Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Nagoya Grampus

0 – 4

Full Time

Kashima Antlers

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 08:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Haruya Fujii 32' Y

Y 36' Aleksandar Cavric

Teruki Hara 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals Kashima Antlers

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–4 Kashima Antlers 2025-04-25 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2024-11-09 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-13 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kashima Antlers

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	0–4	L
23 Sep	Albirex Niigata	A	0–0	D
20 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–1	W
13 Sep	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	1–0	W
31 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
23 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–4	L

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	4–0	W
23 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	3–1	W
20 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–0	W
13 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–0	W
31 Aug	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D
23 Aug	Albirex Niigata	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Kashima Antlers
#3	Position	#11
31	Points	45
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 0 / 3
46	Scored	40
44	Conceded	20
+2	GD	+20
1.72	PPG	2.50
56%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

23% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kashima Antlers

0-15

4/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/7

61-75

4/–

76+

6/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Kashima Antlers

Leo Ceara	13 G
Aleksandar Cavric	7 G	1 A
Elber	3 G	2 A
Yuma Suzuki	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host Kashima Antlers — let the battle begin!
5' Ryotaro Araki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashima Antlers tonight.
10' Brilliant from the ! Elber makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 10.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
19' GOAL! Leo Ceara fires home to make it 0-2!
24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
26' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Leo Ceara is replaced by Yuta Matsumura.
31' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
32' A moment of madness from Haruya Fujii on 32 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
36' Aleksandar Cavric is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
41' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Homare Tokuda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
46' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
50' That looks like a foul for a card for Teruki Hara.
55' Yuki Nogami is replacing Teruki Hara for the Nagoya Grampus side.
60' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kensuke Nagai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashima Antlers.
65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
67' Another substitution for Kashima Antlers to replace Elber by Shuhei Mizoguchi on 67 minute.
70' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kensuke Nagai departs to be replaced by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
75' Tsukasa Morishima needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
84' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Kasper Junker on, Ryuji Izumi off on 84 minutes.
88' Homare Tokuda adds to his 1 season tally! Kashima Antlers lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
90' A goal from the Japan international Homare Tokuda! He fires home on 90 to make it 0-4!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Kashima Antlers to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 70'
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
16
Yohei Takeda
13
Haruya Fujii
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Kasper Junker 84'
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 70'
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yuki Nogami 55'
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama
11
Yuya Yamagishi
3
Yota Sato

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

9
Leo Ceara ↓ Yuta Matsumura 26'
18
Elber ↓ Shuhei Mizoguchi 67'
7
Ryoya Ogawa
55
Naomichi Ueda
6
Kento Misao
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Ryuta Koike 67'
77
Aleksandar Cavric ↓ Homare Tokuda 84'
1
Tomoki Hayakawa
20
Yu Funabashi ↓ Ryotaro Araki 84'
23
Keisuke Tsukui
22
Kimito Nono

Bench

10
Gaku Shibasaki
25
Ryuta Koike ↑ 67'
29
Yuji Kajikawa
71
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 84'
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 26'
28
Shuhei Mizoguchi ↑ 67'
4
Kaito Chida
34
Homare Tokuda ↑ 84'
47
Anthony Motosuna

Coach Toru Oniki

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hayato Nakama	4
Mateus	3
Shoma Doi	3
Tomoya Inukai	2
Takashi Kanai	2
Kei Chinen	2
Takashi Kanai	2
Sho Inagaki	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-09-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–4 Kashima Antlers L 2025-09-23 Albirex Niigata 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-09-20 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2025-09-13 Fagiano Okayama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-08-23 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 Kawasaki Frontale L

Kashima Antlers Form

2025-09-27 Nagoya Grampus 0–4 Kashima Antlers W 2025-09-23 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2025-09-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–1 Kashima Antlers W 2025-09-13 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2025-08-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2025-08-23 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kashima Antlers W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.09 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.29 Kashima Antlers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus20% Draw23% Kashima Antlers57%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

43%

Draw or Kashima Antlers

80%

Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus15% Draw39% Kashima Antlers46%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

9.4%

1 – 1

9.3%

0 – 2

8.9%

0 – 1

7.3%

1 – 3

7.1%

0 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 0

4.8%

2 – 1

4.5%

1 – 4

4.1%

2 – 3

3.9%

0 – 4

Actual

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	10%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	37%	—	63%
+1	37%	22%	41%
+1.5	59%	—	41%
+2	59%	19%	22%
+2.5	78%	—	22%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.