Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse

0 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC National Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 33' Yota Sato

Koya Kitagawa 62' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at National Stadium.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hiroki Kasahara

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus 2022-07-10 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2022-05-21 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2021-08-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2021-05-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
29 Apr	FC Tokyo	A	2–0	W
20 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	3–1	W
16 Apr	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	3–2	W
12 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Yokohama FC	A	0–2	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–0	W
29 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–2	L
25 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
20 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–1	W
12 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	0–2	L
06 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		Nagoya Grampus
#7	Position	#3
24	Points	31
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
40	Scored	46
42	Conceded	44
-2	GD	+2
1.33	PPG	1.72
44%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Shimizu S-Pulse launch into their encounter with Nagoya Grampus.
5' A quiet spell here at National Stadium. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tsukasa Morishima made 335 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' Yuya Asano, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
25' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
30' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
33' Controversy at the stadium! Yota Sato argues furiously but the card stands.
36' Assisted by Takuya Uchida with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. 0-1!
41' Daiki Miya is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shimizu S-Pulse tonight.
46' Katsuhiro Nakayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shuhei Tokumoto at the 46 minute mark.
48' What a strike from Ryuji Izumi! The score is 0-2.
50' Assisted by Yuya Yamagishi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Keiya Shiihashi makes no mistake. 0-3!
55' The Shimizu S-Pulse bench stirs into life. Masaki Yumiba is withdrawn and Shinya Yajima gets his opportunity.
60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
61' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Ryuji Izumi by Tsukasa Morishima on 61 minute.
62' Koya Kitagawa was booked on 62.
63' Ahmed Ahmedov is replacing Koya Kitagawa for the Shimizu S-Pulse side.
64' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Motoki Nishihara comes on to replace Capixaba.
69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 100% of all matches.
72' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Sen Takagi on, Reon Yamahara off on 72 minutes.
77' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yudai Kimura scoring 1 goals.
82' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
84' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Yota Sato has done his job and it is now time for Daiki Miya to step up.
89' Japan international Alexandre Pisano has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
The final score is 0-3.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Douglas Tanque
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 55'
41
Kento Haneda
29
Ahmed Ahmedov ↑ 63'
11
Hikaru Nakahara
47
Yudai Shimamoto ↑ 64'
70
Sen Takagi ↑ 72'
71
Yui Inokoshi
55
Motoki Nishihara ↑ 64'

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi
17
Takuya Uchida
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
15
Sho Inagaki
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 61'
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 72'
70
Teruki Hara
3
Yota Sato ↓ Daiki Miya 84'
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↓ Katsuhiro Nakayama 46'
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
35
Alexandre Pisano

Bench

2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 61'
4
Daiki Miya ↑ 84'
16
Yohei Takeda
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 72'
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
33
Taichi Kikuchi
26
Gen Kato

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kenta Nishizawa	4
Thiago Santana	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Yoichiro Kakitani	2
Mateus	2
Shota Kaneko	2
Koya Kitagawa	2
Yuki Soma	2

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2025-05-03 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-29 FC Tokyo 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-04-20 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-04-16 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–3 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-04-12 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2025-04-06 Yokohama FC 2–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-05-03 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol L 2025-04-25 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-04-12 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.95 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.18 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse36% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus40%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

60%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

64%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse29% Draw37% Nagoya Grampus34%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 3

3 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

4.2%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 3

3.3%

2 – 0

3.2%

0 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	10%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	16%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	18%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

15% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.