Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 05:30 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–1 D
10 May Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
06 May Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
03 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
29 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D
11 May Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–0 D
03 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–0 W
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
25 Apr Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus
#10 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 46
59 Conceded 44
-10 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G
Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Yuto Iwasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Tomoya Ando has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 204 appearances.
  • 20' Kazuya Konno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Avispa Fukuoka have won 218 goals from 204 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Keiya Shiihashi on 50 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
  • 55' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 60' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Mateus gets a card.
  • 64' Daiki Matsuoka picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 65' Kensuke Nagai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mateus at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Katsuhiro Nakayama suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 73 minute. Masato Shigemi leaves to be changed by Hiroki Akino.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Yuya Yamagishi as he leaves the pitch. Tsukasa Morishima steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Yuto Iwasaki as he leaves the pitch. Masato Yuzawa steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 81' Shuhei Tokumoto adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Katsuhiro Nakayama by Yuki Nogami on 84 minute.
  • 85' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Shuhei Tokumoto by Takuya Uchida on 85 minute.
  • 86' Yu Hashimoto is replacing Shintaro Nago for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Avispa Fukuoka39% Draw22% Nagoya Grampus39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
61%
Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka30% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 16% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 17% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.