Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Jubilo Iwata

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 07:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Leo Gomes 40' Y

Y 43' Sho Sasaki

Ryo Germain 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Jubilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Jubilo Iwata 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-06-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Jubilo Iwata 2022-07-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Jubilo Iwata 2022-04-17 Jubilo Iwata 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-08-31 Jubilo Iwata 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Jubilo Iwata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–2	L
21 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
14 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–0	W
25 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L
17 Aug	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–4	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	A	2–1	W
28 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Jubilo Iwata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryo Germain, as he is very good at scoring at Yamaha Stadium with 7 goals in the last 5 games.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' Hayato Araki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
35' Jubilo Iwata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
40' The referee calls foul for Leo Gomes. He receives a card.
41' GOAL! Sho Sasaki scores on 41.
43' The referee calls foul for Sho Sasaki. He receives a card.
46' Naoto Arai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Goncalo Paciencia on 46 minute.
51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
52' GOAL! Ko Matsubara scores on 52. Assisted by Ricardo Graca
57' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
62' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Kaito Suzuki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
67' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
70' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Tolgay Arslan departs to be replaced by Pieros Sotiriou.
71' The Jubilo Iwata manager makes a substitution. Makito Ito departs to be replaced by Shunsuke Nishikubo.
76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
78' Mutsuki Kato puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
81' It’s gonna be a card for Ryo Germain.
81' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 81 minute. Tsukasa Shiotani leaves to be changed by Makoto Mitsuta.
82' The whistle greets Shun Nakamura as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Jose.
87' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
88' Hiroki Yamada has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroto Uemura on 88 minute.
90' Douglas Vieira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mutsuki Kato on 90 minute.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.

Lineups

Jubilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Naoto Arai 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 81'
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 70'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Douglas Vieira 90'

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 90'
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 46'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 81'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuto Suzuki	2
Sho Sasaki	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Ricardo Graca	1
Makoto Mitsuta	1
Fabian Gonzalez	1
Takuya Wada	1
Teerasil Dangda	1

Head to Head

Jubilo Iwata Form

2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-09-28 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Jubilo Iwata L 2024-09-21 Jubilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-14 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Jubilo Iwata W 2024-08-25 Jubilo Iwata 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2024-08-17 FC Machida Zelvia 4–0 Jubilo Iwata L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tōkyō W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 Jubilo Iwata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Jubilo Iwata25% Draw27% Sanfrecce Hiroshima48%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Jubilo Iwata or Draw

53%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

75%

Jubilo Iwata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Jubilo Iwata20% Draw48% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 1

10.6%

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

8.5%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata

Handicap	Jubilo Iwata covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.