Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
- 10' Albirex Niigata receives a card for a hard tackle on 10.
- 15' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Taiki Arai is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Takuya Shimamura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryuga Tashiro suffering a number of foals already.
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Shuhei Tokumoto on 57 minute.
- 61' Yoshiaki Takagi makes way for Abdelrahman Saidi at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 71' The 27-year-old Motoki Hasegawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 73' Poor challenge from Yuki Nogami. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Kaito Taniguchi departs to be replaced by Jin Okumura.
- 74' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 74 minute. Taiki Arai leaves to be changed by Hiroto Uemura.
- 79' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 84' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' Yamato Wakatsuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Motoki Hasegawa at the 90 minute mark.
- The final score is 0-0.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 28
- 42
- 25
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Jin Okumura 73'
- 15
- 33
- 8
- 41
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Hiroto Uemura 74'
Bench
-
18
Yamato Wakatsuki ↑ 90'
- 31
-
65
Abdelrahman Saidi ↑ 61'
-
50
Hiroto Uemura ↑ 74'
- 4
-
30
Jin Okumura ↑ 73'
- 14
- 1
-
55
Matheus Moraes ↑ 61'
Coach
Toru Irie
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Kasper Junker 73'
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Kensuke Nagai 57'
- 3
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Teruki Hara 73'
- 55
- 26
Bench
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 57'
- 21
- 10
-
70
Teruki Hara ↑ 73'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 57'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 73'
- 32
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 18% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

