Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 31 | Points | 45 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 0 / 3 |
| 46 | Scored | 40 |
| 44 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +20 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 56% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
61%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
6/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' What a strike from Elber! The score is 0-1.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shuhei Mizoguchi made 447 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 19' What a strike from Leo Ceara! The score is 0-2.
- 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomoki Hayakawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 26' It is a substitution in Kashima Antlers team. Leo Ceara is replaced by Yuta Matsumura on 26 minute.
- 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yu Funabashi, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' Haruya Fujii was booked on 32.
- 36' Aleksandar Cavric was booked on 36.
- 41' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Teruki Hara on 50.
- 55' The whistle greets Teruki Hara as he departs to be replaced by Yuki Nogami.
- 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 65' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 67' Another substitution for Kashima Antlers to replace Elber by Shuhei Mizoguchi on 67 minute.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni. He replaces Kensuke Nagai on 70 minute.
- 75' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 80' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 84' Kasper Junker has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 84 minute.
- 88' Goal! Homare Tokuda scores his 3 goal in 447 matches.
- 90' What a strike from Homare Tokuda! The score is 0-4.
- Another three points for Kashima Antlers.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Kasper Junker 84'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 70'
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yuki Nogami 55'
- 27
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 8
- 21
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 55'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 70'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 84'
- 22
- 55
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 70'
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Yuta Matsumura 26'
-
18
Elber ↓ Shuhei Mizoguchi 67'
- 7
- 55
- 6
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Ryuta Koike 67'
- 77
- 1
-
20
Yu Funabashi ↓ Ryotaro Araki 84'
- 23
- 22
Bench
- 10
-
25
Ryuta Koike ↑ 67'
- 29
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 84'
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 26'
-
28
Shuhei Mizoguchi ↑ 67'
- 4
-
34
Homare Tokuda ↑ 84'
- 47
Coach
Toru Oniki
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Homare Tokuda | 2 |
| Tomoya Inukai | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
43%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
80%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 4
Actual
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 22% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +2 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

