Saturday , 14 November 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC National Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Yota Sato

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at National Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–3 L
29 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
20 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 3–1 W
16 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos A 3–2 W
12 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
06 Apr Yokohama FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–0 W
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
25 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
12 Apr Gamba Osaka A 0–2 L
06 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Nagoya Grampus
#7 Position #3
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
40 Scored 46
42 Conceded 44
-2 GD +2
1.33 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/6
76+
1/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to National Stadium that hosts another battle between Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yota Sato, as he is very good at scoring at National Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yota Sato on 33 minutes.
  • 36' What composure from Sho Inagaki! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kensuke Nagai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Shuhei Tokumoto has done his job and it is now time for Katsuhiro Nakayama to step up.
  • 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryuji Izumi makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 50' Keiya Shiihashi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 55' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Masaki Yumiba is replaced by Shinya Yajima.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daiki Miya made 457 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ryuji Izumi has done his job and it is now time for Tsukasa Morishima to step up.
  • 62' Shimizu S-Pulse player sees a card in front of him.
  • 63' Another substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse to replace Koya Kitagawa by Ahmed Ahmedov on 63 minute.
  • 64' The whistle greets Capixaba as he departs to be replaced by Motoki Nishihara.
  • 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 72' Reon Yamahara makes way for Sen Takagi at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 77' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 84' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Yota Sato by Daiki Miya on 84 minute.
  • 89' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse36% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus40%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
60%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
64%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse29% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 16% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 18% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.