Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Burnley FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Leeds United FC

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League .

Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Leeds United FC 5 games · 9 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tim Robinson

4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Burnley FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Leeds United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 Burnley FC 2–0 Leeds United FC 2025-01-27 Burnley FC 0–0 Leeds United FC 2024-09-14 Leeds United FC 0–1 Burnley FC 2022-01-02 Leeds United FC 3–1 Burnley FC 2021-08-29 Burnley FC 1–1 Leeds United FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Leeds United FC	H	2–0	W
05 Oct	Aston Villa FC	A	1–2	L
27 Sep	Manchester City FC	A	1–5	L
20 Sep	Nottingham Forest FC	H	1–1	D
14 Sep	Liverpool FC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Manchester United FC	A	2–3	L

Leeds United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Burnley FC	A	0–2	L
04 Oct	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	1–2	L
27 Sep	AFC Bournemouth	H	2–2	D
20 Sep	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	3–1	W
13 Sep	Fulham FC	A	0–1	L
30 Aug	Newcastle United FC	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC

Dominic Calvert-Lewin	2 G	1 A
Jayden Bogle	2 G
Anton Stach	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Burnley FC and Leeds United FC.
With this win, Burnley FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrick Bamford	2
Jack Harrison	2
Rodrigo	2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	1
Noah Okafor	1
Anton Stach	1
Loum Tchaouna	1
Mateusz Klich	1

Head to Head

Burnley FC Form

2025-10-18 Burnley FC 2–0 Leeds United FC W 2025-10-05 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Burnley FC L 2025-09-27 Manchester City FC 5–1 Burnley FC L 2025-09-20 Burnley FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC D 2025-09-14 Burnley FC 0–1 Liverpool FC L 2025-08-30 Manchester United FC 3–2 Burnley FC L

Leeds United FC Form

2025-10-18 Burnley FC 2–0 Leeds United FC L 2025-10-04 Leeds United FC 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur FC L 2025-09-27 Leeds United FC 2–2 AFC Bournemouth D 2025-09-20 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1–3 Leeds United FC W 2025-09-13 Fulham FC 1–0 Leeds United FC L 2025-08-30 Leeds United FC 0–0 Newcastle United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.27 Burnley FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Leeds United FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burnley FC46% Draw29% Leeds United FC25%

Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.18

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Leeds United FC

54%

Burnley FC or Leeds United FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burnley FC30% Draw52% Leeds United FC18%

Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

13.5%

1 – 0

13.1%

0 – 1

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

4.5%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap	Burnley FC covers	Push	Leeds United FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	23%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.