Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 46 |
| 59 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Yuto Iwasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Tomoya Ando has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 204 appearances.
- 20' Kazuya Konno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Avispa Fukuoka have won 218 goals from 204 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 50' A moment of madness from Keiya Shiihashi on 50 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
- 55' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 60' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Mateus gets a card.
- 64' Daiki Matsuoka picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 65' Kensuke Nagai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mateus at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Katsuhiro Nakayama suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 73 minute. Masato Shigemi leaves to be changed by Hiroki Akino.
- 77' The crowd applauds Yuya Yamagishi as he leaves the pitch. Tsukasa Morishima steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
- 79' The crowd applauds Yuto Iwasaki as he leaves the pitch. Masato Yuzawa steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 81' Shuhei Tokumoto adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 84' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Katsuhiro Nakayama by Yuki Nogami on 84 minute.
- 85' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Shuhei Tokumoto by Takuya Uchida on 85 minute.
- 86' Yu Hashimoto is replacing Shintaro Nago for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Yu Hashimoto 86'
- 5
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Masato Yuzawa 79'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 73'
- 77
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 79'
- 37
- 31
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Hiroki Akino 73'
- 88
- 20
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 79'
- 1
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 73'
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 79'
- 49
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↑ 86'
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↑ 73'
- 19
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Kensuke Nagai 65'
- 70
- 27
- 11
- 3
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↓ Takuya Uchida 85'
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 65'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 84'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 77'
- 4
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
- 77
- 33
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Yuya Asano | 1 |
| Yudai Kimura | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

