Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
-
Overview
Match Preview
Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.
- Jubilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Kashima Antlers 18 45 2 FC Tokyo 18 37 3 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 4 Vissel Kobe 18 35 5 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 6 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 8 Gamba Osaka 18 28 9 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 10 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 11 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 12 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 13 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 14 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 15 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 16 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 06 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L 28 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–2 L 21 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D 14 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 2–0 W 25 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L 17 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 0–4 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 06 Oct Jubilo Iwata A 2–1 W 28 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 2–0 W 22 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos H 6–2 W 14 Sep Kashima Antlers A 2–2 D 31 Aug FC Tokyo H 3–2 W 25 Aug Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0-153/116-301/231-453/146-605/–61-753/476+1/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Jubilo Iwata to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Hiroto Uemura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Jubilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Goncalo Paciencia made 504 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' Leo Gomes was booked on 40.
- 41' Sho Sasaki puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
- 43' Sho Sasaki is having his name booked by the referee on 43.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Naoto Arai. He replaces Goncalo Paciencia on 46 minute.
- 51' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 52' What a strike from Ko Matsubara! The score is 1-1.
- 57' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Leo Gomes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
- 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 313 games and scored 398 goals.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Pieros Sotiriou. He replaces Tolgay Arslan on 70 minute.
- 71' The whistle greets Makito Ito as he departs to be replaced by Shunsuke Nishikubo.
- 76' Ricardo Graca has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' Sensational shot from Mutsuki Kato. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is back in the lead.
- 81' Jubilo Iwata receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
- 81' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tsukasa Shiotani is replaced by Makoto Mitsuta.
- 82' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Shun Nakamura is replaced by Bruno Jose.
- 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pieros Sotiriou suffering a number of foals already.
- 88' It is a substitution in Jubilo Iwata team. Hiroto Uemura is replaced by Hiroki Yamada on 88 minute.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Douglas Vieira is hanging Mutsuki Kato on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Jubilo Iwata.
-
Lineups
Jubilo Iwata Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 1
- 11
- 4
- 18
- 6
- 15
- 25
- 36
- 50
Bench
- 99
- 21
- 14
- 10
- 19
- 55
- 26
Coach Akinobu YokouchiSanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Naoto Arai 46'
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 66
- 24
- 33
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 70'
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Douglas Vieira 90'
Bench
- 10
- 22
- 18
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 90'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 46'
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 81'
Coach Michael Skibbe -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Yuto Suzuki 2 Sho Sasaki 2 Pieros Sotiriou 2 Yoshifumi Kashiwa 1 Ricardo Graca 1 Makoto Mitsuta 1 Fabian Gonzalez 1 Takuya Wada 1 Head to Head
Jubilo Iwata Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.06 Jubilo Iwata xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.56Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 73% 27% ± 2.5 47% 53% ± 3.5 26% 74% ± 4.5 12% 88% Double Chance
Jubilo Iwata or Draw 53%Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75%Jubilo Iwata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 13.2%0 – 1 10.6%0 – 0 9.7%1 – 2 Actual0 – 2 8.5%1 – 0 7.1%2 – 1 6.2%2 – 2 4.8%1 – 3 4.5%2 – 0 4.2%0 – 3 4.2%2 – 3 2.5%Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata
Handicap Jubilo Iwata covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers -2.5 3% — 97% -2 3% 7% 90% -1.5 10% — 90% -1 10% 15% 75% -0.5 25% — 75% +0.5 54% — 46% +1 54% 22% 24% +1.5 76% — 24% +2 76% 14% 9% +2.5 91% — 9% Clean Sheet
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet 23% ✓Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet 35% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

