Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo IwataJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
22 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
18 Sep Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
14 Sep FC Tokyo A 1–4 L
24 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
17 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–2 L
21 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
14 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 2–0 W
25 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L
17 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 0–4 L
11 Aug Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Jubilo Iwata have won 151 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Jubilo Iwata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Keiya Shiihashi.
  • 35' Jubilo Iwata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' Mitch Langerak is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 46' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Keiya Shiihashi is withdrawn and Patric gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Jubilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 52' The deadlock is broken! Sho Inagaki gets on the scoresheet on 52 minutes.
  • 57' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Jubilo Iwata backline.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Jordy Croux comes on to replace Masaya Matsumoto.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 68' Controversy at the stadium! Hassan Hilo argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 77' Ryo Watanabe makes way for Hiroki Yamada at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
  • 80' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Kensuke Nagai trudges off to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Jubilo Iwata make a change. Hiroto Uemura trudges off to be replaced by Matheus Peixoto on 82 minutes.
  • 87' It’s high time Akinobu Yokouchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' That is a card for Nagoya Grampus. Katsuhiro Nakayama will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Tsukasa Morishima has done his job and it is now time for Chang-rae Ha to step up.
  • Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Jubilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus54% Draw27% Jubilo Iwata19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Jubilo Iwata
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Jubilo Iwata
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus35% Draw49% Jubilo Iwata16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Jubilo Iwata covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
44%
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.