FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 6 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Holstein Kiel | H | 5–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | SV Atlas Delmenhorst | A | 5–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–5 | L |
| 02 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FC Gutersloh | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #16 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 1 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 2 |
| 8 | Scored | 7 |
| 8 | Conceded | 10 |
| +0 | GD | -3 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 17% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 8th (7 pts). Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
| Taichi Hara | 2 G | 1 A |
| Martijn Kaars | 2 G | |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 2 G | |
| Marcus Mathisen | 1 G |
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion!
- 4' Connor Metcalfe adds to his 1 season tally! FC St. Pauli 1910 lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 7' Eric Smith does the damage! The net is bulging and FC St. Pauli 1910 surge ahead!
- 12' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 16' Finn Porath picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 21' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 27' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Eric Smith gets a card.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' What a strike from Oladapo Afolayan! The score is 3-0.
- 43' Germany international Ba-Muaka Simakala has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Sascha Burchert.
- 45' Lewis Holtby has so much to prove this time. He replaces Finn Porath on 45 minute.
- 47' Lewis Holtby picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Elias Saad on 49.
- 50' A goal from the Germany international Lewis Holtby! He fires home on 50 to make it 3-1!
- 55' It’s high time Fabian Hürzeler made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fabian Hürzeler will be considering his options from the bench.
- 68' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Nicolai Remberg comes on to replace Lewis Holtby.
- 69' GOAL! Lars Ritzka scores on 69. Assisted by Connor Metcalfe
- 71' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreas Albers is hanging Johannes Eggestein on the field on 71 minute.
- 73' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 77' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 77 minute. Elias Saad leaves to be changed by Etienne Amenyido.
- 82' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 83' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ba-Muaka Simakala is hanging Steven Skrzybski on the field on 83 minute.
- 87' The whistle greets Eric Smith as he departs to be replaced by Adam Dzwigala.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 21
- 10
- 24
-
8
Eric Smith ↓ Adam Dzwigala 87'
- 17
- 22
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Etienne Amenyido 77'
- 23
Bench
- –
- 30
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 87'
- 15
-
14
Etienne Amenyido ↑ 77'
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 71'
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 87'
- 32
- 29
Coach
Fabian Hürzeler
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Joshua Mees 45'
- 15
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lewis Holtby 45'
- 9
- 17
- 3
- 18
- 6
Bench
-
11
Ba-Muaka Simakala ↑ 83'
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 45'
- 20
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 45'
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 83'
- 21
- 22
- 23
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Phil Harres | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Taichi Hara | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
| Martijn Kaars | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2023-09-17
FC St. Pauli 1910
5–1
Holstein Kiel
W
2023-09-01
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2023-08-27
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
1. FC Magdeburg
D
2023-08-19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2023-08-12
SV Atlas Delmenhorst
0–5
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2023-08-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
D
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.48
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + FC St. Pauli 1910 to win 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
84%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
36%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Holstein Kiel
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 20% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

