Thursday , 1 October 2026

Leeds United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Tue 5 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel James 33' 1–0
Y 37' Josh Laurent
Y 69' Ben Pearson
YR 86' Ben Pearson
Ilia Gruev 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Hristo Karaivanov
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
02 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Chelsea FC A 2–3 L
23 Feb Leicester City FC H 3–1 W
17 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–0 W
13 Feb Swansea City AFC A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 2–0 W
24 Feb Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Coventry City FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Leeds United FC is hosting Stoke City FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Leeds United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Elland Road. Leeds United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Leeds United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leeds United FC that had 360 games and scored 534 goals.
  • 33' Daniel James adds to his 0 season tally! Leeds United FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Josh Laurent.
  • 42' Patrick Bamford has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
  • 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Leeds United FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Niall Ennis is replaced by Tyrese Campbell.
  • 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Leeds United FC and Stoke City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Rose made 1 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Pearson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' Another change for Leeds United FC made on 71 minute. Georginio Rutter leaves to be changed by Joel Piroe.
  • 76' Bulgaria international Ilia Gruev has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 78' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Million Manhoef exits the field as Sead Haksabanovic enters on 78.
  • 79' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Crysencio Summerville has done his job and it is now time for Wilfried Gnonto to step up.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Luke Cundle on, Lewis Baker off on 84 minutes.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Ben Pearson is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 86.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Junior Firpo. He replaces Sam Byram on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ilia Gruev is booked for Leeds United FC — card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Leeds United FC and Stoke City FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC57% Draw25% Stoke City FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Stoke City FC
43%
Leeds United FC or Stoke City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC38% Draw48% Stoke City FC14%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.