Thursday , 2 July 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs UD Almeria, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
AD Ceuta FC
3 – 2
Full Time
UD Almeria
Wed 26 Nov 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs UD Almeria — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruna 42 77
3 UD Almeria 42 74
4 Malaga CF 42 73
5 UD Las Palmas 42 73
6 CD Castellon 42 72
7 Burgos CF 42 72
8 SD Eibar 42 67
9 Real Sporting de Gijon 42 61
10 Cordoba CF 42 61
11 AD Ceuta FC 42 61
12 Albacete Balompie 42 59
13 Andorra CF 42 58
14 Granada CF 42 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 47
16 CD Leganes 42 46
17 Real Valladolid CF 42 46
18 Cadiz CF 42 43
19 CD Mirandes 42 40
20 SD Huesca 42 38
21 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 36

Head-to-Head

1
1
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals UD Almeria
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-26 AD Ceuta FC 3–2 UD Almeria

Recent Form

AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov UD Almeria H 3–2 W
23 Nov RC Deportivo La Coruna A 1–2 L
16 Nov CD Leganes H 1–2 L
02 Nov Cordoba CF A 0–2 L
25 Oct Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa A 1–0 W
18 Oct CD Mirandes H 2–0 W
UD Almeria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov AD Ceuta FC A 2–3 L
22 Nov CD Leganes A 3–0 W
16 Nov Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
01 Nov SD Eibar H 3–1 W
26 Oct CD Castellon H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cordoba CF A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC UD Almeria
#11 Position #3
61 Points 74
42 Played 42
17 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 8 / 12
51 Scored 81
63 Conceded 63
-12 GD +18
1.45 PPG 1.76
40% Win % 52%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AD Ceuta FC are 11th (61 pts). UD Almeria are 3rd (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.97 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: AD Ceuta FC or UD Almeria 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC41% Draw23% UD Almeria36%
Actual: AD Ceuta FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
64%
Draw or UD Almeria
59%
AD Ceuta FC or UD Almeria
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC30% Draw38% UD Almeria32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.2%
3 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 17% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.