Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | San Diego FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 May | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | New York City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–3 | D |
| 18 May | FC Dallas | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #20 |
| 29 | Points | 44 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 7 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 5 / 9 |
| 40 | Scored | 34 |
| 49 | Conceded | 32 |
| -9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 26% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 14 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 8 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Minnesota United FC is hosting Houston Dynamo for another epic battle.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Felipe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
- 15' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' It’s a booking for Houston Dynamo player. Griffin Dorsey gets a card.
- 41' Houston Dynamo have won 394 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Michael Boxall has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 50' Duane Holmes, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jefferson Diaz on 52.
- 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 60' Magnificent from Bongokuhle Hlongwane! That is 26 goals in 290 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Magnificent from Bongokuhle Hlongwane! That is 26 goals in 290 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Houston Dynamo make a change. Nicolas Lodeiro trudges off to be replaced by Amine Bassi on 63 minutes.
- 68' Ondrej Lingr needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 70' GOAL! Robin Lod scores on 70. Assisted by Julian Gressel
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Joaquin Pereyra. He replaces Owen Gene on 72 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Ondrej Lingr as he departs to be replaced by Lawrence Ennali.
- 79' Kelvin Yeboah has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 82' Joaquin Pereyra was booked on 82.
- 82' Houston Dynamo make a change. Artur trudges off to be replaced by Duane Holmes on 82 minutes.
- 84' Another substitution for Minnesota United FC to replace Kelvin Yeboah by D.J. Taylor on 84 minute.
- 85' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Darius Randell on, Bongokuhle Hlongwane off on 85 minutes.
- 90' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Devin Padelford on, Anthony Markanich off on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Minnesota United FC 3-1 Houston Dynamo. Honours even.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 20
- 15
-
24
Julian Gressel ↓ Sang-bin Jeong 85'
- 5
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ D.J. Taylor 84'
-
30
Owen Gene ↓ Joaquin Pereyra 72'
- 13
- 21
- 28
- 96
Bench
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↑ 72'
-
27
D.J. Taylor ↑ 84'
- 1
-
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 85'
-
2
Devin Padelford ↑ 90'
- 90
- 22
-
98
Darius Randell ↑ 85'
Coach
Eric Ramsay
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Amine Bassi 63'
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Gabriel Segal 75'
-
6
Artur ↓ Duane Holmes 82'
- 2
-
28
Erik Sviatchenko ↓ Felipe 63'
- 25
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↓ Lawrence Ennali 75'
- 27
- 35
- 22
Bench
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 82'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↑ 63'
- 1
- 30
- 4
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↑ 75'
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 75'
-
36
Felipe ↑ 63'
- 24
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Felipe | 2 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-06-15
Minnesota United FC
2–4
San Diego FC
L
2025-06-01
Seattle Sounders FC
2–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-05-29
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-05-25
Minnesota United FC
1–1
Austin FC
D
2025-05-18
Minnesota United FC
3–0
St. Louis City
W
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo 75% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
56%
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.