Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Tue 23 Sep 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
31 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
23 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
16 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tokyo H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
16 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Albirex Niigata to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The referee has no hesitation. Yoshiaki Takagi is booked for Albirex Niigata — card on 10.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 55' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 57 minute. Shuhei Tokumoto leaves to be changed by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Yoshiaki Takagi is replaced by Abdelrahman Saidi on 61 minute.
  • 66' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Yuki Nogami argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 73' Jin Okumura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kaito Taniguchi at the 73 minute mark.
  • 74' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Taiki Arai by Hiroto Uemura on 74 minute.
  • 79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 84' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Motoki Hasegawa is withdrawn and Yamato Wakatsuki gets his opportunity.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata29% Draw34% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata18% Draw57% Nagoya Grampus25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 23% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.