Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leeds United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Tue 5 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel James 33' 1–0
Y 37' Josh Laurent
Y 69' Ben Pearson
YR 86' Ben Pearson
Ilia Gruev 90' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
02 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Chelsea FC A 2–3 L
23 Feb Leicester City FC H 3–1 W
17 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–0 W
13 Feb Swansea City AFC A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 2–0 W
24 Feb Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Coventry City FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC57% Draw25% Stoke City FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Stoke City FC
43%
Leeds United FC or Stoke City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC38% Draw48% Stoke City FC14%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.