Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 46 |
| 59 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Best Denki Stadium!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Avispa Fukuoka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Takaaki Shichi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mateus suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Keiya Shiihashi is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 50.
- 55' Kazuya Konno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Avispa Fukuoka so far.
- 60' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
- 64' Daiki Matsuoka was booked on 64.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Kensuke Nagai. He replaces Mateus on 65 minute.
- 70' Alexandre Pisano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 73' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Masato Shigemi has done his job and it is now time for Hiroki Akino to step up.
- 77' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Yuya Yamagishi is replaced by Tsukasa Morishima.
- 79' Masato Yuzawa is replacing Yuto Iwasaki for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 81' The deadlock is broken! Shuhei Tokumoto gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
- 84' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Yuki Nogami comes on to replace Katsuhiro Nakayama.
- 85' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Shuhei Tokumoto exits the field as Takuya Uchida enters on 85.
- 86' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Shintaro Nago has done his job and it is now time for Yu Hashimoto to step up.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Yu Hashimoto 86'
- 5
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Masato Yuzawa 79'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 73'
- 77
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 79'
- 37
- 31
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Hiroki Akino 73'
- 88
- 20
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 79'
- 1
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 73'
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 79'
- 49
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↑ 86'
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↑ 73'
- 19
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Kensuke Nagai 65'
- 70
- 27
- 11
- 3
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↓ Takuya Uchida 85'
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 65'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 84'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 77'
- 4
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
- 77
- 33
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
| Yutaka Yoshida | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.