Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Cerezo Osaka FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Sho Inagaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 17 Yellow cards this season.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 23' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Haruki Yoshida gets a card.
- 27' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Haruki Yoshida is withdrawn and Akinari Kawazura gets his opportunity.
- 32' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 42' Chang-rae Ha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' The crowd applauds Ryosuke Yamanaka as he leaves the pitch. Katsuhiro Nakayama steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 51' Hiroaki Okuno, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 62' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
- 63' Shinji Kagawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroaki Okuno at the 63 minute mark.
- 65' Magnificent from Kennedy Egbus Mikuni! That is 4 goals in 213 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 67' Magnificent from Kennedy Egbus Mikuni! That is 4 goals in 213 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 68' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Takuya Uchida is replaced by Patric on 68 minute.
- 73' Hiroto Yamada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Capixaba.
- 81' Hiroto Yamada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Capixaba at the 81 minute mark.
- 82' Kensuke Nagai does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 85' The crowd applauds Kensuke Nagai as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Nogami steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 87' Chang-rae Ha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Patric 68'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuki Nogami 85'
- 1
- 66
- 14
- 15
- 7
- 5
- 20
- 3
Bench
-
8
Keiya Shiihashi ↑ 68'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 85'
-
10
Patric ↑ 68'
- 16
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
24
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 27'
- 25
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 9
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Hiroto Yamada 81'
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Shinji Kagawa 63'
- 6
- 14
- 10
- 2
- 24
- 21
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Vitor Bueno 63'
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 63'
-
34
Hiroto Yamada ↑ 81'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 63'
- 31
- 7
- 38
- 16
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.11
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
52%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.4%
1 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

