Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 46 |
| 59 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kennedy Egbus Mikuni is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daiki Matsuoka made 200 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 50' Keiya Shiihashi is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 55' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 60' Mateus has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
- 64' A moment of madness from Daiki Matsuoka on 64 minutes earns him a card. Avispa Fukuoka will be frustrated.
- 65' The whistle greets Mateus as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Nagai.
- 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 73' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 73 minute. Masato Shigemi leaves to be changed by Hiroki Akino.
- 77' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Tsukasa Morishima on, Yuya Yamagishi off on 77 minutes.
- 79' Masato Yuzawa is replacing Yuto Iwasaki for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 81' Nagoya Grampus is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shuhei Tokumoto on 81.
- 84' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Katsuhiro Nakayama has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Nogami to step up.
- 85' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Shuhei Tokumoto is withdrawn and Takuya Uchida gets his opportunity.
- 86' Yu Hashimoto is replacing Shintaro Nago for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Yu Hashimoto 86'
- 5
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Masato Yuzawa 79'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 73'
- 77
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 79'
- 37
- 31
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Hiroki Akino 73'
- 88
- 20
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 79'
- 1
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 73'
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 79'
- 49
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↑ 86'
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↑ 73'
- 19
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Kensuke Nagai 65'
- 70
- 27
- 11
- 3
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↓ Takuya Uchida 85'
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 65'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 84'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 77'
- 4
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
- 77
- 33
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.