Toronto FC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS .
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee Ted Unkel
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Geoff Gamble
14 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 6.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Minnesota United FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | New York City FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | New England Revolution | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | New York City FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Mar | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #29 |
| 29 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 12 |
| 39 | Scored | 40 |
| 51 | Conceded | 49 |
| -12 | GD | -9 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 22% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 14 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Toronto FC get us underway at .
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Minnesota United FC that had 289 games and scored 425 goals.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 17' Assisted by Jan Gregus with the perfectly-timed delivery and Darwin Quintero makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 22' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Richie Laryea has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' Jonathan Osorio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 28' Magnificent from Pozuelo! That is 43 goals in 320 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 30' Pozuelo doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 35' Minnesota United FC have won 425 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' It’s high time Greg Vanney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 50' Minnesota United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 51' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Marky Delgado gets a Yellow card.
- 56' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' GOAL! Angelo Rodriguez scores on 57. Assisted by Romain Metanire
- 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 65' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Richie Laryea is withdrawn and Auro gets his opportunity.
- 70' A stunning finish from Darwin Quintero — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 73' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Nick DeLeon by Jordan Hamilton on 73 minute.
- 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jordan Hamilton makes it 3-3.
- 79' What composure from Jordan Hamilton! The Canada international strokes it home. 4-3.
- 82' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Eriq Zavaleta comes on to replace Jozy Altidore.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 89' Poor challenge from Jan Gregus. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for Minnesota United FC. Francisco Calvo will be fuming at that decision.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 25
- 2
- 23
- 4
- 21
- 8
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Eriq Zavaleta 82'
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Jordan Hamilton 73'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Auro 65'
Bench
- 16
- 5
-
15
Eriq Zavaleta ↑ 82'
-
96
Auro ↑ 65'
- 27
- 14
-
7
Jordan Hamilton ↑ 73'
Coach
Greg Vanney
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 5
- 6
- 9
- 25
-
20
Rasmus Schuller ↓ Abu Danladi 82'
- 15
- 14
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Kevin Molino 82'
- 8
Bench
- 12
- 11
- 33
- 4
-
99
Abu Danladi ↑ 82'
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 82'
- 31
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Darwin Quintero | 5 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 3 |
| Darwin Quintero | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 1 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Kervin Arriaga | 1 |
| Miguel Ibarra | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2019-04-20
Toronto FC
4–3
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-04-13
Minnesota United FC
3–3
New York City FC
D
2019-04-06
New York Red Bulls
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2019-03-30
New England Revolution
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-03-17
Los Angeles Galaxy
3–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-03-10
San Jose Earthquakes
0–3
Minnesota United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.53
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
51%
Toronto FC or Minnesota United FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 3
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 17% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

