Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 5 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 57,058 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ryoya Morishita 14' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex NiigataJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Assistant 1 Satoshi Karakami
  • Assistant 2 Hisao Manabe

Head-to-Head

4
1
1
Nagoya Grampus 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W
16 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
08 Jul Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–2 D
01 Jul Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
24 Jun FC Tōkyō A 0–2 L
11 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
15 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
07 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
01 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–0 W
24 Jun Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
11 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata is underway.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nagoya Grampus side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Daichi Tagami is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 14' The Japan Ryoya Morishita breaks the deadlock on 14 minutes. 1-0!
  • 19' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Hasegawa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 31' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Ryuji Izumi exits the field as Takuji Yonemoto enters on 31.
  • 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' Poor challenge from Daichi Tagami. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 47' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' Shusuke Ota is replacing Daichi Tagami for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 62' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 62 minute. Kasper Junker leaves to be changed by Naoki Maeda.
  • 67' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 72' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuji Hoshi is hanging Hiroki Akiyama on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Shusuke Ota argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 80' Yota Komi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Takuji Yonemoto argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' Takahiro Ko catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
  • 88' Yuichi Maruyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Nogami on 88 minute.
  • 90' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Takahiro Ko by Yuzuru Shimada on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus52% Draw28% Albirex Niigata20%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
80%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
48%
Nagoya Grampus or Albirex Niigata
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus33% Draw52% Albirex Niigata15%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.