Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Wed 17 May 2023 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May New York Red Bulls H 0–0 D
13 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
06 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
29 Apr New York City FC H 1–0 W
22 Apr Philadelphia Union A 2–4 L
15 Apr Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toronto FC A 0–0 D
13 May New York City FC H 1–0 W
06 May Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
30 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 1–1 D
22 Apr Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
15 Apr Houston Dynamo H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC New York Red Bulls
#11 Position #5
14 Points 22
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
22 Scored 25
29 Conceded 32
-7 GD -7
1.00 PPG 1.47
21% Win % 40%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Toronto FC launch into their encounter with New York Red Bulls.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 280 games and scored 369 goals.
  • 10' Brandon Servania has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 281 appearances.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Omir Fernandez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 0% of all matches.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Deandre Kerr is replaced by Themi Antonoglou.
  • 45' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' Charles Sapong makes way for Ayo Akinola at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Elias Manoel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' Toronto FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 66' Cameron Harper has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 73' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Elias Manoel exits the field as Cory Burke enters on 73.
  • 75' The referee has no hesitation. Peter Stroud is booked for New York Red Bulls — Yellow card on 75.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hassan Ndam made 283 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 89' A moment of madness from Tom Barlow on 89 minutes earns him a Yellow card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
  • 89' Toronto FC ring the changes. Federico Bernardeschi has done his job and it is now time for Hugo Mbongue to step up.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.47 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 72% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC35% Draw28% New York Red Bulls37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
63%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
65%
Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC27% Draw44% New York Red Bulls29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
22%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.