Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–3 | L |
| 07 May | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 May | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Orlando City SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 May | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #20 |
| 44 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 11 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 11 |
| 56 | Scored | 43 |
| 58 | Conceded | 43 |
| -2 | GD | +0 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 32% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Minnesota United FC are 25th (44 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/5
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/5
76+
11/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Houston Dynamo gets underway.
- 5' Houston Dynamo has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked 19 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 14' Bongokuhle Hlongwane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
- 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 24' Carlos Ferreira, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Houston Dynamo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Wil Trapp was booked on 30.
- 35' USA international Daniel Steres has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' A moment of madness from Bongokuhle Hlongwane on 40 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Minnesota United FC will be frustrated.
- 45' Houston Dynamo have won 407 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' The whistle greets Corey Baird as he departs to be replaced by Ivan Franco.
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Micael argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 55' Houston Dynamo looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lyle Foster scoring 1 goals.
- 59' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Ibrahim Aliyu by Carlos Ferreira on 59 minute.
- 63' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Wil Trapp has done his job and it is now time for Joseph Rosales to step up.
- 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Hassani Dotson.
- 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 73' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Franco Fragapane is replaced by Sang-Bin Jung on 73 minute.
- 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Kervin Arriaga. He replaces Luis Amarilla on 80 minute.
- 83' Franco Escobar makes way for Griffin Dorsey at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
- 88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Minnesota United FC 1-0 Houston Dynamo.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 92
-
20
Wil Trapp ↓ Joseph Rosales 63'
- 15
- 7
-
9
Luis Amarilla ↓ Kervin Arriaga 80'
- 31
- 97
- 27
- 21
- 4
Bench
- 13
- 3
- 1
- 14
- 23
-
8
Joseph Rosales ↑ 63'
-
33
Kervin Arriaga ↑ 80'
- 28
-
11
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 73'
Coach
Adrian Heath
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
5
Daniel Steres ↓ Brad Smith 46'
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Ivan Franco 46'
- 27
- 12
- 20
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Griffin Dorsey 83'
- 4
- 31
- 21
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↓ Carlos Ferreira 59'
Bench
- 13
-
3
Brad Smith ↑ 46'
-
25
Griffin Dorsey ↑ 83'
-
7
Ivan Franco ↑ 46'
- 35
-
34
Thor Ulfarsson ↑ 59'
-
9
Carlos Ferreira ↑ 59'
- 19
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Darwin Quintero | 2 |
| Franco Fragapane | 2 |
| Ariel Lassiter | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Felipe | 2 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2023-05-18
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-05-14
Sporting Kansas City
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-05-07
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-05-01
Minnesota United FC
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2023-04-23
Seattle Sounders FC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-04-16
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Orlando City SC
L
Houston Dynamo Form
2023-05-18
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-05-14
Houston Dynamo
0–1
Seattle Sounders FC
L
2023-05-07
Houston Dynamo
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2023-04-23
Houston Dynamo
1–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2023-04-15
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Houston Dynamo
D
2023-04-09
Houston Dynamo
3–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
50%
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

