Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Koichiro Fukushima
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Noriyuki Suzuki
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 46 |
| 38 | Conceded | 44 |
| +10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Cerezo Osaka FC have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 9' Satoki Uejo doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 12' Ryoya Morishita does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 17' The energy levels are beginning to show. Akio Kogiku might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 22' Capixaba has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 189 appearances.
- 27' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
- 32' Han-Been Yang is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 37' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Haruya Fujii has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' With 1 assists to his name this season, Takuya Uchida is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 47' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 52' The 31-year-old Leo Ceara has been sensational this season — 11 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 57' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryuji Izumi suffering a number of foals already.
- 65' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kensuke Nagai exits the field as Ryuji Izumi enters on 65.
- 70' Taika Nakashima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 71' The Japan Satoki Uejo breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 2-1!
- 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' Tojiro Kubo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuya Uchida on 78 minute.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Sota Kitano. He replaces Leo Ceara on 80 minute.
- 82' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Capixaba is withdrawn and Haruki Arai gets his opportunity.
- 85' Haruya Fujii makes way for Taika Nakashima at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 86' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Akinari Kawazura departs to be replaced by Yuichi Maruyama.
- 88' Sota Kitano makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Sota Kitano 80'
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Haruki Arai 82'
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Ryuya Nishio 80'
- 8
- 3
- 22
- 29
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 86'
- 16
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Ryo Watanabe 86'
- 1
Bench
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↑ 80'
-
17
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 86'
-
26
Haruki Arai ↑ 82'
- 31
-
38
Sota Kitano ↑ 80'
-
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 86'
- 48
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Tojiro Kubo 78'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Ryuji Izumi 65'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Naoki Maeda 65'
- 14
- 15
-
13
Haruya Fujii ↓ Taika Nakashima 85'
- 4
- 17
- 77
- 24
Bench
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 65'
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 86'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 65'
-
27
Taika Nakashima ↑ 85'
- 35
-
20
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 78'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.59
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.6%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 19% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

