Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Leeds United FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
27 Sep Manchester City FC A 1–5 L
20 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Burnley FC A 0–2 L
04 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
27 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
20 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–1 W
13 Sep Fulham FC A 0–1 L
30 Aug Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC Leeds United FC
#2 Position #21
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Leeds United FC are 21st (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.63 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.39 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 91% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC39% Draw42% Leeds United FC19%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 61%
39%
± 1.5 28%
72%
± 2.5 9%
91%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Leeds United FC
61%
Burnley FC or Leeds United FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC18% Draw73% Leeds United FC9%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
39.1%
1 – 0
20.9%
0 – 1
12.1%
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
2.3%
1 – 2
1.8%
3 – 0
1.3%
2 – 2
0.8%
3 – 1
0.7%
0 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 24% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 14% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
68%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.