Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Portland Timbers

0 – 1

Full Time

Minnesota United FC

Sun 21 May 2023 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 90+5' Bongokuhle Hlongwane

Zac McGraw 63' Y

Claudio Bravo 67' Y

Y 82' Michael Boxall

Dario Zuparic 84' Y

Y 90' Bongokuhle Hlongwane

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Minnesota United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-21 Portland Timbers 0–1 Minnesota United FC 2022-09-11 Portland Timbers 1–0 Minnesota United FC 2022-07-30 Minnesota United FC 4–4 Portland Timbers 2021-07-25 Minnesota United FC 2–1 Portland Timbers 2021-06-27 Portland Timbers 0–1 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 May	Minnesota United FC	H	0–1	L
18 May	Real Salt Lake	A	0–0	D
14 May	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	3–1	W
07 May	Austin FC	H	2–2	D
30 Apr	St. Louis City	A	2–1	W
22 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	1–2	L

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 May	Portland Timbers	A	1–0	W
18 May	Houston Dynamo	H	1–0	W
14 May	Sporting Kansas City	A	0–3	L
07 May	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	2–3	L
01 May	FC Dallas	H	0–0	D
23 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		Minnesota United FC
#26	Position	#29
32	Points	29
27	Played	27
9 / 5 / 13	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 12
48	Scored	40
51	Conceded	49
-3	GD	-9
1.19	PPG	1.07
33%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

4% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

22% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

4/9

16-30

7/9

31-45

5/8

46-60

5/4

61-75

7/–

76+

10/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Minnesota United FC

0-15

4/7

16-30

4/9

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/5

61-75

7/4

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A
Kristoffer Velde	8 G	5 A

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah	14 G	2 A
Anthony Markanich	8 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Minnesota United FC kicks off things out of here…
5' Minnesota United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' Evander has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 10 goals this season.
15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
25' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
35' Kemar Lawrence is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Minnesota United FC tonight.
40' Colombia international Juan Mosquera has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
55' Portland Timbers are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Minnesota United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
60' Minnesota United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
63' Zac McGraw catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 63.
64' The supporters are chanting for Yimmi Chara. He replaces Santiago Moreno on 64 minute.
67' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Claudio Bravo on 67 minutes.
69' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Luis Amarilla exits the field as Sang-Bin Jung enters on 69.
70' Time for substitution for Minnesota United FC. Luis Amarilla is replaced by Sang-Bin Jung.
72' Minnesota United FC make a change. Joseph Rosales trudges off to be replaced by Kervin Arriaga on 72 minutes.
77' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
78' It is a substitution in Portland Timbers team. Dairon Asprilla is replaced by Sebastian Blanco on 78 minute.
82' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Michael Boxall.
84' It’s a booking for Portland Timbers player. Dario Zuparic gets a Yellow card.
89' Sang-bin Jeong needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
90' A moment of madness from Bongokuhle Hlongwane on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Minnesota United FC will be frustrated.
The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Evander
21
Diego Chara
27
Dairon Asprilla ↓ Sebastian Blanco 78'
22
Cristhian Paredes
5
Claudio Bravo
31
Aljaz Ivacic
13
Dario Zuparic
7
Franck Boli ↓ Jaroslaw Niezgoda 64'
18
Zac McGraw
30
Santiago Moreno ↓ Yimmi Chara 64'
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

Coach Giovanni Savarese

Minnesota United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Adrian Heath

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sebastian Blanco	4
Bongokuhle Hlongwane	4
Robin Lod	3
Vincent Janssen	3
Luis Amarilla	3
Anthony Markanich	2
Romario Ibarra	2
Marcus Caldeira	2

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2023-05-21 Portland Timbers 0–1 Minnesota United FC L 2023-05-18 Real Salt Lake 0–0 Portland Timbers D 2023-05-14 Portland Timbers 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2023-05-07 Portland Timbers 2–2 Austin FC D 2023-04-30 St. Louis City 1–2 Portland Timbers W 2023-04-22 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Portland Timbers L

Minnesota United FC Form

2023-05-21 Portland Timbers 0–1 Minnesota United FC W 2023-05-18 Minnesota United FC 1–0 Houston Dynamo W 2023-05-14 Sporting Kansas City 3–0 Minnesota United FC L 2023-05-07 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–2 Minnesota United FC L 2023-05-01 Minnesota United FC 0–0 FC Dallas D 2023-04-23 Seattle Sounders FC 1–0 Minnesota United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.89 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Minnesota United FC xG

I would bet for: Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers43% Draw26% Minnesota United FC31%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

69%

Draw or Minnesota United FC

57%

Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers35% Draw41% Minnesota United FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.1%

1 – 0

5.8%

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	20%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.