Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

2 – 1

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Haruki Yoshida 23' Y

Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 62' Y

Y 78' Capixaba

Chang-rae Ha 87' Y

Tsukasa Morishima 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 22 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2022-05-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
13 Apr	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–0	W
07 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
03 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
30 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–1	W
16 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–0	W

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
13 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–0	W
07 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
03 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
30 Mar	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–0	W
16 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Cerezo Osaka FC
#3	Position	#2
31	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
46	Scored	48
44	Conceded	38
+2	GD	+10
1.72	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/4

46-60

1/3

61-75

2/2

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Cerezo Osaka FC

Solomon Sakuragawa	3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Cerezo Osaka FC.
5' The 29-year-old Tsukasa Morishima has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
10' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
15' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' Koji Toriumi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
23' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 23.
27' Haruki Yoshida makes way for Akinari Kawazura at the 27 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
32' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
42' Vitor Bueno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 11 cards already picked up this season.
46' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Katsuhiro Nakayama on, Ryosuke Yamanaka off on 46 minutes.
51' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
56' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
62' That looks like a foul for a card for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
63' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Hiroaki Okuno has done his job and it is now time for Shinji Kagawa to step up.
65' Against the run of play, Kennedy Egbus Mikuni has scored! This game has turned on its head.
67' What a moment for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni! That strike on 67 puts his side firmly in control.
68' The crowd applauds Takuya Uchida as he leaves the pitch. Patric steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
73' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
78' A moment of madness from Capixaba on 78 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
81' Capixaba makes way for Hiroto Yamada at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
82' Kensuke Nagai is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
85' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kensuke Nagai by Yuki Nogami on 85 minute.
87' The referee has no hesitation. Chang-rae Ha is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 87.
90' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Tsukasa Morishima gets a card.
Full Time. Nagoya Grampus beats Cerezo Osaka FC

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Keiya Shiihashi 68'
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Patric 68'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuki Nogami 85'
1
Mitch Langerak
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 46'
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
7
Ryuji Izumi
5
Haruki Yoshida ↓ Akinari Kawazura 27'
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
3
Chang-rae Ha

Bench

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 68'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 85'
10
Patric ↑ 68'
16
Yohei Takeda
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
24
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 27'
25
Tojiro Kubo

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	3
Solomon Sakuragawa	2
Satoki Uejo	2
Yumeki Yokoyama	2
Yuki Soma	2
Shuhei Akasaki	2
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni	2
Ryuji Izumi	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-13 Júbilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-04-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-04-03 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-03-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-03-16 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-04-13 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-04-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-03 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-03-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.11 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.93 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus48% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC30%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.04

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

69%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

52%

Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus33% Draw38% Cerezo Osaka FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

4.9%

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

0 – 2

3.4%

1 – 0

3.3%

3 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.