Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Wed 17 May 2023 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May New York Red Bulls H 0–0 D
13 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
06 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
29 Apr New York City FC H 1–0 W
22 Apr Philadelphia Union A 2–4 L
15 Apr Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toronto FC A 0–0 D
13 May New York City FC H 1–0 W
06 May Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
30 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 1–1 D
22 Apr Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
15 Apr Houston Dynamo H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC New York Red Bulls
#13 Position #10
29 Points 33
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
39 Scored 34
51 Conceded 48
-12 GD -14
1.07 PPG 1.27
22% Win % 35%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 10 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact 4-4-2.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bob Bradley will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' Dylan Nealis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' Wikelman Carmona has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' Toronto FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 41' Themi Antonoglou is replacing Deandre Kerr for the Toronto FC side.
  • 45' New York Red Bulls player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Charles Sapong departs to be replaced by Ayo Akinola.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 61' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 66' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 73' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Cory Burke on, Elias Manoel off on 73 minutes.
  • 75' Peter Stroud picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 85' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aime Mabika is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
  • 89' Tom Barlow picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' Hugo Mbongue has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Bernardeschi on 89 minute.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC35% Draw30% New York Red Bulls35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
65%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
65%
Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC25% Draw49% New York Red Bulls26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.