Saturday , 5 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tue 23 Sep 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
31 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
23 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
16 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tokyo H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
16 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 10' Albirex Niigata receives a card for a hard tackle on 10.
  • 15' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Taiki Arai is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Takuya Shimamura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryuga Tashiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Shuhei Tokumoto on 57 minute.
  • 61' Yoshiaki Takagi makes way for Abdelrahman Saidi at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 71' The 27-year-old Motoki Hasegawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 73' Poor challenge from Yuki Nogami. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Kaito Taniguchi departs to be replaced by Jin Okumura.
  • 74' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 74 minute. Taiki Arai leaves to be changed by Hiroto Uemura.
  • 79' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 84' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' Yamato Wakatsuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Motoki Hasegawa at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata29% Draw34% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata18% Draw57% Nagoya Grampus25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 23% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.