Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 46 |
| 59 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Best Denki Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' The 28-year-old Yota Sato has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' Yuya Yamagishi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 213 appearances.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 50' Keiya Shiihashi was booked on 50.
- 55' With 1 assists to his name this season, Yuya Asano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Mateus. He receives a card.
- 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daiki Matsuoka.
- 65' Mateus makes way for Kensuke Nagai at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 73' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Masato Shigemi departs to be replaced by Hiroki Akino.
- 77' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Yuya Yamagishi is replaced by Tsukasa Morishima on 77 minute.
- 79' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Masato Yuzawa.
- 81' Shuhei Tokumoto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
- 84' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yuki Nogami on, Katsuhiro Nakayama off on 84 minutes.
- 85' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Shuhei Tokumoto is withdrawn and Takuya Uchida gets his opportunity.
- 86' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Yu Hashimoto on, Shintaro Nago off on 86 minutes.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Yu Hashimoto 86'
- 5
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Masato Yuzawa 79'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 73'
- 77
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 79'
- 37
- 31
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Hiroki Akino 73'
- 88
- 20
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 79'
- 1
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 73'
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 79'
- 49
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↑ 86'
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↑ 73'
- 19
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 65'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Kensuke Nagai 65'
- 70
- 27
- 11
- 3
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↓ Takuya Uchida 85'
- 20
- 35
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 85'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 65'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 84'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 77'
- 4
- 16
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 65'
- 77
- 33
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

