Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo IwataJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
17 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–2 L
21 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
14 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 2–0 W
25 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L
17 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 0–4 L
11 Aug Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shun Nakamura made 418 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Jubilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Keiya Shiihashi.
  • 35' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Kaito Suzuki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 46' The whistle greets Keiya Shiihashi as he departs to be replaced by Patric.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Jubilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 52' What a strike from Sho Inagaki! The score is 1-0.
  • 57' It looks surprising Jubilo Iwata does not make any changes. Tsukasa Morishima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Jordy Croux. He replaces Masaya Matsumoto on 62 minute.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 65 minute.
  • 68' It’s gonna be a card for Hassan Hilo.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuki Nogami suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' The whistle greets Ryo Watanabe as he departs to be replaced by Hiroki Yamada.
  • 80' The whistle greets Kensuke Nagai as he departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 82' The whistle greets Hiroto Uemura as he departs to be replaced by Matheus Peixoto.
  • 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Chang-rae Ha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Jubilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus54% Draw27% Jubilo Iwata19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Jubilo Iwata
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Jubilo Iwata
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw49% Jubilo Iwata16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Jubilo Iwata covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
44%
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.