Albirex Niigata vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Albirex Niigata

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Soya Fujiwara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō 2024-07-13 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tōkyō 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tōkyō 2023-04-29 FC Tōkyō 2–1 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	FC Tōkyō	H	2–3	L
29 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–0	W
26 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
06 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	1–0	W

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
20 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
11 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Albirex Niigata get us underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
5' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tōkyō backline.
8' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan fires home to make it 0-1!
13' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
18' The 24-year-old Hayato Inamura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
23' FC Tōkyō are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
33' Takahiro Ko is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tōkyō tonight.
38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daisuke Kimori might look to freshen things up shortly.
43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Soma Anzai suffering a number of foals already.
48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
52' The Japan Kei Koizumi breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 0-2!
57' The travelling FC Tōkyō supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
58' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Danilo on, Yota Komi off on 58 minutes.
59' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Keita Endo is replaced by Soma Anzai on 59 minute.
64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
66' Keisuke Kasai makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Albirex Niigata are in front.
67' The supporters are chanting for Yoshiaki Takagi. He replaces Hiroki Akiyama on 67 minute.
72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
73' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Takahiro Ko by Kosuke Shirai on 73 minute.
75' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Kein Sato exits the field as Teruhito Nakagawa enters on 75.
80' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
82' Marcelo Ryan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
85' Yuji Hoshi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Taiki Arai on 85 minute.
86' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Teppei Oka comes on to replace Henrique Trevisan.
90' Soya Fujiwara is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Tōkyō take all three points.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Michael Fitzgerald
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 85'
20
Miguel Silveira ↑ 85'
11
Danilo ↑ 58'
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 67'
15
Fumiya Hayakawa
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 67'
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 58'
1
Kazuki Fujita

Coach Daisuke Kimori

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosuke Shirai ↑ 73'
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 75'
4
Yasuki Kimoto
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 86'
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 59'
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 86'
53
Maki Kitahara
27
Kyota Tokiwa ↑ 86'

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	2
Teruhito Nakagawa	2
Keita Endo	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Danilo	1
Keisuke Kasai	1
Matheus Moraes	1
Ryotaro Ito	1

Head to Head

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō L 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata W 2025-04-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2025-04-19 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2025-04-13 Albirex Niigata 0–0 Yokohama FC D 2025-04-06 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Albirex Niigata W

FC Tōkyō Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō W 2025-04-29 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-04-25 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2025-04-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-04-11 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2025-04-06 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 Albirex Niigata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or FC Tōkyō 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata30% Draw28% FC Tōkyō42%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

70%

Albirex Niigata or FC Tōkyō

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Albirex Niigata23% Draw46% FC Tōkyō31%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

8.7%

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 0

6.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap	Albirex Niigata covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.