Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | San Diego FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 May | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | New York City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 May | FC Dallas | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #19 |
| 24 | Points | 32 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 2 / 6 |
| 20 | Scored | 27 |
| 25 | Conceded | 24 |
| -5 | GD | +3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 33% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts). Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Houston Dynamo kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Houston Dynamo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Houston Dynamo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Minnesota United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Nicolas Romero is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Houston Dynamo so far.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Griffin Dorsey suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' Minnesota United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eric Ramsay might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 36' Griffin Dorsey is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' Ezequiel Ponce has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' The referee shows Minnesota United FC player a card on 45.
- 50' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jefferson Diaz on 52.
- 57' Ondrej Lingr has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 60' Bongokuhle Hlongwane puts Minnesota United FC on the lead.
- 63' A goal from the South Africa international Bongokuhle Hlongwane! He fires home on 63 to make it 2-0!
- 63' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Nicolas Lodeiro is withdrawn and Amine Bassi gets his opportunity.
- 68' Houston Dynamo is showing some good football. However, Houston Dynamo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 70' A stunning finish from Robin Lod — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 72' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Joaquin Pereyra comes on to replace Owen Gene.
- 75' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Ondrej Lingr is replaced by Lawrence Ennali.
- 79' It’s gonna be a card for Kelvin Yeboah.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joaquin Pereyra on 82 minutes.
- 82' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Artur exits the field as Duane Holmes enters on 82.
- 84' Time for substitution for Minnesota United FC. Kelvin Yeboah is replaced by D.J. Taylor.
- 85' The crowd applauds Bongokuhle Hlongwane as he leaves the pitch. Darius Randell steps in for Minnesota United FC.
- 90' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Devin Padelford on, Anthony Markanich off on 90 minutes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 20
- 15
-
24
Julian Gressel ↓ Sang-bin Jeong 85'
- 5
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ D.J. Taylor 84'
-
30
Owen Gene ↓ Joaquin Pereyra 72'
- 13
- 21
- 28
- 96
Bench
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↑ 72'
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↑ 84'
- 1
-
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 85'
-
2
Devin Padelford ↑ 90'
- 90
- 22
-
98
Darius Randell ↑ 85'
Coach
Eric Ramsay
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Amine Bassi 63'
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Gabriel Segal 75'
-
6
Artur ↓ Duane Holmes 82'
- 2
-
28
Erik Sviatchenko ↓ Felipe 63'
- 25
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↓ Lawrence Ennali 75'
- 27
- 35
- 22
Bench
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 82'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↑ 63'
- 1
- 30
- 4
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↑ 75'
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 75'
-
36
Felipe ↑ 63'
- 24
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Felipe | 2 |
| Darwin Quintero | 2 |
| Franco Fragapane | 2 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-06-15
Minnesota United FC
2–4
San Diego FC
L
2025-06-01
Seattle Sounders FC
2–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-05-29
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-05-25
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Austin FC
D
2025-05-18
Minnesota United FC
3–0
St. Louis City
W
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.5
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
57%
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.