Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Osnabrück 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Max Burda
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preußen Münster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | VfL Osnabrück | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | FC Hansa Rostock | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Hertha BSC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Holstein Kiel | A | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Mar | Hamburger SV | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Holstein-Stadion!
- 5' The referee has no hesitation. Finn Porath is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 5.
- 9' GOAL! Steven Skrzybski scores on 9. Assisted by Lewis Holtby
- 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 19' Sweden international Alexander Bernhardsson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 34' Holstein Kiel have won 170 goals from 277 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 37' It’s gonna be a card for Niklas Wiemann.
- 38' Philipp Sander has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 38 minutes.
- 40' Philipp Sander is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
- 45' Lewis Holtby is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
- 46' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Carl Johansson comes on to replace Finn Porath.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 60' Poor challenge from Robert Tesche. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kwasi Okyere Wriedt on 62.
- 63' Nicolai Remberg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shuto Machino at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Jannes Wulff. He replaces Robert Tesche on 70 minute.
- 75' It looks surprising VfL Osnabruck does not make any changes. Oumar Diakhite has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 76' Timo Becker adds to his 0 season tally! Holstein Kiel lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 76' Time for substitution for VfL Osnabruck. Christian Conteh is replaced by Noel Niemann.
- 81' Marvin Schulz is replacing Philipp Sander for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 84' Alexander Bernhardsson makes no mistake. The score reads 4-0 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
- 89' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Poor challenge from David Gnaase. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- VfL Osnabruck will have plenty to reflect on. Holstein Kiel were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 7
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Nicolai Remberg 63'
-
16
Philipp Sander ↓ Marvin Schulz 81'
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Carl Johansson 46'
- 17
-
18
Tom Rothe ↓ Mikkel Kirkeskov 63'
- 6
- 11
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 76'
- 31
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 81'
- 19
-
2
Mikkel Kirkeskov ↑ 63'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 63'
-
5
Carl Johansson ↑ 46'
- 23
- 29
Coach
Marcel Rapp
VfL Osnabrück Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
8
Robert Tesche ↓ Jannes Wulff 70'
- 14
- 26
-
17
Christian Conteh ↓ Noel Niemann 76'
- 25
- 22
- 5
- 4
- 9
- 3
Bench
-
10
Kwasi Okyere Wriedt ↑ 46'
- 6
- 1
-
2
Athanasios Androutsos ↑ 46'
- 13
-
7
Noel Niemann ↑ 76'
-
32
Jannes Wulff ↑ 70'
- 11
-
21
Lex-Tyger Lobinger ↑ 70'
Coach
Tim Danneberg
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
| David Gnaase | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| Philipp Sander | 1 |
| Timo Becker | 1 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 1 |
Holstein Kiel Form
VfL Osnabrück Form
2024-04-13
Holstein Kiel
4–0
VfL Osnabrück
L
2024-04-07
VfL Osnabrück
2–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
W
2024-03-31
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
0–1
VfL Osnabrück
W
2024-03-15
VfL Osnabrück
0–4
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2024-03-10
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–2
VfL Osnabrück
L
2024-03-03
Hamburger SV
1–2
VfL Osnabrück
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
VfL Osnabrück xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
85%
Draw or VfL Osnabrück
38%
Holstein Kiel or VfL Osnabrück
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | VfL Osnabrück covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 24% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
VfL Osnabrück keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.