Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya GrampusJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
02 Mar Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
24 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
23 Feb Kashima Antlers H 0–3 L
03 Dec Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
25 Nov Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
11 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus is underway.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Thomas Deng has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 29' A moment of madness from Kensuke Nagai on 29 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 44' With 1 assists to his name this season, Tojiro Kubo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Nagoya GrampusTsukasa Morishima on, Ken Masui off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 69' Motoki Nagakura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eitaro Matsuda on 69 minute.
  • 74' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
  • 78' Motoki Hasegawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yoshiaki Takagi on 78 minute.
  • 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
  • 84' Naoto Arai was booked on 84.
  • 88' Motoki Hasegawa does the damage! The net is bulging and Albirex Niigata surge ahead!
  • 89' A tactical swap from Nagoya GrampusPatric on, Keiya Shiihashi off on 89 minutes.
  • Nagoya Grampus will have plenty to reflect on. Albirex Niigata were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata46% Draw30% Nagoya Grampus24%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
76%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
54%
Albirex Niigata or Nagoya Grampus
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata27% Draw54% Nagoya Grampus19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
42%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.