Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tue 23 Sep 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
31 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
23 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
16 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
16 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' That looks like a foul for a card for Yoshiaki Takagi.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 35' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' Katsuhiro Nakayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shuhei Tokumoto on 57 minute.
  • 61' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Yoshiaki Takagi by Abdelrahman Saidi on 61 minute.
  • 66' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' Yuki Nogami was booked on 73.
  • 73' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 73 minute. Kaito Taniguchi leaves to be changed by Jin Okumura.
  • 74' Hiroto Uemura is replacing Taiki Arai for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' Shuhei Tokumoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 89' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yamato Wakatsuki is hanging Motoki Hasegawa on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata29% Draw34% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata18% Draw57% Nagoya Grampus25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 23% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.