Friday , 2 October 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
AD Ceuta FC
3 – 2
Full Time
UD Almería
Wed 26 Nov 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs UD Almeria — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CD Castellon 7 19
2 SD Eibar 7 18
3 UD Almería 7 15
4 Burgos CF 7 14
5 Girona FC 7 13
6 RCD Mallorca 7 13
7 CE Sabadell FC 7 12
8 CD Tenerife 7 11
9 CD Leganés 7 11
10 Real Oviedo 7 11
11 UD Las Palmas 7 10
12 Real Sporting de Gijón 7 10
13 Granada CF 7 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 8
15 Real Valladolid CF 7 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 8
17 Andorra CF 7 6
18 Córdoba CF 7 6
19 CD Eldense 7 5
20 Cádiz CF 7 4
21 AD Ceuta FC 7 4
22 Albacete Balompie 7 1

Head-to-Head

1
1
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals UD Almería
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-26 AD Ceuta FC 3–2 UD Almería

Recent Form

AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov UD Almería H 3–2 W
23 Nov RC Deportivo La Coruña A 1–2 L
16 Nov CD Leganés H 1–2 L
02 Nov Córdoba CF A 0–2 L
25 Oct Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa A 1–0 W
18 Oct CD Mirandés H 2–0 W
UD Almería
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov AD Ceuta FC A 2–3 L
22 Nov CD Leganés A 3–0 W
16 Nov Cádiz CF H 3–0 W
01 Nov SD Eibar H 3–1 W
26 Oct CD Castellon H 1–0 W
19 Oct Córdoba CF A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC UD Almería
#21 Position #3
4 Points 15
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
6 Scored 11
17 Conceded 4
-11 GD +7
0.57 PPG 2.14
14% Win % 71%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC this season
57% Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season

AD Ceuta FC are 21st (4 pts). UD Almería are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
UD Almería
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
Carlos Hernandez 4 G
Jordi Escobar 2 G 1 A
UD Almería
Javi Munoz 2 G 2 A
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Miguel De la Fuente 2 G 1 A
Federico Bonini 1 G
Stefan Dzodic 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

UD Almeria Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.45 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AD Ceuta FC29% Draw22% UD Almeria49%
Actual: AD Ceuta FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
51%
Draw or UD Almeria
71%
AD Ceuta FC or UD Almeria
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AD Ceuta FC18% Draw37% UD Almeria45%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
8.1%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 0
3.3%
0 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 11% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 20% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 17% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.