Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
Isaiah Jones 15' 1–0
1–1 28' Daniel James

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Mark Scholes
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Swansea City AFC H 2–2 D
15 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–2 D
12 Mar Millwall FC H 2–0 W
09 Mar Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
01 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Leeds United FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christ Makosso, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Luton Town FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Isaiah Jones on 15.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' That looks like a foul for a card for Isaiah Jones.
  • 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leeds United FC that had 358 games and scored 532 goals.
  • 28' What a strike from Daniel James! The score is 1-1.
  • 33' Leeds United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jayden Bogle on 40.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 49' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Elijah Adebayo by Tahith Chong on 49 minute.
  • 54' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Walsh made 387 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' Manor Solomon is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 63' Patrick Bamford is replacing Wilfried Gnonto for the Leeds United FC side.
  • 68' Brenden Aaronson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 77' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Millenic Alli is hanging Isaiah Jones on the field on 77 minute.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Liam Walsh is replaced by Lamine Dabo on 78 minute.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Leeds United FC. Joel Piroe is replaced by Brenden Aaronson.
  • 84' It looks surprising Leeds United FC does not make any changes. Alfie Doughty has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Leeds United FC. Pascal Struijk is replaced by Maximilian Wober.
  • 87' The whistle greets Manor Solomon as he departs to be replaced by Isaac Schmidt.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Leeds United FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC37% Draw30% Leeds United FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Leeds United FC
63%
Luton Town FC or Leeds United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC24% Draw52% Leeds United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.