Italy vs England, European Championship 2021 FINAL
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs England — European Championship at Wembley.
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Carlos del Cerro
- Referee Bjorn Kuipers
- Referee Sander van Roekel
- Referee Erwin Zeinstra
- Referee Pol van Boekel
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
29%
Clean Sheets
England this season
England this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
England
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
England
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Wembley!
- 2' Brilliant from the ! Luke Shaw makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 2.
- 3' What composure from Luke Shaw! The England international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 8' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Italy side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 13' Bukayo Saka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 18' Italy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined England backline.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Italy and England are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gareth Southgate might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Ciro Immobile has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolo Barella argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 52' Giovanni Di Lorenzo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 54' Bryan Cristante gets the nod from Italy. He replaces Nicolo Barella and will look to change the dynamic.
- 55' A tactical swap from Italy — Domenico Berardi on, Ciro Immobile off on 55 minutes.
- 55' The referee calls foul for Leonardo Bonucci. He receives a Yellow card.
- 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 65' Mason Mount has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 67' GOAL! Leonardo Bonucci fires home to make it 1-2!
- 70' The England manager makes a substitution. Kieran Trippier departs to be replaced by Bukayo Saka.
- 71' England ring the changes. Kieran Trippier has done his job and it is now time for Bukayo Saka to step up.
- 74' The England bench stirs into life. Declan Rice is withdrawn and Jordan Henderson gets his opportunity.
- 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 84' Lorenzo Insigne was booked on 84.
- 86' Federico Bernardeschi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Federico Chiesa at the 86 minute mark.
- 90' It’s a booking for Italy player. Giorgio Chiellini gets a Yellow card.
- Full Time. Italy beats England
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
13
Emerson ↓ Alessandro Florenzi 118'
- 6
- 19
- 3
- 18
- 10
- 21
- 14
- 17
- 2
Bench
-
20
Federico Bernardeschi ↑ 86'
- 26
- 25
- 12
-
24
Alessandro Florenzi ↑ 118'
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 54'
- 1
-
9
Andrea Belotti ↑ 91'
- 15
-
5
Manuel Locatelli ↑ 96'
-
11
Domenico Berardi ↑ 55'
- 23
Coach
Roberto Mancini
England Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
2
Kyle Walker ↓ Jadon Sancho 120'
- 5
- 10
-
12
Kieran Trippier ↓ Bukayo Saka 70'
- 9
- 3
-
4
Declan Rice ↓ Jordan Henderson 74'
-
19
Mason Mount ↓ Jack Grealish 99'
- 14
Bench
-
8
Jordan Henderson ↑ 74'
- 23
- 13
- 15
- 18
- 11
- 16
-
7
Jack Grealish ↑ 99'
- 24
-
17
Jadon Sancho ↑ 120'
-
25
Bukayo Saka ↑ 70'
- 26
Coach
Gareth Southgate
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luke Shaw | 2 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
England xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
73%
Draw or England
50%
Italy or England
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: England win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | England covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
England keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.