Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 May | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Austin FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
| 04 May | Austin FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #25 |
| 32 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 2 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 27 | Scored | 20 |
| 24 | Conceded | 25 |
| +3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 56% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Houston Dynamo get us underway at Shell Energy Stadium.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' Houston Dynamo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jonathan Bond suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' Houston Dynamo have won 391 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Houston Dynamo player sees a card in front of him.
- 45' Robin Lod needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' Brilliant from the ! Pablo Ortiz makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eric Ramsay might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Houston Dynamo is showing some good football. However, Houston Dynamo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 65' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Tani Oluwaseyi on, Ho-yeon Jeong off on 65 minutes.
- 69' The referee calls foul for Robin Lod. He receives a card.
- 72' The Houston Dynamo manager makes a substitution. Amine Bassi departs to be replaced by Sebastian Kowalczyk.
- 77' Felipe makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Houston Dynamo are in front.
- 82' The whistle greets Jefferson Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Carlos Harvey.
- 85' A tactical swap from Houston Dynamo — Toyosi Olusanya on, Ezequiel Ponce off on 85 minutes.
- 89' That is a card for Houston Dynamo. Toyosi Olusanya will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Junior Urso on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Houston Dynamo to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
- 8
- 10
- 6
- 30
- 25
- 9
- 4
- 21
- 36
-
22
Pablo Ortiz ↓ Brooklyn Raines 72'
Bench
- 14
- 1
- 20
- 16
- 23
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 72'
-
12
Toyosi Olusanya ↑ 85'
-
35
Brooklyn Raines ↑ 72'
- 17
Coach
Ben Olsen
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 24
- 97
- 27
- 9
- 7
- 2
- 23
-
28
Jefferson Diaz ↓ Carlos Harvey 82'
-
22
Ho-yeon Jeong ↓ Tani Oluwaseyi 65'
- 33
Bench
-
17
Robin Lod ↑ 65'
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↑ 65'
- 15
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↑ 82'
- 5
- 1
-
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane ↑ 65'
-
14
Tani Oluwaseyi ↑ 65'
- 19
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Felipe | 2 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-05-15
Houston Dynamo
2–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2025-05-10
Minnesota United FC
4–1
Internacional CF Miami
W
2025-05-04
Austin FC
0–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-04-27
Minnesota United FC
1–3
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
2025-04-20
Minnesota United FC
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2025-04-12
Toronto FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
74%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
55%
Houston Dynamo or Minnesota United FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

