Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 08:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L
23 Sep Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 4–0 W
23 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–1 W
20 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–0 W
13 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–0 W
31 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
23 Aug Albirex Niigata A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kashima Antlers
#3 Position #11
31 Points 45
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 0 / 3
46 Scored 40
44 Conceded 20
+2 GD +20
1.72 PPG 2.50
56% Win % 83%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/
76+
6/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' What a strike from Elber! The score is 0-1.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shuhei Mizoguchi made 447 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 19' What a strike from Leo Ceara! The score is 0-2.
  • 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomoki Hayakawa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' It is a substitution in Kashima Antlers team. Leo Ceara is replaced by Yuta Matsumura on 26 minute.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yu Funabashi, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' Haruya Fujii was booked on 32.
  • 36' Aleksandar Cavric was booked on 36.
  • 41' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Teruki Hara on 50.
  • 55' The whistle greets Teruki Hara as he departs to be replaced by Yuki Nogami.
  • 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 65' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 67' Another substitution for Kashima Antlers to replace Elber by Shuhei Mizoguchi on 67 minute.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 70 minute.
  • 75' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 80' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 84' Kasper Junker has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 84 minute.
  • 88' Goal! Homare Tokuda scores his 3 goal in 447 matches.
  • 90' What a strike from Homare Tokuda! The score is 0-4.
  • Another three points for Kashima Antlers.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus20% Draw23% Kashima Antlers57%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
43%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
80%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus15% Draw39% Kashima Antlers46%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 37% 63%
+1 37% 22% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.