Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Jubilo Iwata

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 07:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Leo Gomes 40' Y

Y 43' Sho Sasaki

Ryo Germain 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Jubilo Iwata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Jubilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Jubilo Iwata 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-06-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Jubilo Iwata 2022-07-02 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Jubilo Iwata 2022-04-17 Jubilo Iwata 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2019-08-31 Jubilo Iwata 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Jubilo Iwata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–2	L
21 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
14 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–0	W
25 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L
17 Aug	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–4	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Oct	Jubilo Iwata	A	2–1	W
28 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Sanfrecce Hiroshima gets underway.
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
10' Jubilo Iwata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' Keita Takahata has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sho Sasaki, as he is very good at scoring at Yamaha Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
40' That looks like a foul for a card for Leo Gomes.
41' GOAL! Sho Sasaki scores on 41.
43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sho Sasaki on 43.
46' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Naoto Arai on, Goncalo Paciencia off on 46 minutes.
51' Jubilo Iwata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
52' GOAL! Ko Matsubara scores on 52. Assisted by Ricardo Graca
57' Naoto Arai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Jubilo Iwata so far.
62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Jubilo Iwata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
67' Portugal international Goncalo Paciencia has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
70' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Tolgay Arslan departs to be replaced by Pieros Sotiriou.
71' The crowd applauds Makito Ito as he leaves the pitch. Shunsuke Nishikubo steps in for Jubilo Iwata.
76' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
78' A goal from the Japan international Mutsuki Kato! He fires home on 78 to make it 1-2!
81' Ryo Germain catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
81' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Tsukasa Shiotani is withdrawn and Makoto Mitsuta gets his opportunity.
82' The crowd applauds Shun Nakamura as he leaves the pitch. Bruno Jose steps in for Jubilo Iwata.
87' Jubilo Iwata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
88' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroki Yamada is hanging Hiroto Uemura on the field on 88 minute.
90' The crowd applauds Mutsuki Kato as he leaves the pitch. Douglas Vieira steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Jubilo Iwata.

Lineups

Jubilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Naoto Arai 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 81'
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 70'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Douglas Vieira 90'

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 70'
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 90'
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 46'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 81'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuto Suzuki	2
Sho Sasaki	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Koki Ogawa	1
Mutsuki Kato	1
Leandro Pereira	1
Ko Matsubara	1
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	1

Head to Head

Jubilo Iwata Form

2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-09-28 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Jubilo Iwata L 2024-09-21 Jubilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-14 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Jubilo Iwata W 2024-08-25 Jubilo Iwata 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2024-08-17 FC Machida Zelvia 4–0 Jubilo Iwata L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-10-06 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F.Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 Jubilo Iwata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Jubilo Iwata25% Draw27% Sanfrecce Hiroshima48%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Jubilo Iwata or Draw

53%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

75%

Jubilo Iwata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Jubilo Iwata20% Draw48% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 1

10.6%

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

8.5%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata

Handicap	Jubilo Iwata covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.