Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | Júbilo Iwata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 46 |
| 38 | Conceded | 44 |
| +10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Nagoya Grampus get us underway at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- 5' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shunta Tanaka, as he is very good at scoring at Yodoko Sakura Stadium with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
- 15' Cerezo Osaka FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 20' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Ryuya Nishio has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 26' Leo Ceara has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 26 minutes.
- 30' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 30.
- 35' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 40' With 1 assists to his name this season, Keiya Shiihashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 50' Kyota Sakakibara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 55' Capixaba has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 189 appearances.
- 60' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kyota Sakakibara is hanging Yuya Yamagishi on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Fernandes gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
- 68' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Haruki Yoshida trudges off to be replaced by Ken Masui on 68 minutes.
- 73' Katsuhiro Nakayama is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 76' Tojiro Kubo makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- 78' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Capixaba is replaced by Hirotaka Tameda on 78 minute.
- 83' The 35-year-old Yuki Nogami has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Keiya Shiihashi on 86.
- 86' Ryo Watanabe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Satoki Uejo on 86 minute.
- 90' Cerezo Osaka FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Justin Hubner gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Leo Ceara and will look to change the dynamic.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cerezo Osaka FC players.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Justin Hubner 90'
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 78'
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Yuichi Hirano 86'
- 14
- 10
- 33
- 24
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Ryo Watanabe 86'
- 21
- 16
Bench
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 78'
-
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 86'
- 1
- 38
-
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 86'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 78'
-
28
Justin Hubner ↑ 90'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 60'
- 1
- 2
- 14
- 15
- 27
- 11
- 20
- 25
- 3
Bench
-
10
Patric ↑ 60'
- 16
- 17
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 60'
- 21
-
28
Kyota Sakakibara ↑ 60'
- 4
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.52
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Nagoya Grampus
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 19% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

