FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
16 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 4.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Holstein Kiel | H | 5–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | SV Atlas Delmenhorst | A | 5–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–5 | L |
| 02 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FC Gutersloh | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Millerntor-Stadion as FC St. Pauli 1910 face off against Holstein Kiel in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 4' Connor Metcalfe puts FC St. Pauli 1910 on the lead.
- 7' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eric Smith makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 12' Karol Mets has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 16' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 16.
- 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabian Hürzeler might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 27' Eric Smith has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 27.
- 32' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's shape.
- 37' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Oladapo Afolayan makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' That is a card for FC St. Pauli 1910. Sascha Burchert will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Finn Porath exits the field as Lewis Holtby enters on 45.
- 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Lewis Holtby.
- 49' Elias Saad has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 49.
- 50' What a moment for Lewis Holtby! That strike on 50 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' With 1 assists to his name this season, Philipp Treu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 65' Holstein Kiel have won 170 goals from 277 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 68' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Lewis Holtby by Nicolai Remberg on 68 minute.
- 69' GOAL! Lars Ritzka scores on 69. Assisted by Connor Metcalfe
- 71' The crowd applauds Johannes Eggestein as he leaves the pitch. Andreas Albers steps in for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Rothe on 73 minutes.
- 77' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Elias Saad is withdrawn and Etienne Amenyido gets his opportunity.
- 82' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli 1910 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 83' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Steven Skrzybski exits the field as Ba-Muaka Simakala enters on 83.
- 87' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Adam Dzwigala on, Eric Smith off on 87 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 21
- 10
- 24
-
8
Eric Smith ↓ Adam Dzwigala 87'
- 17
- 22
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Etienne Amenyido 77'
- 23
Bench
- –
- 30
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 87'
- 15
-
14
Etienne Amenyido ↑ 77'
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 71'
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 87'
- 32
- 29
Coach
Fabian Hürzeler
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Joshua Mees 45'
- 15
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lewis Holtby 45'
- 9
- 17
- 3
- 18
- 6
Bench
-
11
Ba-Muaka Simakala ↑ 83'
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 45'
- 20
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 45'
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 83'
- 21
- 22
- 23
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2023-09-17
FC St. Pauli 1910
5–1
Holstein Kiel
W
2023-09-01
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2023-08-27
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
1. FC Magdeburg
D
2023-08-19
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2023-08-12
SV Atlas Delmenhorst
0–5
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2023-08-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
D
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + FC St. Pauli 1910 to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
83%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
38%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Holstein Kiel
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
1 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.