Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 May | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Austin FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
| 04 May | Austin FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #25 |
| 51 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 11 / 12 |
| 43 | Scored | 56 |
| 43 | Conceded | 58 |
| +0 | GD | -2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/5
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/5
76+
11/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC has kicked off!
- 5' Kelvin Yeboah, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ho-yeon Jeong made 301 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Jonathan Bond has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' Houston Dynamo have won 407 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' Pablo Ortiz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Minnesota United FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 46' GOAL! Pablo Ortiz scores on 45.
- 51' Wil Trapp has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' Ethan Bartlow needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' USA international D.J. Taylor has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 65' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Tani Oluwaseyi comes on to replace Ho-yeon Jeong.
- 69' Robin Lod has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
- 72' It is a substitution in Houston Dynamo team. Amine Bassi is replaced by Sebastian Kowalczyk on 72 minute.
- 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Felipe makes it 2-0.
- 82' The Minnesota United FC bench stirs into life. Jefferson Diaz is withdrawn and Carlos Harvey gets his opportunity.
- 85' The crowd applauds Ezequiel Ponce as he leaves the pitch. Toyosi Olusanya steps in for Houston Dynamo.
- 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Toyosi Olusanya.
- 90' Houston Dynamo receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
- 8
- 10
- 6
- 30
- 25
- 9
- 4
- 21
- 36
-
22
Pablo Ortiz ↓ Brooklyn Raines 72'
Bench
- 14
- 1
- 20
- 16
- 23
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 72'
-
12
Toyosi Olusanya ↑ 85'
-
35
Brooklyn Raines ↑ 72'
- 17
Coach
Ben Olsen
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 24
- 97
- 27
- 9
- 7
- 2
- 23
-
28
Jefferson Diaz ↓ Carlos Harvey 82'
-
22
Ho-yeon Jeong ↓ Tani Oluwaseyi 65'
- 33
Bench
-
17
Robin Lod ↑ 65'
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↑ 65'
- 15
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↑ 82'
- 5
- 1
-
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane ↑ 65'
-
14
Tani Oluwaseyi ↑ 65'
- 19
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Darwin Quintero | 2 |
| Franco Fragapane | 2 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-05-15
Houston Dynamo
2–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2025-05-10
Minnesota United FC
4–1
Internacional CF Miami
W
2025-05-04
Austin FC
0–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-04-27
Minnesota United FC
1–3
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
2025-04-20
Minnesota United FC
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2025-04-12
Toronto FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
71%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
57%
Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.