Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at National Stadium.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #3 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| -2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/6
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
| Se-hun Oh | 2 G |
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to National Stadium that hosts another battle between Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yota Sato, as he is very good at scoring at National Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yota Sato on 33 minutes.
- 36' What composure from Sho Inagaki! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kensuke Nagai suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Shuhei Tokumoto has done his job and it is now time for Katsuhiro Nakayama to step up.
- 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryuji Izumi makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 50' Keiya Shiihashi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 55' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Masaki Yumiba is replaced by Shinya Yajima.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daiki Miya made 457 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Tsukasa Morishima to step up.
- 62' Shimizu S-Pulse player sees a card in front of him.
- 63' Another substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse to replace Koya Kitagawa by Ahmed Ahmedov on 63 minute.
- 64' The whistle greets Capixaba as he departs to be replaced by Motoki Nishihara.
- 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 72' Reon Yamahara makes way for Sen Takagi at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 77' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 84' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Yota Sato by Daiki Miya on 84 minute.
- 89' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Capixaba ↓ Motoki Nishihara 64'
-
33
Takashi Inui ↓ Yudai Shimamoto 64'
- 3
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Ahmed Ahmedov 63'
- 5
- 98
-
14
Reon Yamahara ↓ Sen Takagi 72'
- 19
- 36
-
17
Masaki Yumiba ↓ Shinya Yajima 55'
Bench
- 99
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 55'
- 41
-
29
Ahmed Ahmedov ↑ 63'
- 11
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↑ 64'
-
70
Sen Takagi ↑ 72'
- 71
-
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 64'
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 61'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 72'
- 70
-
3
Yota Sato ↓ Daiki Miya 84'
- 55
- 20
- 35
Bench
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 61'
-
4
Daiki Miya ↑ 84'
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 72'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
- 33
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenta Nishizawa | 4 |
| Thiago Santana | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Douglas | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Shota Kaneko | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
60%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
64%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

