Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Wed 25 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 25,871 HT 45' · FT 45'
Pascal Struijk og 80' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Akil Howson
  • Assistant 2 Scott Ledger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
21 Oct Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
07 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
03 Oct Southampton FC H 0–1 L
30 Sep Bristol City FC A 3–2 W
24 Sep Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Norwich City FC A 3–2 W
07 Oct Bristol City FC H 2–1 W
04 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
30 Sep Southampton FC A 1–3 L
23 Sep Watford FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Bet365 Stadium as Stoke City FC face off against Leeds United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' The 25-year-old Wouter Burger has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Leeds United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Leeds United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Ryan Mmaee has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Stoke City FC and Leeds United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' Pascal Struijk is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Leeds United FC so far.
  • 60' Mehdi Leris has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Controversy at the stadium! Jordan Thompson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Wilfried Gnonto.
  • 70' Crysencio Summerville is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wilfried Gnonto at the 70 minute mark.
  • 71' Leeds United FC make a change. Jaidon Anthony trudges off to be replaced by Daniel James on 71 minutes.
  • 75' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Mmaee departs to be replaced by Wesley.
  • 76' Ryan Mmaee makes way for Wesley at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Georginio Rutter.
  • 80' Wesley adds to his 0 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Josh Laurent. He replaces Wouter Burger on 81 minute.
  • 84' Ian Poveda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sam Byram at the 84 minute mark.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Ilia Gruev as he leaves the pitch. Luke Ayling steps in for Leeds United FC.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Crysencio Summerville. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Andre Vidigal is replaced by Enda Stevens.
  • Leeds United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Stoke City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Leeds United FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC37% Draw28% Leeds United FC35%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Leeds United FC
63%
Stoke City FC or Leeds United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC25% Draw47% Leeds United FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.