Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 33 games · 43 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 33 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 33 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 33 | 53 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew SC | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 43 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 33 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 33 | 39 |
| 12 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 33 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 33 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 33 | 61 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 33 | 55 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 52 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 33 | 51 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 47 |
| 22 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 44 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 43 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 33 | 43 |
| 25 | Seattle Sounders FC | 33 | 43 |
| 26 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 42 |
| 27 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 41 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 33 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 33 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 5–4 | W |
| 30 Aug | Austin FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | San Diego FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Aug | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 4–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Aug | San Diego FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #27 |
| 43 | Points | 41 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 12 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 11 / 12 |
| 60 | Scored | 53 |
| 61 | Conceded | 57 |
| -1 | GD | -4 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 36% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 23rd (43 pts). Minnesota United FC are 27th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
6/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
9/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/4
46-60
7/5
61-75
9/5
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 11 G | 6 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 8 G | 4 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Portland Timbers get us underway at Providence Park.
- 5' Minnesota United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Mauricio Gonzalez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Portland Timbers so far.
- 11' A stunning finish from Vincent Janssen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 16' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' What a moment for Ariel Lassiter! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
- 24' Minnesota United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 26' Vincent Janssen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the forward.
- 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portland Timbers that had 300 games and scored 484 goals.
- 32' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marcus Caldeira makes no mistake. 3-1!
- 37' Anthony Markanich is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 37' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Jose Caicedo exits the field as Julio Ortiz enters on 37.
- 38' GOAL! Anthony Markanich fires home to make it 3-3!
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Finn Surman has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcus Caldeira makes it 3-4.
- 55' The Netherlands forward Vincent Janssen breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 4-4!
- 60' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 68' Diego Chara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vincent Janssen on 68 minute.
- 69' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Ariel Lassiter by Antony on 69 minute.
- 71' GOAL! Kristoffer Velde fires home to make it 5-4!
- 72' Nectarios Triantis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wil Trapp at the 72 minute mark.
- 74' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jefferson Diaz.
- 78' The Minnesota United FC bench stirs into life. Kelvin Yeboah is withdrawn and Maurice Malone gets his opportunity.
- 82' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 82 minute. Anthony Markanich leaves to be changed by Ian Smith.
- 87' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Kyle Duncan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Mauricio Gonzalez on, Owen Gene off on 88 minutes.
- 90' A moment of madness from Morris Duggan on 90 minutes earns him a card. Minnesota United FC will be frustrated.
- Game over. The scoreline of 5-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
14
Vincent Janssen ↓ Diego Chara 68'
- 17
- 41
- 15
- 4
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Antony 69'
- 99
- 10
- 20
- 27
-
30
Jose Caicedo ↓ Julio Ortiz 37'
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 68'
- 22
- 26
-
11
Antony ↑ 69'
- 6
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↑ 37'
- 23
- 88
Coach
Phil Neville
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 26
-
20
Wil Trapp ↓ Nectarios Triantis 72'
- 15
- 12
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ Maurice Malone 78'
-
30
Owen Gene ↓ Mauricio Gonzalez 88'
- 13
- 23
- 28
- 22
Bench
-
11
Maurice Malone ↑ 78'
-
8
Tomas Chancalay ↑ 72'
- 67
- 16
- 5
-
25
Nectarios Triantis ↑ 72'
- 1
- 33
-
18
Mauricio Gonzalez ↑ 88'
Coach
Cameron Knowles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Vincent Janssen | 3 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Tomas Chancalay | 2 |
| Anthony Markanich | 2 |
| Romario Ibarra | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2026-09-06
Portland Timbers
5–4
Minnesota United FC
L
2026-08-29
Minnesota United FC
3–3
Orlando City SC
D
2026-08-23
San Jose Earthquakes
1–5
Minnesota United FC
W
2026-08-19
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
L
2026-08-16
Real Salt Lake
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2026-08-02
Minnesota United FC
1–1
San Diego FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.42
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
68%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
53%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–4 not predicted5 – 4Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 16% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

