Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Mar | FC Tokyo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Albirex Niigata to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 15' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 18' Albirex Niigata receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 18.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
- 35' A stunning finish from Shusuke Ota — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 36' Michael James Fitzgerald picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 39' Albirex Niigata player sees a Red card in front of him.
- 40' Albirex Niigata make a change. Koji Suzuki trudges off to be replaced by Daichi Tagami on 40 minutes.
- 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 55' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Magnificent from Kensuke Nagai! That is 47 goals in 437 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 57' Kensuke Nagai does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
- 62' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 63' Eitaro Matsuda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shusuke Ota at the 63 minute mark.
- 64' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Danilo exits the field as Takahiro Koh enters on 64.
- 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rikizo Matsuhashi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 76' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kensuke Nagai departs to be replaced by Noriyoshi Sakai.
- 80' GOAL! Kasper Junker fires home to make it 1-3!
- 81' What a moment for Ryoya Morishita! That strike on 81 puts his side firmly in control.
- 82' The crowd applauds Ryotaro Ito as he leaves the pitch. Kazuyoshi Shimabuku steps in for Albirex Niigata.
- 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 88' Ryotaro Ishida gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kasper Junker and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Haruya Fujii picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Ryotaro Ishida gets a Yellow card.
- 90' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. 1-5!
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 20
- 13
-
17
Danilo ↓ Takahiro Ko 64'
- 2
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Shunsuke Mito 64'
- 31
- 21
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Eitaro Matsuda 63'
- 18
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Daichi Tagami 40'
Bench
-
50
Daichi Tagami ↑ 40'
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↑ 64'
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↑ 63'
- 25
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↑ 64'
- 24
-
29
Kazuyoshi Shimabuku ↑ 82'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Hidemasa Koda 76'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 76'
- 1
- 2
- 15
- 13
- 4
- 10
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Ryotaro Ishida 88'
Bench
- 5
- 3
- 16
-
46
Ryotaro Ishida ↑ 88'
-
33
Hidemasa Koda ↑ 76'
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 76'
- 21
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2023-04-01
Albirex Niigata
1–3
Nagoya Grampus
L
2023-03-18
Urawa Red Diamonds
2–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-03-11
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2023-03-04
Albirex Niigata
2–2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2023-02-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Albirex Niigata
W
2023-02-18
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–2
Albirex Niigata
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
54%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Albirex Niigata win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

