nagakura ↓ Kein Sato 74'
27
Kyota Tokiwa

Bench

22
Keita Endo ↑ 74'
40
Marcos Guilherme ↑ 56'
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka
44
Henrique Trevisan
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 56'
32
Kanta Doi ↑ 77'
16
Kein Sato ↑ 74'
77
Maki Kitahara

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Diego Oliveira	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Adailton	1
Sho Inagaki	1
Willian Rocha	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-08-23 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-08-16 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-08-10 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-07-20 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-07-05 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Tokyo Verdy D

FC Tōkyō Form

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-08-24 FC Tōkyō 0–4 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-08-16 Shonan Bellmare 2–2 FC Tōkyō D 2025-08-10 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Kashima Antlers L 2025-07-19 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-07-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.26 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.57 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus36% Draw22% FC Tōkyō42%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 4.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	70%	30%
± 4.5	52%	48%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

58%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

64%

Nagoya Grampus or FC Tōkyō

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus29% Draw34% FC Tōkyō37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 2

2 – 3

5.5%

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

5.2%

1 – 3

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 3

4.1%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 4

3.6%

1 – 4

3.2%

0 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	10%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	15%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	17%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	13%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.