Friday , 16 October 2026

Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
Mirassol FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Fri 17 Jul 2026 · 23:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruno Oliveira 16' 1–0
Edson Carioca 40' 2–0
2–1 78' Carlos Vinicius
Denilson Alves 38' Y
Y 41' Walter Kannemann
Y 65' Gustavo Martins
Y 79' Leonel Perez

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

3
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2026-07-17 Mirassol FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-13 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Mirassol FC 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
30 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
23 May Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
16 May CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
10 May Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
03 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Gremio FBPA
#15 Position #18
33 Points 31
30 Played 30
8 / 9 / 13 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
34 Scored 32
44 Conceded 40
-10 GD -8
1.10 PPG 1.03
27% Win % 23%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Mirassol FC are 15th (33 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/4
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Mathias Villasanti has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Carlos Vinicius has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 16' Assisted by Igor Formiga with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bruno Oliveira makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 21' Gustavo Martins has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 26' Mirassol FC have won 87 goals from 66 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Mirassol FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
  • 38' Denilson Alves picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 40' Edson Carioca adds to his 2 season tally! Mirassol FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 41.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Francis Amuzu is replaced by Willian on 46 minute.
  • 51' With 1 assists to his name this season, Pedro Gabriel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Mirassol FC.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Mirassol FC that had 66 games and scored 87 goals.
  • 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 65' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Gustavo Martins will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Mirassol FC and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 72' Another substitution for Mirassol FC to replace Edson Carioca by Carlos Eduardo on 72 minute.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Andre Luis. He replaces Bruno Oliveira on 75 minute.
  • 76' A change in the Mirassol FC ranks — Joao Wellington exits the field as Shaylon enters on 76.
  • 78' A stunning finish from Carlos Vinicius — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 79' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' Juan Ignacio Nardoni makes way for Riquelme at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 83' Mirassol FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Chico is hanging Denilson Alves on the field on 83 minute.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Marcos Rocha. He replaces Tete on 86 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Mirassol FC players.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rafael Guanaes

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Castro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Reinaldo 2
Daniel Borges 2
Carlos Vinicius 1
Edson Carioca 1
Bruno Oliveira 1
Martin Braithwaite 1
Alesson 1

Head to Head

2026-07-17 Mirassol FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-13 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Mirassol FC 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA

Mirassol FC Form

2026-07-17 Mirassol FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2026-05-30 CA Paranaense 0–0 Mirassol FC D 2026-05-23 Mirassol FC 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2026-05-16 CA Mineiro 3–1 Mirassol FC L 2026-05-10 Mirassol FC 1–1 Chapecoense AF D 2026-05-03 Mirassol FC 1–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-07-17 Mirassol FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2026-05-30 Gremio FBPA 0–0 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2026-05-23 Gremio FBPA 3–2 Santos FC W 2026-05-17 EC Bahia 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2026-05-10 Gremio FBPA 0–0 CR Flamengo D 2026-05-02 CA Paranaense 0–0 Gremio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.54 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC53% Draw26% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
47%
Mirassol FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC35% Draw49% Gremio FBPA16%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.