Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | Austin FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | Portland Timbers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #13 |
| 29 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 7 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 40 | Scored | 39 |
| 49 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 26% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 14 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 8 G | 2 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Minnesota United FC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bongokuhle Hlongwane suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 292 games and scored 385 goals.
- 20' Minnesota United FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Minnesota United FC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' The referee calls foul for Wil Trapp. He receives a Yellow card.
- 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
- 41' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Kosi Thompson departs to be replaced by Brandon Servania.
- 51' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' Minnesota United FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 57' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Matt Hedges departs to be replaced by Sigurd Rosted.
- 58' GOAL! Lorenzo Insigne fires home to make it 0-1!
- 63' The 29-year-old Dayne St. Clair has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 65' Kervin Arriaga is replacing Hassani Dotson for the Minnesota United FC side.
- 69' Minnesota United FC make a change. D.J. Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Devin Padelford on 69 minutes.
- 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 77' Mender Garcia gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Franco Fragapane and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 86' Toronto FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 89' The deadlock is broken! Kervin Arriaga gets on the scoresheet on 89 minutes.
- 90' Brandon Servania has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 20
- 15
- 7
-
31
Hassani Dotson ↓ Kervin Arriaga 65'
- 97
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↓ Devin Padelford 69'
- 8
- 21
- 4
- 11
Bench
- 13
- 1
- 14
-
10
Emanuel Reynoso ↑ 65'
- 23
-
33
Kervin Arriaga ↑ 65'
-
28
Mender Garcia ↑ 77'
-
22
Devin Padelford ↑ 69'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 24
-
2
Matt Hedges ↓ Sigurd Rosted 57'
- 9
- 14
- 1
- 22
- 7
- 6
- 47
- 19
Bench
-
23
Brandon Servania ↑ 46'
- 20
- 28
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 57'
- 30
- 77
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
- 81
- 83
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Darwin Quintero | 5 |
| Darwin Quintero | 3 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Kervin Arriaga | 1 |
| Miguel Ibarra | 1 |
| Justin Morrow | 1 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2023-06-04
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2023-06-01
Austin FC
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-05-28
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Real Salt Lake
D
2023-05-21
Portland Timbers
0–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2023-05-18
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-05-14
Sporting Kansas City
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Toronto FC
54%
Minnesota United FC or Toronto FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

