Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
- Assistant 2 Hisao Manabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Jul | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata is underway.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Daichi Tagami is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 14' The Japan Ryoya Morishita breaks the deadlock on 14 minutes. 1-0!
- 19' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 31' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Ryuji Izumi exits the field as Takuji Yonemoto enters on 31.
- 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' Poor challenge from Daichi Tagami. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 47' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Shusuke Ota is replacing Daichi Tagami for the Albirex Niigata side.
- 62' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 62 minute. Kasper Junker leaves to be changed by Naoki Maeda.
- 67' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 72' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuji Hoshi is hanging Hiroki Akiyama on the field on 72 minute.
- 75' Controversy at the stadium! Shusuke Ota argues furiously but the card stands.
- 80' Yota Komi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 85' Controversy at the stadium! Takuji Yonemoto argues furiously but the card stands.
- 86' Takahiro Ko catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
- 88' Yuichi Maruyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Nogami on 88 minute.
- 90' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Takahiro Ko by Yuzuru Shimada on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Thales Paula 88'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Taika Nakashima 62'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Yuichi Maruyama 88'
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 31'
- 4
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Naoki Maeda 62'
- 24
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 31'
-
–
Naoki Maeda ↑ 62'
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 88'
- 16
- 9
-
–
Taika Nakashima ↑ 62'
-
21
Thales Paula ↑ 88'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
50
Daichi Tagami ↓ Shusuke Ota 61'
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 90'
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Yuto Horigome 62'
- 25
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 72'
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Yuji Hoshi 72'
- 16
- 15
- 9
Bench
- 5
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 90'
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 72'
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↑ 62'
- 21
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↑ 61'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 72'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Kasper Junker | 1 |
| Shusuke Ota | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Yuki Nogami | 1 |
| Taichi Kikuchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Albirex Niigata Form
2023-08-05
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-07-15
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2023-07-07
Albirex Niigata
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2023-07-01
Albirex Niigata
2–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-06-24
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Albirex Niigata
D
2023-06-11
Albirex Niigata
1–3
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
48%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

