Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 14 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | San Diego FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 May | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | New York City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 May | FC Dallas | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #22 |
| 22 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 1 / 6 |
| 18 | Scored | 19 |
| 22 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | -4 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 40% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). Houston Dynamo are 22nd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Minnesota United FC is hosting Houston Dynamo for another epic battle.
- 5' Houston Dynamo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ezequiel Ponce made 127 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Minnesota United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Houston Dynamo backline.
- 25' Anthony Markanich has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Houston Dynamo is showing some good football. However, Houston Dynamo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' Griffin Dorsey was booked on 36.
- 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Michael Boxall picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 52' It’s gonna be a card for Jefferson Diaz.
- 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 60' Bongokuhle Hlongwane doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 63' GOAL! Bongokuhle Hlongwane scores on 63. Assisted by Anthony Markanich
- 63' Houston Dynamo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amine Bassi is hanging Nicolas Lodeiro on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' France international Owen Gene has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 70' The Finland Robin Lod breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 3-0!
- 72' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Owen Gene exits the field as Joaquin Pereyra enters on 72.
- 75' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Ondrej Lingr exits the field as Lawrence Ennali enters on 75.
- 79' Minnesota United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
- 82' It’s a booking for Minnesota United FC player. Joaquin Pereyra gets a card.
- 82' Duane Holmes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Artur on 82 minute.
- 84' The crowd applauds Kelvin Yeboah as he leaves the pitch. D.J. Taylor steps in for Minnesota United FC.
- 85' Darius Randell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bongokuhle Hlongwane on 85 minute.
- 90' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Anthony Markanich has done his job and it is now time for Devin Padelford to step up.
- Houston Dynamo will have plenty to reflect on. Minnesota United FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 20
- 15
-
24
Julian Gressel ↓ Sang-bin Jeong 85'
- 5
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ D.J. Taylor 84'
-
30
Owen Gene ↓ Joaquin Pereyra 72'
- 13
- 21
- 28
- 96
Bench
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↑ 72'
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↑ 84'
- 1
-
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 85'
-
2
Devin Padelford ↑ 90'
- 90
- 22
-
98
Darius Randell ↑ 85'
Coach
Eric Ramsay
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Amine Bassi 63'
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Gabriel Segal 75'
-
6
Artur ↓ Duane Holmes 82'
- 2
-
28
Erik Sviatchenko ↓ Felipe 63'
- 25
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↓ Lawrence Ennali 75'
- 27
- 35
- 22
Bench
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 82'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↑ 63'
- 1
- 30
- 4
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↑ 75'
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 75'
-
36
Felipe ↑ 63'
- 24
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Felipe | 2 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-06-15
Minnesota United FC
2–4
San Diego FC
L
2025-06-01
Seattle Sounders FC
2–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-05-29
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-05-25
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Austin FC
D
2025-05-18
Minnesota United FC
3–0
St. Louis City
W
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
54%
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.