Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Albirex Niigata
1 – 0
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 29' Kensuke Nagai
Naoto Arai 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
4
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-08-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
02 Mar Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
24 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
23 Feb Kashima Antlers H 0–3 L
03 Dec Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
25 Nov Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
11 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Albirex Niigata host Nagoya Grampus — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 10' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Michael Fitzgerald has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' Kensuke Nagai is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 49' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuji Ono, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 59' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Ken Masui has done his job and it is now time for Tsukasa Morishima to step up.
  • 64' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 69' Eitaro Matsuda makes way for Motoki Nagakura at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 74' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
  • 78' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 78 minute. Yoshiaki Takagi leaves to be changed by Motoki Hasegawa.
  • 83' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Naoto Arai. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Motoki Hasegawa makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 89' Keiya Shiihashi makes way for Patric at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kensuke Nagai 2
Shusuke Ota 1
Motoki Hasegawa 1
Yuki Nogami 1
Taichi Kikuchi 1
Ryuji Izumi 1
Yuya Yamagishi 1
Ryoya Morishita 1

Head to Head

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-08-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Albirex Niigata Form

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-03-02 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Albirex Niigata L 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata W 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-11-24 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Albirex Niigata D 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tōkyō D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers L 2023-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-11-25 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata46% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
76%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw54% Nagoya Grampus19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.