Albirex Niigata vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Albirex Niigata

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sat 3 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Soya Fujiwara 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō 2024-07-13 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Albirex Niigata 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tōkyō 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tōkyō 2023-04-29 FC Tōkyō 2–1 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	FC Tōkyō	H	2–3	L
29 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–0	W
26 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	0–0	D
06 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	1–0	W

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
20 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
11 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/2

31-45

8/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

4/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Albirex Niigata and FC Tōkyō is underway.
5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kota Tawaratsumida suffering a number of foals already.
8' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 0-1.
13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
23' Soya Fujiwara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
28' It’s high time Daisuke Kimori made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Tōkyō needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
48' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
52' What a strike from Kei Koizumi! The score is 0-2.
57' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
58' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Yota Komi departs to be replaced by Danilo.
59' Soma Anzai is replacing Keita Endo for the FC Tokyo side.
64' Taishi Nozawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
66' GOAL! Keisuke Kasai scores on 66.
67' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yoshiaki Takagi is hanging Hiroki Akiyama on the field on 67 minute.
72' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
73' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kosuke Shirai is hanging Takahiro Ko on the field on 73 minute.
75' Teruhito Nakagawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kein Sato on 75 minute.
80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
82' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 28 goal in 325 matches.
85' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 85 minute. Taiki Arai leaves to be changed by Yuji Hoshi.
86' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Henrique Trevisan by Teppei Oka on 86 minute.
90' Soya Fujiwara is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Tōkyō players.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Michael Fitzgerald
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 85'
20
Miguel Silveira ↑ 85'
11
Danilo ↑ 58'
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 67'
15
Fumiya Hayakawa
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 67'
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 58'
1
Kazuki Fujita

Coach Daisuke Kimori

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

99
Kosuke Shirai ↑ 73'
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 75'
4
Yasuki Kimoto
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 86'
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 59'
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 86'
53
Maki Kitahara
27
Kyota Tokiwa ↑ 86'

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	2
Teruhito Nakagawa	2
Keita Endo	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Danilo	1
Keisuke Kasai	1
Matheus Moraes	1
Ryotaro Ito	1

Head to Head

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō L 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata W 2025-04-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2025-04-19 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-04-13 Albirex Niigata 0–0 Yokohama FC D 2025-04-06 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Albirex Niigata W

FC Tōkyō Form

2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō W 2025-04-29 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-04-25 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2025-04-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-04-11 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2025-04-06 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 Albirex Niigata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 FC Tōkyō xG

I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or FC Tōkyō 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Albirex Niigata30% Draw28% FC Tōkyō42%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Tōkyō

70%

Albirex Niigata or FC Tōkyō

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Albirex Niigata23% Draw46% FC Tōkyō31%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.9%

0 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

8.7%

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 0

6.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap	Albirex Niigata covers	Push	FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.