Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | Austin FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | Portland Timbers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #11 |
| 22 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 18 | Scored | 22 |
| 22 | Conceded | 29 |
| -4 | GD | -7 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 40% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Allianz Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Minnesota United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Bongokuhle Hlongwane needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' Wil Trapp was booked on 31.
- 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Minnesota United FC that had 282 games and scored 414 goals.
- 41' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Kosi Thompson is replaced by Brandon Servania on 46 minute.
- 51' Minnesota United FC is showing some good football. However, Minnesota United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Minnesota United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 57' Sigurd Rosted is replacing Matt Hedges for the Toronto FC side.
- 58' GOAL! Lorenzo Insigne scores on 58.
- 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Kervin Arriaga. He replaces Hassani Dotson on 65 minute.
- 69' The Minnesota United FC manager makes a substitution. D.J. Taylor departs to be replaced by Devin Padelford.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Minnesota United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 77' Mender Garcia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Franco Fragapane on 77 minute.
- 82' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 86' The referee shows Toronto FC player a Yellow card on 86.
- 89' What an equalizer from Kervin Arriaga!
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Brandon Servania.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 20
- 15
- 7
-
31
Hassani Dotson ↓ Kervin Arriaga 65'
- 97
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↓ Devin Padelford 69'
- 8
- 21
- 4
- 11
Bench
- 13
- 1
- 14
-
10
Emanuel Reynoso ↑ 65'
- 23
-
33
Kervin Arriaga ↑ 65'
-
28
Mender Garcia ↑ 77'
-
22
Devin Padelford ↑ 69'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 24
-
2
Matt Hedges ↓ Sigurd Rosted 57'
- 9
- 14
- 1
- 22
- 7
- 6
- 47
- 19
Bench
-
23
Brandon Servania ↑ 46'
- 20
- 28
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 57'
- 30
- 77
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
- 81
- 83
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Darwin Quintero | 5 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 3 |
| Darwin Quintero | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Angelo Rodriguez | 1 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 1 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Kervin Arriaga | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2023-06-04
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2023-06-01
Austin FC
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-05-28
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Real Salt Lake
D
2023-05-21
Portland Timbers
0–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2023-05-18
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-05-14
Sporting Kansas City
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.76
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Toronto FC
55%
Minnesota United FC or Toronto FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.