Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium 18,428 HT 45' · FT 45'
Shusuke Ota 35' 1–0
1–1 56' Kensuke Nagai
1–2 80' Kasper Junker
1–3 90' Sho Inagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

1
1
4
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 1–3 L
18 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
11 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 1–0 W
04 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–2 D
26 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
18 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Albirex Niigata A 3–1 W
18 Mar FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
12 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 3–0 W
04 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Kyōto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus has kicked off!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 18' Albirex Niigata receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 18.
  • 23' Japan international Yuzuru Shimada has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 28' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Haruya Fujii has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Shusuke Ota is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 36' Albirex Niigata player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 39' Albirex Niigata player sees a Red card in front of him.
  • 40' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 40 minute. Koji Suzuki leaves to be changed by Daichi Tagami.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Kensuke Nagai makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 57' A goal from the Japan international Kensuke Nagai! He fires home on 57 to make it 1-2!
  • 62' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 63' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Shusuke Ota has done his job and it is now time for Eitaro Matsuda to step up.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Takahiro Koh comes on to replace Danilo.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kazuyoshi Shimabuku made 110 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' Noriyoshi Sakai gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kensuke Nagai and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' A goal from the Denmark international Kasper Junker! He fires home on 80 to make it 1-3!
  • 81' Brilliant from the ! Ryoya Morishita makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 81.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Kazuyoshi Shimabuku. He replaces Ryotaro Ito on 82 minute.
  • 87' Sho Inagaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 46 goals in his last 339 appearances.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kasper Junker is replaced by Ryotaro Ishida.
  • 89' That is a Yellow card for Nagoya Grampus. Haruya Fujii will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. The score reads 1-5 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Albirex Niigata.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw27% Nagoya Grampus46%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
54%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
73%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata19% Draw45% Nagoya Grampus36%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.