Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Albirex Niigata
1 – 3
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium 18,428 HT 45' · FT 45'
Shusuke Ota 35' 1–0
1–1 56' Kensuke Nagai
1–2 80' Kasper Junker
1–3 90' Sho Inagaki
Fumiya Hayakawa 18' Y
Michael Fitzgerald 36' R
Y 89' Haruya Fujii
Y 90' Ryotaro Ishida

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
4
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 1–3 L
18 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
11 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 1–0 W
04 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–2 D
26 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
18 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–2 D
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
18 Mar FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
12 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 3–0 W
04 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 18' Albirex Niigata player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 33' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' A stunning finish from Shusuke Ota — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 36' Michael James Fitzgerald has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 36.
  • 39' Albirex Niigata player sees a Red card in front of him.
  • 40' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Koji Suzuki is replaced by Daichi Tagami.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kensuke Nagai, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 56' Kensuke Nagai has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 57' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 47 goal in 437 matches.
  • 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 63' Eitaro Matsuda gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Shusuke Ota and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 64 minute. Danilo leaves to be changed by Takahiro Koh.
  • 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryotaro Ito suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' Noriyoshi Sakai gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kensuke Nagai and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Against the run of play, Kasper Junker has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' What a moment for Ryoya Morishita! That strike on 81 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 82' The whistle greets Ryotaro Ito as he departs to be replaced by Kazuyoshi Shimabuku.
  • 87' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 88' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kasper Junker by Ryotaro Ishida on 88 minute.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Haruya Fujii. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ryotaro Ishida argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 90' GOAL! Sho Inagaki scores on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kensuke Nagai 2
Sho Inagaki 1
Kasper Junker 1
Shusuke Ota 1
Motoki Hasegawa 1
Yuki Nogami 1
Taichi Kikuchi 1
Ryuji Izumi 1

Head to Head

2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Albirex Niigata Form

2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-03-18 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Albirex Niigata L 2023-03-11 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale W 2023-03-04 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2023-02-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Albirex Niigata W 2023-02-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Albirex Niigata D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-03-18 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tōkyō D 2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2023-02-18 Yokohama FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw27% Nagoya Grampus46%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
54%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata19% Draw45% Nagoya Grampus36%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.