Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Albirex Niigata

1 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium 18,428 HT 45' · FT 45'

Shusuke Ota 35' 1–0

1–1 56' Kensuke Nagai

1–2 80' Kasper Junker

1–3 90' Sho Inagaki

Fumiya Hayakawa 18' Y

Michael Fitzgerald 36' R

Y 89' Haruya Fujii

Y 90' Ryotaro Ishida

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yoshiro Imamura
Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
Assistant 2

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–3	L
18 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
11 Mar	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–0	W
04 Mar	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	2–2	D
26 Feb	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–1	W
18 Feb	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–2	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	3–1	W
18 Mar	FC Tōkyō	H	0–0	D
12 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–0	W
04 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–0	W
18 Feb	Yokohama FC	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Denka Big Swan Stadium that hosts another battle between Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Yuto Horigome is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
15' The 38-year-old Michael Fitzgerald has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
18' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Fumiya Hayakawa.
23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
35' What composure from Shusuke Ota! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
36' Poor challenge from Michael James Fitzgerald. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Michael James Fitzgerald.
40' Albirex Niigata make a change. Koji Suzuki trudges off to be replaced by Daichi Tagami on 40 minutes.
45' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
55' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
56' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 48 goal in 450 matches.
57' Kensuke Nagai puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
62' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
63' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Eitaro Matsuda on, Shusuke Ota off on 63 minutes.
64' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Takahiro Koh comes on to replace Danilo.
69' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
74' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
76' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 76 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Noriyoshi Sakai.
80' A stunning finish from Kasper Junker — that came from absolutely nowhere!
81' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryoya Morishita makes no mistake. 1-4!
82' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Ryotaro Ito is withdrawn and Kazuyoshi Shimabuku gets his opportunity.
87' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
88' Ryotaro Ishida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kasper Junker at the 88 minute mark.
89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Haruya Fujii.
90' Ryotaro Ishida has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
90' What a moment for Sho Inagaki! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

5
Michael Fitzgerald
20
Yuzuru Shimada
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Kazuyoshi Shimabuku 82'
17
Danilo ↓ Takahiro Ko 64'
2
Naoto Arai
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Shunsuke Mito 64'
31
Yuto Horigome
21
Koto Abe
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Eitaro Matsuda 63'
18
Fumiya Hayakawa
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Daichi Tagami 40'

Bench

50
Daichi Tagami ↑ 40'
8
Takahiro Ko ↑ 64'
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↑ 63'
25
Soya Fujiwara
14
Shunsuke Mito ↑ 64'
24
Takuya Seguchi
29
Kazuyoshi Shimabuku ↑ 82'

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kensuke Nagai	2
Sho Inagaki	1
Kasper Junker	1
Shusuke Ota	1
Motoki Hasegawa	1
Yuki Nogami	1
Taichi Kikuchi	1
Ryuji Izumi	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.14 Albirex Niigata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.74 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata27% Draw27% Nagoya Grampus46%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw

54%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

73%

Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Albirex Niigata19% Draw45% Nagoya Grampus36%

Actual: Albirex Niigata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 1

8.9%

0 – 2

8.3%

0 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.5%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 2

5.3%

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap	Albirex Niigata covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	22%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Albirex Niigata Form

Nagoya Grampus Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Clean Sheet