Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting Albirex Niigata for another epic battle.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 18' Controversy at the stadium! Kento Hashimoto argues furiously but the card stands.
- 23' Yuji Hoshi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 33' Kensuke Nagai is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 38' Albirex Niigata come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 43' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Motoki Hasegawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Kasper Junker is replaced by Tsukasa Morishima on 46 minute.
- 51' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Albirex Niigata's shape.
- 54' Ryuji Izumi does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 64' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Katsuhiro Nakayama departs to be replaced by Takuya Uchida.
- 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 70' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Kento Hashimoto is withdrawn and Yuto Horigome gets his opportunity.
- 75' The referee calls foul for Kensuke Nagai. He receives a card.
- 75' Yuya Yamagishi is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 76' Taichi Kikuchi gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Ryuji Izumi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Katsuhiro Nakayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 83' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Ken Yamura comes on to replace Kaito Taniguchi.
- 88' Keisuke Kasai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 75'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 76'
- 70
- 27
- 77
- 3
- 55
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 64'
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 46'
- 16
- 9
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 75'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 76'
- 6
- 41
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 19
- 2
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↓ Yuto Horigome 70'
- 25
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Ken Yamura 83'
- 16
- 23
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Keisuke Kasai 83'
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Danilo 70'
Bench
-
11
Danilo ↑ 70'
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↑ 70'
- 15
- 33
-
3
Hayato Inamura ↑ 46'
- 8
-
9
Ken Yamura ↑ 83'
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 83'
- 1
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus to win 60% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
84%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
40%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.