Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Hisao Manabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Jul | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Albirex Niigata does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Soya Fujiwara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 14' Ryoya Morishita is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 19' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 31' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 31 minute. Ryuji Izumi leaves to be changed by Takuji Yonemoto.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryuji Izumi made 452 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' A moment of madness from Daichi Tagami on 37 minutes earns him a card. Albirex Niigata will be frustrated.
- 42' The 37-year-old Kensuke Nagai has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 47' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' Daichi Tagami has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 61' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Daichi Tagami has done his job and it is now time for Shusuke Ota to step up.
- 62' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Kasper Junker is withdrawn and Naoki Maeda gets his opportunity.
- 67' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 72' The Albirex Niigata bench stirs into life. Hiroki Akiyama is withdrawn and Yuji Hoshi gets his opportunity.
- 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Shusuke Ota.
- 80' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 85' Poor challenge from Takuji Yonemoto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' The referee has no hesitation. Takahiro Ko is booked for Albirex Niigata — card on 86.
- 88' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Yuki Nogami is withdrawn and Yuichi Maruyama gets his opportunity.
- 90' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Takahiro Ko is replaced by Yuzuru Shimada.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Thales Paula 88'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Taika Nakashima 62'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Yuichi Maruyama 88'
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 31'
- 4
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Naoki Maeda 62'
- 24
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 31'
-
–
Naoki Maeda ↑ 62'
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 88'
- 16
- 9
-
–
Taika Nakashima ↑ 62'
-
21
Thales Paula ↑ 88'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
50
Daichi Tagami ↓ Shusuke Ota 61'
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 90'
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Yuto Horigome 62'
- 25
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 72'
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Yuji Hoshi 72'
- 16
- 15
- 9
Bench
- 5
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 90'
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 72'
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↑ 62'
- 21
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↑ 61'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 72'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Albirex Niigata Form
2023-08-05
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-07-15
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2023-07-07
Albirex Niigata
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2023-07-01
Albirex Niigata
2–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-06-24
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Albirex Niigata
D
2023-06-11
Albirex Niigata
1–3
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
48%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.