Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 31 | Points | 45 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 0 / 3 |
| 46 | Scored | 40 |
| 44 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +20 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 56% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Kashima Antlers does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' What composure from Elber! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 19' Goal! Leo Ceara scores his 88 goal in 172 matches.
- 24' Naomichi Ueda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 358 appearances.
- 26' Kashima Antlers make a change. Leo Ceara trudges off to be replaced by Yuta Matsumura on 26 minutes.
- 31' Shuhei Mizoguchi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kashima Antlers so far.
- 32' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Haruya Fujii gets a card.
- 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Aleksandar Cavric.
- 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' Kashima Antlers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
- 50' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 55' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Teruki Hara is replaced by Yuki Nogami on 55 minute.
- 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 67' The whistle greets Elber as he departs to be replaced by Shuhei Mizoguchi.
- 70' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni on 70 minute.
- 75' Kashima Antlers seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 80' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 84' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Kasper Junker on 84 minute.
- 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Homare Tokuda makes it 0-3.
- 90' Homare Tokuda makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and Kashima Antlers are in front.
- It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers share the spoils 0-4.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Kasper Junker 84'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 70'
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yuki Nogami 55'
- 27
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 8
- 21
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 55'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 70'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 84'
- 22
- 55
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 70'
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Yuta Matsumura 26'
-
18
Elber ↓ Shuhei Mizoguchi 67'
- 7
- 55
- 6
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Ryuta Koike 67'
- 77
- 1
-
20
Yu Funabashi ↓ Ryotaro Araki 84'
- 23
- 22
Bench
- 10
-
25
Ryuta Koike ↑ 67'
- 29
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 84'
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 26'
-
28
Shuhei Mizoguchi ↑ 67'
- 4
-
34
Homare Tokuda ↑ 84'
- 47
Coach
Toru Oniki
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Tomoya Inukai | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
43%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
80%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 4
Actual
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 22% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +2 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

