MSV Duisburg vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

MSV Duisburg

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FC Nurnberg

Sat 21 Oct 2017 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs 1. FC Nurnberg — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Nurnberg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 2.04

Draw 3.50

1. FC Nurnberg 3.60

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Nurnberg

Last 5 meetings

2017-10-21 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg 2016-02-21 1. FC Nurnberg 0–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-09-20 MSV Duisburg 2–0 1. FC Nurnberg 2015-05-16 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg 2014-12-16 1. FC Nurnberg 2–0 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	1. FC Nurnberg	H	1–2	L
14 Oct	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	2–2	D
30 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–0	D
19 Sep	TuS Erndtebruck	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–1	W

1. FC Nurnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	MSV Duisburg	A	2–1	W
14 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	Karlsruher SC	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Hamburger SV	A	1–1	D
15 Sep	TuS Dassendorf	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for MSV Duisburg and 1. FC Nurnberg.
With this win, 1. FC Nurnberg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2017-10-21 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg L 2017-10-14 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2–2 MSV Duisburg D 2017-09-30 MSV Duisburg 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2017-09-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2017-09-19 MSV Duisburg 1–0 TuS Erndtebruck W 2017-09-16 FC Hansa Rostock 1–2 MSV Duisburg W

1. FC Nurnberg Form

2017-10-21 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nurnberg W 2017-10-14 1. FC Nurnberg 1–2 FC Hansa Rostock L 2017-09-30 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FC Nurnberg L 2017-09-24 1. FC Nurnberg 0–0 Karlsruher SC D 2017-09-20 Hamburger SV 1–1 1. FC Nurnberg D 2017-09-15 1. FC Nurnberg 2–0 TuS Dassendorf W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.22 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 1. FC Nurnberg xG

I would bet for: MSV Duisburg or 1. FC Nurnberg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg35% Draw30% 1. FC Nurnberg35%

Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.46

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

65%

Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg

65%

MSV Duisburg or 1. FC Nurnberg

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg25% Draw49% 1. FC Nurnberg26%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

10.7%

0 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

9.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

0 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

3.1%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	19%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.