Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC Elland Road 36,405 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Luca Koleosho

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Burnley FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
23 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W
17 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
10 Aug Portsmouth FC H 3–3 D
26 May Southampton FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Cardiff City FC H 5–0 W
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
19 May Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burnley FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maxime Esteve suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Brazil international Lucas Pires has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 18' Luca Koleosho makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Burnley FC are in front.
  • 23' Leeds United FC currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' James Trafford has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Junior Firpo on 34 minutes.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Hannibal Mejbri is booked for Burnley FC — card on 38.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Jaidon Anthony. He receives a card.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 347 games and scored 409 goals.
  • 52' It’s gonna be a card for Wilfried Gnonto.
  • 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Ethan Ampadu.
  • 65' Another change for Burnley FC made on 65 minute. Luca Koleosho leaves to be changed by Jeremy Sarmiento.
  • 66' Bashir Humphreys has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 66.
  • 69' The whistle greets Ethan Ampadu as he departs to be replaced by Joe Rothwell.
  • 73' The whistle greets Hannibal Mejbri as he departs to be replaced by Josh Cullen.
  • 78' The Leeds United FC manager makes a substitution. Junior Firpo departs to be replaced by Sam Byram.
  • 83' A quiet spell here at Elland Road. Leeds United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Ao Tanaka. He replaces Joe Rodon on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' Josh Brownhill makes way for Han-Noah Massengo at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • Burnley FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC41% Draw30% Burnley FC29%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Burnley FC
59%
Leeds United FC or Burnley FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC28% Draw51% Burnley FC21%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.