Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at National Stadium.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
7 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 7.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #3 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| -2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Shimizu S-Pulse have kicked off against Nagoya Grampus. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Shimizu S-Pulse started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Yota Sato is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 15' Matheus Bueno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuya Asano suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' The 30-year-old Daiki Miya has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 36' What a strike from Sho Inagaki! The score is 0-1.
- 41' Reon Yamahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 367 appearances.
- 46' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Shuhei Tokumoto is replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
- 48' Ryuji Izumi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 50' Keiya Shiihashi makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- 55' Masaki Yumiba makes way for Shinya Yajima at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 60' Shimizu S-Pulse are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 61' Tsukasa Morishima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 61 minute.
- 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Koya Kitagawa.
- 63' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Ahmed Ahmedov comes on to replace Koya Kitagawa.
- 64' Another change for Shimizu S-Pulse made on 64 minute. Capixaba leaves to be changed by Motoki Nishihara.
- 69' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Mateus has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 72' Shimizu S-Pulse make a change. Reon Yamahara trudges off to be replaced by Sen Takagi on 72 minutes.
- 77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 82' Shimizu S-Pulse currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 84' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 84 minute. Yota Sato leaves to be changed by Daiki Miya.
- 89' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Capixaba ↓ Motoki Nishihara 64'
-
33
Takashi Inui ↓ Yudai Shimamoto 64'
- 3
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Ahmed Ahmedov 63'
- 5
- 98
-
14
Reon Yamahara ↓ Sen Takagi 72'
- 19
- 36
-
17
Masaki Yumiba ↓ Shinya Yajima 55'
Bench
- 99
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 55'
- 41
-
29
Ahmed Ahmedov ↑ 63'
- 11
-
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↑ 64'
-
70
Sen Takagi ↑ 72'
- 71
-
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 64'
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 17
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 61'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 72'
- 70
-
3
Yota Sato ↓ Daiki Miya 84'
- 55
- 20
- 35
Bench
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 61'
-
4
Daiki Miya ↑ 84'
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 72'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
- 33
- 26
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenta Nishizawa | 4 |
| Thiago Santana | 4 |
| Naoki Maeda | 3 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Shota Kaneko | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Douglas | 2 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
60%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
64%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

