Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

2 – 1

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Haruki Yoshida 23' Y

Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 62' Y

Y 78' Capixaba

Chang-rae Ha 87' Y

Tsukasa Morishima 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 22 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-08-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-06-03 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus 2022-05-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
13 Apr	Jubilo Iwata	A	1–0	W
07 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
03 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
30 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–1	W
16 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–0	W

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
13 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–0	W
07 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
03 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
30 Mar	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–0	W
16 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Cerezo Osaka FC
#3	Position	#2
31	Points	31
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
46	Scored	48
44	Conceded	38
+2	GD	+10
1.72	PPG	1.72
56%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Hiroto Yamada has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 369 appearances.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Masaya Shibayama suffering a number of foals already.
15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Haruki Yoshida on 23.
27' Akinari Kawazura gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Haruki Yoshida and will look to change the dynamic.
32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
37' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
42' Kakeru Funaki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
46' The crowd applauds Ryosuke Yamanaka as he leaves the pitch. Katsuhiro Nakayama steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
51' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
56' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
61' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
62' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
63' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Hiroaki Okuno by Shinji Kagawa on 63 minute.
65' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
67' GOAL! Kennedy Egbus Mikuni fires home to make it 2-0!
68' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Takuya Uchida exits the field as Patric enters on 68.
73' Japan international Haruki Yoshida has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
78' It’s gonna be a card for Capixaba.
81' Hiroto Yamada gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Capixaba and will look to change the dynamic.
82' What composure from Kensuke Nagai! The Japan international strokes it home. 3-0.
85' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Yuki Nogami comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
87' Controversy at the stadium! Chang-rae Ha argues furiously but the card stands.
90' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Keiya Shiihashi 68'
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Patric 68'
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuki Nogami 85'
1
Mitch Langerak
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 46'
14
Tsukasa Morishima
15
Sho Inagaki
7
Ryuji Izumi
5
Haruki Yoshida ↓ Akinari Kawazura 27'
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
3
Chang-rae Ha

Bench

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 68'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 85'
10
Patric ↑ 68'
16
Yohei Takeda
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
24
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 27'
25
Tojiro Kubo

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	3
Yuya Yamagishi	2
Sota Kitano	2
Yudai Kimura	2
Solomon Sakuragawa	2
Satoki Uejo	2
Yumeki Yokoyama	2
Yuki Soma	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-13 Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-04-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-04-03 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-03-30 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-03-16 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-04-13 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-04-07 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-04-03 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-03-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.11 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.93 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus48% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC30%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.04

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

69%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

52%

Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus33% Draw38% Cerezo Osaka FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

4.9%

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

0 – 2

3.4%

1 – 0

3.3%

3 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.