Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Cerezo Osaka FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 09:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni

Y 86' Keiya Shiihashi

Ryo Watanabe 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Cerezo Osaka FC 22 games · Avg 2.6 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jun	Nagoya Grampus	H	2–1	W
26 Jun	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
22 Jun	Jubilo Iwata	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–1	W
01 Jun	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
26 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–1	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
26 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
22 Jun	Tokyo Verdy	A	0–1	L
16 Jun	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
02 Jun	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–2	L
26 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC		Nagoya Grampus
#2	Position	#3
31	Points	31
18	Played	18
11 / 0 / 7	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
48	Scored	46
38	Conceded	44
+10	GD	+2
1.72	PPG	1.72
61%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
5' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
15' Yuichi Hirano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
20' Justin Hubner has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
25' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yuya Yamagishi scoring 2 goals.
26' GOAL! Leo Ceara scores on 26. Assisted by Hayato Okuda
30' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni gets a card.
35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
45' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
60' Kyota Sakakibara is replacing Yuya Yamagishi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
65' A goal from the Brazil international Lucas Fernandes! He fires home on 65 to make it 2-0!
68' The whistle greets Haruki Yoshida as he departs to be replaced by Ken Masui.
73' Cerezo Osaka FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
76' The deadlock is broken! Tojiro Kubo gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
78' Hirotaka Tameda is replacing Capixaba for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
86' It’s gonna be a card for Keiya Shiihashi.
86' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Satoki Uejo exits the field as Ryo Watanabe enters on 86.
90' Cerezo Osaka FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
90' The crowd applauds Leo Ceara as he leaves the pitch. Justin Hubner steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cerezo Osaka FC players.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Masaya Shibayama 78'
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Justin Hubner 90'
27
Capixaba ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 78'
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Yuichi Hirano 86'
14
Kakeru Funaki
10
Shunta Tanaka
33
Ryuya Nishio
24
Koji Toriumi
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Ryo Watanabe 86'
21
Jin-hyeon Kim
16
Hayato Okuda

Bench

19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 78'
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 86'
1
Han-Been Yang
38
Sota Kitano
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 86'
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 78'
28
Justin Hubner ↑ 90'

Coach Akio Kogiku

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 60'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Kyota Sakakibara 60'
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↓ Haruki Yoshida 60'
25
Tojiro Kubo
3
Chang-rae Ha

Bench

10
Patric ↑ 60'
16
Yohei Takeda
17
Ken Masui
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 60'
21
Thales Paula
28
Kyota Sakakibara ↑ 60'
4
Shion Inoue

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	3
Ryuji Izumi	2
Yuya Yamagishi	2
Sota Kitano	2
Yudai Kimura	2
Solomon Sakuragawa	2
Satoki Uejo	2
Yumeki Yokoyama	2

Head to Head

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-22 Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-06-15 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-06-01 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-05-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-06-26 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2024-06-22 Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-06-16 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-06-02 Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kyoto Sanga FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.52 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC55% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus25%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

45%

Cerezo Osaka FC or Nagoya Grampus

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC42% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus22%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.3%

3 – 2

5.4%

1 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

3 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

3.7%

4 – 2

3.5%

1 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap	Cerezo Osaka FC covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	16%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	19%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	13%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.