Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Albirex Niigata
1 – 0
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 29' Kensuke Nagai
Naoto Arai 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
4
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-08-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
02 Mar Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
24 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
23 Feb Kashima Antlers H 0–3 L
03 Dec Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
25 Nov Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
11 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Denka Big Swan Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takuya Uchida suffering a number of foals already.
  • 29' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 29.
  • 34' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' Keiya Shiihashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mitch Langerak is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuto Horigome, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Ken Masui as he leaves the pitch. Tsukasa Morishima steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 64' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 69' Motoki Nagakura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eitaro Matsuda on 69 minute.
  • 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 78' Yoshiaki Takagi makes way for Motoki Hasegawa at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
  • 83' Ken Masui has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 444 appearances.
  • 84' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' Motoki Hasegawa adds to his 0 season tally! Albirex Niigata lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Keiya Shiihashi has done his job and it is now time for Patric to step up.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kensuke Nagai 2
Kasper Junker 1
Shusuke Ota 1
Motoki Hasegawa 1
Yuki Nogami 1
Taichi Kikuchi 1
Ryuji Izumi 1
Yuya Yamagishi 1

Head to Head

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-08-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Albirex Niigata Form

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-03-02 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Albirex Niigata L 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata W 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-11-24 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Albirex Niigata D 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tōkyō D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers L 2023-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-11-25 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata46% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
76%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw54% Nagoya Grampus19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.