Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Mar | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus has kicked off!
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 18' Albirex Niigata receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 18.
- 23' Japan international Yuzuru Shimada has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 28' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Haruya Fujii has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Shusuke Ota is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 36' Albirex Niigata player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 39' Albirex Niigata player sees a Red card in front of him.
- 40' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 40 minute. Koji Suzuki leaves to be changed by Daichi Tagami.
- 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Kensuke Nagai makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- 57' A goal from the Japan international Kensuke Nagai! He fires home on 57 to make it 1-2!
- 62' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 63' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Shusuke Ota has done his job and it is now time for Eitaro Matsuda to step up.
- 64' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Takahiro Koh comes on to replace Danilo.
- 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kazuyoshi Shimabuku made 110 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' Noriyoshi Sakai gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kensuke Nagai and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' A goal from the Denmark international Kasper Junker! He fires home on 80 to make it 1-3!
- 81' Brilliant from the ! Ryoya Morishita makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 81.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Kazuyoshi Shimabuku. He replaces Ryotaro Ito on 82 minute.
- 87' Sho Inagaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 46 goals in his last 339 appearances.
- 88' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kasper Junker is replaced by Ryotaro Ishida.
- 89' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Haruya Fujii will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 90' Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. The score reads 1-5 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Albirex Niigata.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 20
- 13
-
17
Danilo ↓ Takahiro Ko 64'
- 2
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Shunsuke Mito 64'
- 31
- 21
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Eitaro Matsuda 63'
- 18
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Daichi Tagami 40'
Bench
-
50
Daichi Tagami ↑ 40'
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↑ 64'
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↑ 63'
- 25
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↑ 64'
- 24
-
29
Kazuyoshi Shimabuku ↑ 82'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Hidemasa Koda 76'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 76'
- 1
- 2
- 15
- 13
- 4
- 10
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Ryotaro Ishida 88'
Bench
- 5
- 3
- 16
-
46
Ryotaro Ishida ↑ 88'
-
33
Hidemasa Koda ↑ 76'
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 76'
- 21
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2023-04-01
Albirex Niigata
1–3
Nagoya Grampus
L
2023-03-18
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-03-11
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2023-03-04
Albirex Niigata
2–2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2023-02-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Albirex Niigata
W
2023-02-18
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–2
Albirex Niigata
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
54%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Albirex Niigata win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

