Saturday , 14 November 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 05:30 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–1 D
10 May Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
06 May Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
03 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
29 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D
11 May Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–0 D
03 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–0 W
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
25 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus
#10 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 46
59 Conceded 44
-10 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Best Denki Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' The 28-year-old Yota Sato has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' Yuya Yamagishi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 213 appearances.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' Keiya Shiihashi was booked on 50.
  • 55' With 1 assists to his name this season, Yuya Asano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Mateus. He receives a card.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daiki Matsuoka.
  • 65' Mateus makes way for Kensuke Nagai at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
  • 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 73' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Masato Shigemi departs to be replaced by Hiroki Akino.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Yuya Yamagishi is replaced by Tsukasa Morishima on 77 minute.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Masato Yuzawa.
  • 81' Shuhei Tokumoto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuki Nogami on, Katsuhiro Nakayama off on 84 minutes.
  • 85' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Shuhei Tokumoto is withdrawn and Takuya Uchida gets his opportunity.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Yu Hashimoto on, Shintaro Nago off on 86 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Avispa Fukuoka39% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka30% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 16% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.