Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Albirex Niigata
1 – 0
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 29' Kensuke Nagai
Naoto Arai 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
4
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-08-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
02 Mar Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
24 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tokyo H 0–0 D
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
23 Feb Kashima Antlers H 0–3 L
03 Dec Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
25 Nov Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
11 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Albirex Niigata welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
  • 20' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kensuke Nagai on 29 minutes.
  • 34' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' South Korea international Chang-rae Ha has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Eitaro Matsuda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
  • 54' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Tsukasa Morishima. He replaces Ken Masui on 59 minute.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Motoki Nagakura. He replaces Eitaro Matsuda on 69 minute.
  • 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Motoki Hasegawa. He replaces Yoshiaki Takagi on 78 minute.
  • 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Naoto Arai on 84 minutes.
  • 88' Motoki Hasegawa makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Albirex Niigata are in front.
  • 89' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Keiya Shiihashi trudges off to be replaced by Patric on 89 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Albirex Niigata to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kensuke Nagai 2
Yuya Yamagishi 1
Ryoya Morishita 1
Sho Inagaki 1
Kasper Junker 1
Shusuke Ota 1
Motoki Hasegawa 1
Yuki Nogami 1

Head to Head

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2023-08-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-04-01 Albirex Niigata 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

Albirex Niigata Form

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-03-02 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Albirex Niigata L 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata W 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-11-24 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Albirex Niigata D 2023-11-11 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Tokyo D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-03-09 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers L 2023-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-11-25 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata46% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
76%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw54% Nagoya Grampus19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.