Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan BellmareJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
18 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–2 L
11 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
03 May FC Tōkyō H 2–3 L
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
26 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Albirex Niigata A 1–2 L
17 May Yokohama FC H 0–1 L
11 May Tokyo Verdy A 2–0 W
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
03 May Gamba Osaka A 0–4 L
29 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taiga Hata made 418 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michael Fitzgerald suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' GOAL! Luiz Phellype scores on 20. Assisted by Taiga Hata
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' What a strike from Kaito Taniguchi! The score is 1-1.
  • 36' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Yutaro Oda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luiz Phellype on 56 minute.
  • 61' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 71' Yota Komi puts Albirex Niigata on the lead.
  • 76' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Danilo. He replaces Jin Okumura on 80 minute.
  • 81' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Akimi Barada is hanging Taiyo Hiraoka on the field on 81 minute.
  • 83' Keisuke Kasai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kaito Taniguchi on 83 minute.
  • 88' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yutaro Oda, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 89' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Yota Komi by Ken Yamura on 89 minute.
  • 90' The whistle greets Masaki Ikeda as he departs to be replaced by Ryo Nemoto.
  • Another three points for Albirex Niigata.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.61 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata48% Draw25% Shonan Bellmare27%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
74%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
52%
Albirex Niigata or Shonan Bellmare
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata32% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
29%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.