Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 14 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 May | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Austin FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
| 04 May | Austin FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #23 |
| 22 | Points | 22 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 7 / 1 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 19 | Scored | 18 |
| 23 | Conceded | 22 |
| -4 | GD | -4 |
| 1.57 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 50% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Houston Dynamo are 22nd (22 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Minnesota United FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Minnesota United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Houston Dynamo in their trying to find a way past Minnesota United FC's compact .
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ben Olsen might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' Houston Dynamo receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
- 45' Minnesota United FC is showing some good football. However, Minnesota United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Pablo Ortiz does the damage! The net is bulging and Houston Dynamo surge ahead!
- 51' Argentina international Joaquin Pereyra has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' Minnesota United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 61' It looks surprising Minnesota United FC does not make any changes. Devin Padelford has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' Ho-yeon Jeong makes way for Tani Oluwaseyi at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Minnesota United FC.
- 69' It’s a booking for Minnesota United FC player. Robin Lod gets a card.
- 72' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Amine Bassi is replaced by Sebastian Kowalczyk.
- 77' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Felipe makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 82' The Minnesota United FC bench stirs into life. Jefferson Diaz is withdrawn and Carlos Harvey gets his opportunity.
- 85' Fresh legs for Houston Dynamo! Toyosi Olusanya comes on to replace Ezequiel Ponce.
- 89' The referee has no hesitation. Toyosi Olusanya is booked for Houston Dynamo — card on 89.
- 90' Junior Urso picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 2-0 the final result. Minnesota United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
- 8
- 10
- 6
- 30
- 25
- 9
- 4
- 21
- 36
-
22
Pablo Ortiz ↓ Brooklyn Raines 72'
Bench
- 14
- 1
- 20
- 16
- 23
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 72'
-
12
Toyosi Olusanya ↑ 85'
-
35
Brooklyn Raines ↑ 72'
- 17
Coach
Ben Olsen
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 24
- 97
- 27
- 9
- 7
- 2
- 23
-
28
Jefferson Diaz ↓ Carlos Harvey 82'
-
22
Ho-yeon Jeong ↓ Tani Oluwaseyi 65'
- 33
Bench
-
17
Robin Lod ↑ 65'
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↑ 65'
- 15
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↑ 82'
- 5
- 1
-
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane ↑ 65'
-
14
Tani Oluwaseyi ↑ 65'
- 19
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Felipe | 2 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-05-15
Houston Dynamo
2–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2025-05-10
Minnesota United FC
4–1
Internacional CF Miami
W
2025-05-04
Austin FC
0–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-04-27
Minnesota United FC
1–3
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
2025-04-20
Minnesota United FC
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2025-04-12
Toronto FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
70%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
58%
Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.