Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Hisao Manabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Jul | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Albirex Niigata gets underway.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 14' Ryoya Morishita has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
- 19' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Yuji Hoshi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 24' Shinnosuke Nakatani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 31' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Ryuji Izumi is withdrawn and Takuji Yonemoto gets his opportunity.
- 36' Hiroki Akiyama, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' That is a card for Albirex Niigata. Daichi Tagami will be fuming at that decision.
- 42' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 47' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Albirex Niigata's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 52' With 0 assists to his name this season, Haruya Fujii is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
- 57' Yoshiaki Takagi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 110 appearances.
- 61' The whistle greets Daichi Tagami as he departs to be replaced by Shusuke Ota.
- 62' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Kasper Junker is withdrawn and Naoki Maeda gets his opportunity.
- 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuzuru Shimada suffering a number of foals already.
- 72' Yuji Hoshi gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Hiroki Akiyama and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Shusuke Ota picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takuji Yonemoto on 85.
- 86' That is a card for Albirex Niigata. Takahiro Ko will be fuming at that decision.
- 88' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Yuichi Maruyama comes on to replace Yuki Nogami.
- 90' Albirex Niigata make a change. Takahiro Ko trudges off to be replaced by Yuzuru Shimada on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Thales Paula 88'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Taika Nakashima 62'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Yuichi Maruyama 88'
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 31'
- 4
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Naoki Maeda 62'
- 24
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 31'
-
–
Naoki Maeda ↑ 62'
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 88'
- 16
- 9
-
–
Taika Nakashima ↑ 62'
-
21
Thales Paula ↑ 88'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
50
Daichi Tagami ↓ Shusuke Ota 61'
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 90'
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Yuto Horigome 62'
- 25
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 72'
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Yuji Hoshi 72'
- 16
- 15
- 9
Bench
- 5
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 90'
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 72'
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↑ 62'
- 21
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↑ 61'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 72'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Albirex Niigata Form
2023-08-05
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-07-15
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2023-07-07
Albirex Niigata
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2023-07-01
Albirex Niigata
2–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-06-24
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Albirex Niigata
D
2023-06-11
Albirex Niigata
1–3
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
48%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.