Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC National Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Yota Sato

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at National Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–3 L
29 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
20 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 3–1 W
16 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos A 3–2 W
12 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
06 Apr Yokohama FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–0 W
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
25 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Nagoya Grampus
#7 Position #3
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
40 Scored 46
42 Conceded 44
-2 GD +2
1.33 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Shimizu S-Pulse have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Shimizu S-Pulse started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Yota Sato is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 15' Matheus Bueno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuya Asano suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' The 30-year-old Daiki Miya has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
  • 36' What a strike from Sho Inagaki! The score is 0-1.
  • 41' Reon Yamahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 367 appearances.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Shuhei Tokumoto is replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 48' Ryuji Izumi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 50' Keiya Shiihashi makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 55' Masaki Yumiba makes way for Shinya Yajima at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 60' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
  • 61' Tsukasa Morishima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 61 minute.
  • 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Koya Kitagawa.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Ahmed Ahmedov comes on to replace Koya Kitagawa.
  • 64' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 64 minute. Capixaba leaves to be changed by Motoki Nishihara.
  • 69' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Mateus has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Shimizu S-Pulse make a change. Reon Yamahara trudges off to be replaced by Sen Takagi on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 82' Shimizu S-Pulse currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 84' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 84 minute. Yota Sato leaves to be changed by Daiki Miya.
  • 89' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse36% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus40%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
60%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
64%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse29% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 16% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 18% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
12%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.