Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 11:30 UTC Elland Road 36,405 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Luca Koleosho

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Burnley FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
23 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W
17 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
10 Aug Portsmouth FC H 3–3 D
26 May Southampton FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Cardiff City FC H 5–0 W
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
19 May Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Leeds United FC to score. At the same time, Burnley FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Burnley FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ao Tanaka, as he is very good at scoring at Elland Road with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Leeds United FC and Burnley FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 18' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luca Koleosho makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 23' Leeds United FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Manor Solomon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Poor challenge from Junior Firpo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 38' Hannibal Mejbri picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 43' Leeds United FC have won 532 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Jaidon Anthony argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 50' Pascal Struijk needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 22 Yellow cards this season.
  • 52' It’s gonna be a card for Wilfried Gnonto.
  • 57' Bashir Humphreys has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Ethan Ampadu. He receives a card.
  • 65' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Luca Koleosho by Jeremy Sarmiento on 65 minute.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Bashir Humphreys is booked for Burnley FC — card on 66.
  • 69' Another change for Leeds United FC made on 69 minute. Ethan Ampadu leaves to be changed by Joe Rothwell.
  • 73' Burnley FC make a change. Hannibal Mejbri trudges off to be replaced by Josh Cullen on 73 minutes.
  • 78' A change in the Leeds United FC ranks — Junior Firpo exits the field as Sam Byram enters on 78.
  • 83' England international Jaidon Anthony has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 86' Leeds United FC make a change. Joe Rodon trudges off to be replaced by Ao Tanaka on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Han-Noah Massengo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Burnley FC make a change. Josh Brownhill trudges off to be replaced by Han-Noah Massengo on 90 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Leeds United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC41% Draw30% Burnley FC29%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Burnley FC
59%
Leeds United FC or Burnley FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC28% Draw51% Burnley FC21%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.