Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | Austin FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | Portland Timbers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #12 |
| 24 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 20 | Scored | 24 |
| 25 | Conceded | 32 |
| -5 | GD | -8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 33% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Minnesota United FC is hosting Toronto FC for another epic battle.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' Minnesota United FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 15' Minnesota United FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Wil Trapp.
- 36' Zarek Valentin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Kosi Thompson departs to be replaced by Brandon Servania.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Sigurd Rosted. He replaces Matt Hedges on 57 minute.
- 58' What composure from Lorenzo Insigne! The Italy international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 63' It is a cagey affair so far. Minnesota United FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Kervin Arriaga. He replaces Hassani Dotson on 65 minute.
- 69' Minnesota United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Devin Padelford is hanging D.J. Taylor on the field on 69 minute.
- 74' Toronto FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' Franco Fragapane makes way for Mender Garcia at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Minnesota United FC.
- 82' The 36-year-old Matt Hedges has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 86' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Sigurd Rosted gets a Yellow card.
- 89' Kervin Arriaga doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' Brandon Servania is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 20
- 15
- 7
-
31
Hassani Dotson ↓ Kervin Arriaga 65'
- 97
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↓ Devin Padelford 69'
- 8
- 21
- 4
- 11
Bench
- 13
- 1
- 14
-
10
Emanuel Reynoso ↑ 65'
- 23
-
33
Kervin Arriaga ↑ 65'
-
28
Mender Garcia ↑ 77'
-
22
Devin Padelford ↑ 69'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 24
-
2
Matt Hedges ↓ Sigurd Rosted 57'
- 9
- 14
- 1
- 22
- 7
- 6
- 47
- 19
Bench
-
23
Brandon Servania ↑ 46'
- 20
- 28
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 57'
- 30
- 77
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
- 81
- 83
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Darwin Quintero | 5 |
| Darwin Quintero | 3 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Miguel Ibarra | 1 |
| Justin Morrow | 1 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 1 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2023-06-04
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2023-06-01
Austin FC
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-05-28
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Real Salt Lake
D
2023-05-21
Portland Timbers
0–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2023-05-18
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-05-14
Sporting Kansas City
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Minnesota United FC or Toronto FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Toronto FC
56%
Minnesota United FC or Toronto FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.