Fagiano Okayama FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at City Light Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Fagiano Okayama FC and Albirex Niigata.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' What a strike from Ataru Esaka! The score is 1-0.
- 15' Goal! Motoki Hasegawa scores his 9 goal in 110 matches.
- 20' Japan international Yugo Tatsuta has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' Poor challenge from Michael Fitzgerald. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Jason Geria has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 210 appearances.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 58' Kazunari Ichimi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 58' Yoshiaki Takagi gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Keisuke Kasai and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 67' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Kazunari Ichimi departs to be replaced by Lucao.
- 72' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Yuji Hoshi has done his job and it is now time for Ken Yamura to step up.
- 79' A tactical swap from Albirex Niigata — Shusuke Ota on, Danilo off on 79 minutes.
- 80' The whistle greets Ryo Tabei as he departs to be replaced by Ryo Takeuchi.
- 85' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 89' Kota Kudo is replacing Yoshitake Suzuki for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Yugo Tatsuta.
- Fagiano Okayama FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 89'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 67'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 80'
- 24
- 39
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 67'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 80'
Bench
- 88
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 80'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 80'
-
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 89'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 67'
- 45
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 67'
- 21
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↓ Ken Yamura 78'
- 2
-
11
Danilo ↓ Shusuke Ota 79'
- 25
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kento Hashimoto 58'
- 23
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Yota Komi 58'
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 58'
- 22
Bench
- 35
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 58'
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↑ 79'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 58'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 58'
- 13
- 8
-
9
Ken Yamura ↑ 78'
- 1
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 2 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Eiji Shirai | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
52%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Albirex Niigata
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

