Toronto FC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS .
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ismail Elfath
- Referee Corey Parker
- Referee Ted Unkel
- Referee Kyle Atkins
- Referee Geoff Gamble
14 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 6.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Minnesota United FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | New York City FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | New England Revolution | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | New York City FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Mar | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #25 |
| 39 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 11 / 11 / 12 |
| 52 | Scored | 56 |
| 67 | Conceded | 58 |
| -15 | GD | -2 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 26% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/5
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/5
76+
11/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- 5' The 34-year-old Eriq Zavaleta has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Minnesota United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 17' The Colombia Darwin Quintero breaks the deadlock on 17 minutes. 0-1!
- 22' It’s high time Greg Vanney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 27' Vito Mannone has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 28' A stunning finish from Pozuelo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 30' GOAL! Pozuelo fires home to make it 2-1!
- 35' Minnesota United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Minnesota United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 50' Minnesota United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marky Delgado.
- 56' Michael Boxall has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 301 appearances.
- 57' GOAL! Angelo Rodriguez scores on 57. Assisted by Romain Metanire
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 65' Auro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Richie Laryea on 65 minute.
- 70' Darwin Quintero makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Minnesota United FC are in front.
- 73' Toronto FC ring the changes. Nick DeLeon has done his job and it is now time for Jordan Hamilton to step up.
- 77' What an equalizer from Jordan Hamilton!
- 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jordan Hamilton makes it 4-3.
- 82' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Jozy Altidore is withdrawn and Eriq Zavaleta gets his opportunity.
- 87' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past Minnesota United FC's compact .
- 89' It’s a booking for Minnesota United FC player. Jan Gregus gets a Red card.
- 90' Francisco Calvo is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toronto FC players.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 25
- 2
- 23
- 4
- 21
- 8
-
17
Jozy Altidore ↓ Eriq Zavaleta 82'
- 10
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↓ Jordan Hamilton 73'
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Auro 65'
Bench
- 16
- 5
-
15
Eriq Zavaleta ↑ 82'
-
96
Auro ↑ 65'
- 27
- 14
-
7
Jordan Hamilton ↑ 73'
Coach
Greg Vanney
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 19
- 5
- 6
- 9
- 25
-
20
Rasmus Schuller ↓ Abu Danladi 82'
- 15
- 14
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Kevin Molino 82'
- 8
Bench
- 12
- 11
- 33
- 4
-
99
Abu Danladi ↑ 82'
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 82'
- 31
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Darwin Quintero | 5 |
| Darwin Quintero | 3 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 1 |
| Miguel Ibarra | 1 |
| Justin Morrow | 1 |
| Angelo Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2019-04-20
Toronto FC
4–3
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-04-13
Minnesota United FC
3–3
New York City FC
D
2019-04-06
New York Red Bulls
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2019-03-30
New England Revolution
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-03-17
Los Angeles Galaxy
3–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-03-10
San Jose Earthquakes
0–3
Minnesota United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.51
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.32
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
53%
Toronto FC or Minnesota United FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
1 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
4 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3%
2 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 17% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 15% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 11% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

