Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–3 | L |
| 07 May | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 May | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Orlando City SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 May | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #20 |
| 29 | Points | 44 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 7 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 5 / 9 |
| 40 | Scored | 34 |
| 49 | Conceded | 32 |
| -9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 26% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 14 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 8 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Field as Minnesota United FC face off against Houston Dynamo in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Thor Ulfarsson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Minnesota United FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Houston Dynamo's 4-3-3 shape.
- 14' Bongokuhle Hlongwane makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Minnesota United FC are in front.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 24' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Wil Trapp was booked on 30.
- 35' The 29-year-old Miguel Tapias has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 40' Bongokuhle Hlongwane was booked on 40.
- 45' Kemar Lawrence is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Minnesota United FC tonight.
- 46' Houston Dynamo make a change. Corey Baird trudges off to be replaced by Ivan Franco on 46 minutes.
- 50' Poor challenge from Micael. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Minnesota United FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Houston Dynamo's compact 4-3-3.
- 59' Carlos Ferreira gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Ibrahim Aliyu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' Minnesota United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joseph Rosales is hanging Wil Trapp on the field on 63 minute.
- 67' Minnesota United FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 67.
- 72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 73' Sang-Bin Jung has so much to prove this time. He replaces Franco Fragapane on 73 minute.
- 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 80' Kervin Arriaga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luis Amarilla on 80 minute.
- 83' Fresh legs for Houston Dynamo! Griffin Dorsey comes on to replace Franco Escobar.
- 88' With 0 assists to his name this season, Steve Clark is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 92
-
20
Wil Trapp ↓ Joseph Rosales 63'
- 15
- 7
-
9
Luis Amarilla ↓ Kervin Arriaga 80'
- 31
- 97
- 27
- 21
- 4
Bench
- 13
- 3
- 1
- 14
- 23
-
8
Joseph Rosales ↑ 63'
-
33
Kervin Arriaga ↑ 80'
- 28
-
11
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 73'
Coach
Adrian Heath
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
5
Daniel Steres ↓ Brad Smith 46'
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Ivan Franco 46'
- 27
- 12
- 20
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Griffin Dorsey 83'
- 4
- 31
- 21
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↓ Carlos Ferreira 59'
Bench
- 13
-
3
Brad Smith ↑ 46'
-
25
Griffin Dorsey ↑ 83'
-
7
Ivan Franco ↑ 46'
- 35
-
34
Thor Ulfarsson ↑ 59'
-
9
Carlos Ferreira ↑ 59'
- 19
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Franco Fragapane | 2 |
| Ariel Lassiter | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2023-05-18
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-05-14
Sporting Kansas City
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-05-07
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-05-01
Minnesota United FC
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2023-04-23
Seattle Sounders FC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-04-16
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Orlando City SC
L
Houston Dynamo Form
2023-05-18
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-05-14
Houston Dynamo
0–1
Seattle Sounders FC
L
2023-05-07
Houston Dynamo
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2023-04-23
Houston Dynamo
1–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2023-04-15
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Houston Dynamo
D
2023-04-09
Houston Dynamo
3–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
53%
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

