Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Houston Dynamo

2 – 0

Full Time

Minnesota United FC

Thu 15 May 2025 · 00:30 UTC Shell Energy Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Pablo Ortiz 40' Y

Y 69' Robin Lod

Toyosi Olusanya 89' Y

Junior Urso 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.

Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Houston Dynamo 18 games · Avg 2.7 goals Minnesota United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-15 Houston Dynamo 2–0 Minnesota United FC 2024-07-14 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Minnesota United FC 2024-04-14 Minnesota United FC 1–2 Houston Dynamo 2023-07-13 Houston Dynamo 0–3 Minnesota United FC 2023-05-18 Minnesota United FC 1–0 Houston Dynamo

Recent Form

Houston Dynamo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Minnesota United FC	H	2–0	W
11 May	Seattle Sounders FC	H	1–3	L
04 May	Los Angeles FC	A	0–2	L
27 Apr	Austin FC	H	2–0	W
20 Apr	Colorado Rapids SC	H	2–2	D
13 Apr	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–1	D

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Houston Dynamo	A	0–2	L
10 May	Internacional CF Miami	H	4–1	W
04 May	Austin FC	A	3–0	W
27 Apr	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–3	L
20 Apr	FC Dallas	H	0–0	D
12 Apr	Toronto FC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Houston Dynamo		Minnesota United FC
#20	Position	#29
44	Points	29
27	Played	27
13 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 12
34	Scored	40
32	Conceded	49
+2	GD	-9
1.63	PPG	1.07
48%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

41% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

22% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts). Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Houston Dynamo

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

7/4

46-60

5/3

61-75

5/3

76+

3/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Minnesota United FC

0-15

4/7

16-30

4/9

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/5

61-75

7/4

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme

14 G

6 A

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah	14 G	2 A
Anthony Markanich	8 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Houston Dynamo is hosting Minnesota United FC for another epic battle.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Houston Dynamo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
15' A quiet spell here at Shell Energy Stadium. Minnesota United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ondrej Lingr made 166 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
25' Devin Padelford is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Houston Dynamo so far.
30' Houston Dynamo have won 394 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pablo Ortiz.
45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Houston Dynamo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
46' Brilliant from the ! Pablo Ortiz makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
51' Ho-yeon Jeong has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Amine Bassi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
65' Ho-yeon Jeong makes way for Tani Oluwaseyi at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Minnesota United FC.
69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Robin Lod.
72' Sebastian Kowalczyk has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amine Bassi on 72 minute.
77' Felipe doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
82' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Jefferson Diaz exits the field as Carlos Harvey enters on 82.
85' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Ezequiel Ponce exits the field as Toyosi Olusanya enters on 85.
89' The referee calls foul for Toyosi Olusanya. He receives a card.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Junior Urso is booked for Houston Dynamo — card on 90.
Minnesota United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Houston Dynamo were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Houston Dynamo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ben Olsen

Minnesota United FC Lineups

Starting XI

20
Wil Trapp ↓ Robin Lod 65'
24
Julian Gressel
97
Dayne St. Clair
27
D.J. Taylor
9
Kelvin Yeboah
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Bongokuhle Hlongwane 65'
2
Devin Padelford
23
Morris Duggan
28
Jefferson Diaz ↓ Carlos Harvey 82'
22
Ho-yeon Jeong ↓ Tani Oluwaseyi 65'
33
Kieran Chandler ↓ Joaquin Pereyra 65'

Bench

Coach Eric Ramsay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robin Lod	5
Bongokuhle Hlongwane	5
Ethan Finlay	4
Philippe Senderos	2
Philippe Senderos	2
Adalberto Carrasquilla	2
Adrien Hunou	2
Felipe	2

Head to Head

Houston Dynamo Form

2025-05-15 Houston Dynamo 2–0 Minnesota United FC W 2025-05-11 Houston Dynamo 1–3 Seattle Sounders FC L 2025-05-04 Los Angeles FC 2–0 Houston Dynamo L 2025-04-27 Houston Dynamo 2–0 Austin FC W 2025-04-20 Houston Dynamo 2–2 Colorado Rapids SC D 2025-04-13 Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston Dynamo D

Minnesota United FC Form

2025-05-15 Houston Dynamo 2–0 Minnesota United FC L 2025-05-10 Minnesota United FC 4–1 Internacional CF Miami W 2025-05-04 Austin FC 0–3 Minnesota United FC W 2025-04-27 Minnesota United FC 1–3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC L 2025-04-20 Minnesota United FC 0–0 FC Dallas D 2025-04-12 Toronto FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.44 Houston Dynamo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Minnesota United FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Houston Dynamo45% Draw28% Minnesota United FC27%

Actual: Houston Dynamo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Houston Dynamo or Draw

73%

Draw or Minnesota United FC

55%

Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Houston Dynamo31% Draw48% Minnesota United FC21%

Actual: Houston Dynamo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

1 – 0

10.1%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

8.6%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.2%

3 – 0

3.7%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo

Handicap	Houston Dynamo covers	Push	Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	22%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.