Albirex Niigata vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Albirex Niigata

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Soya Fujiwara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō 2024-07-13 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tōkyō 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tōkyō 2023-04-29 FC Tōkyō 2–1 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	FC Tōkyō	H	2–3	L
29 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–0	W
26 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
06 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	1–0	W

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
20 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
11 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

85% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

7/1

46-60

8/1

61-75

10/–

76+

7/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	8 G	3 A
Marcelo Ryan	5 G	2 A
Dani Gomez	5 G
Soma Anzai	5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa	4 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Albirex Niigata and FC Tōkyō is underway.
5' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
8' Marcelo Ryan adds to his 3 season tally! FC Tokyo lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
13' The 24-year-old Yota Komi has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
18' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jin Okumura, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
28' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
33' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
38' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Kei Koizumi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
43' Takahiro Ko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 414 appearances.
48' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
52' GOAL! Kei Koizumi scores on 52. Assisted by Kein Sato
57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
58' Danilo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yota Komi on 58 minute.
59' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Keita Endo has done his job and it is now time for Soma Anzai to step up.
64' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
66' The Japan Keisuke Kasai breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-2!
67' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Hiroki Akiyama is replaced by Yoshiaki Takagi.
72' Seiji Kimura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
73' Kosuke Shirai gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Takahiro Ko and will look to change the dynamic.
75' Teruhito Nakagawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Kein Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
80' Daisuke Yoshimitsu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tōkyō tonight.
82' Marcelo Ryan doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
85' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Taiki Arai by Yuji Hoshi on 85 minute.
86' The crowd applauds Henrique Trevisan as he leaves the pitch. Teppei Oka steps in for FC Tokyo.
90' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Soya Fujiwara gets a card.
The points are shared — Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tōkyō. Honours even.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Michael Fitzgerald
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 85'
20
Miguel Silveira ↑ 85'
11
Danilo ↑ 58'
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 67'
15
Fumiya Hayakawa
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 67'
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 58'
1
Kazuki Fujita

Coach Daisuke Kimori

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosuke Shirai ↑ 73'
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 75'
4
Yasuki Kimoto
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 86'
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 59'
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 86'
53
Maki Kitahara
27
Kyota Tokiwa ↑ 86'

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marcelo Ryan	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Teruhito Nakagawa	2
Keita Endo	2
Kei Koizumi	1
Danilo	1
Keisuke Kasai	1
Matheus Moraes	1

Head to Head

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō L 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata W 2025-04-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2025-04-19 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2025-04-13 Albirex Niigata 0–0 Yokohama FC D 2025-04-06 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Albirex Niigata W

FC Tōkyō Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō W 2025-04-29 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-04-25 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2025-04-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-04-11 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2025-04-06 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 Albirex Niigata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or FC Tōkyō 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata30% Draw28% FC Tōkyō42%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

70%

Albirex Niigata or FC Tōkyō

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Albirex Niigata23% Draw46% FC Tōkyō31%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

8.7%

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 0

6.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap	Albirex Niigata covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.