Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 5–2 | W |
| 27 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #2 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 49 | Scored | 48 |
| 59 | Conceded | 38 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Avispa Fukuoka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Ayumu Ohata has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yu Hashimoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 41' Goal! Tomoya Miki scores his 11 goal in 95 matches.
- 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinji Kagawa made 521 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 54' What an equalizer from Masaya Shibayama!
- 56' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Takumi Kamijima has done his job and it is now time for Masato Yuzawa to step up.
- 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 63' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Kyohei Yoshino is withdrawn and Shunta Tanaka gets his opportunity.
- 64' What composure from Masaya Shibayama! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 66' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Kazuya Konno comes on to replace Itsuki Oda.
- 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 73' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 73 minute. Motohiko Nakajima leaves to be changed by Rafael Ratao.
- 77' Rafael Ratao adds to his 0 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 83' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masaya Tashiro is hanging Yu Hashimoto on the field on 83 minute.
- 84' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Kazuki Fujimoto has done his job and it is now time for Nassim Ben Khalifa to step up.
- 89' Rafael Ratao makes no mistake. The score reads 1-4 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Wellington.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-4.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 14
-
5
Takumi Kamijima ↓ Masato Yuzawa 56'
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↓ Kazuya Konno 66'
- 24
- 77
- 22
- 6
- 9
- 11
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↓ Masaya Tashiro 83'
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 66'
-
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 84'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↑ 66'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 83'
- 31
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 56'
- 15
- 53
- 32
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 77
- 8
- 44
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↓ Shunta Tanaka 63'
- 13
- 66
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 84'
-
31
Rikito Inoue ↓ Ryosuke Shindo 84'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Hinata Kida 84'
- 1
Bench
-
3
Ryosuke Shindo ↑ 84'
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↑ 73'
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 63'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 84'
- 33
- 55
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 84'
- 16
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Masaya Shibayama | 3 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Shunta Tanaka | 2 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Tomoya Miki | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.1
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
50%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Avispa Fukuoka or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 4
Actual
3 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
4.1%
1 – 1
4%
2 – 1
3.9%
3 – 4
3.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 8% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 17% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 15% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

