Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sun 4 Jun 2023 · 00:30 UTC Allianz Field HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 58' Lorenzo Insigne
Kervin Arriaga 89' 1–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Toronto FC H 1–1 D
01 Jun Austin FC A 1–2 L
28 May Real Salt Lake H 1–1 D
21 May Portland Timbers A 1–0 W
18 May Houston Dynamo H 1–0 W
14 May Sporting Kansas City A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Minnesota United FC A 1–1 D
31 May Chicago Fire FC H 0–0 D
27 May D.C. United SC H 2–1 W
21 May Austin FC A 0–1 L
17 May New York Red Bulls H 0–0 D
13 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Minnesota United FC Toronto FC
#29 Position #13
29 Points 29
27 Played 27
7 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
40 Scored 39
49 Conceded 51
-9 GD -12
1.07 PPG 1.07
26% Win % 22%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Minnesota United FC
Kelvin Yeboah 14 G 2 A
Anthony Markanich 8 G 2 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Minnesota United FC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bongokuhle Hlongwane suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 292 games and scored 385 goals.
  • 20' Minnesota United FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Minnesota United FC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' The referee calls foul for Wil Trapp. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Kosi Thompson departs to be replaced by Brandon Servania.
  • 51' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Minnesota United FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 57' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Matt Hedges departs to be replaced by Sigurd Rosted.
  • 58' GOAL! Lorenzo Insigne fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 63' The 29-year-old Dayne St. Clair has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 65' Kervin Arriaga is replacing Hassani Dotson for the Minnesota United FC side.
  • 69' Minnesota United FC make a change. D.J. Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Devin Padelford on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 77' Mender Garcia gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Franco Fragapane and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 86' Toronto FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 89' The deadlock is broken! Kervin Arriaga gets on the scoresheet on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Brandon Servania has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Minnesota United FC46% Draw25% Toronto FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Minnesota United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Toronto FC
54%
Minnesota United FC or Toronto FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Minnesota United FC34% Draw41% Toronto FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC

Handicap Minnesota United FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.