Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 17 Sep 2023 · 11:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert

Head-to-Head

4
1
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 4.8 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–5 L
02 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 2–1 W
25 Aug FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
20 Aug 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–4 L
12 Aug FC Gutersloh A 2–0 W
05 Aug SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 Holstein Kiel
#8 Position #16
7 Points 4
6 Played 6
1 / 4 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 4 / 2
8 Scored 7
8 Conceded 10
+0 GD -3
1.17 PPG 0.67
17% Win % 0%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 8th (7 pts). Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
Taichi Hara 2 G 1 A
Martijn Kaars 2 G
Abdoulie Ceesay 2 G
Marcus Mathisen 1 G
Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion!
  • 4' Connor Metcalfe adds to his 1 season tally! FC St. Pauli 1910 lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 7' Eric Smith does the damage! The net is bulging and FC St. Pauli 1910 surge ahead!
  • 12' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 16' Finn Porath picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 21' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Eric Smith gets a card.
  • 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 37' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 38' What a strike from Oladapo Afolayan! The score is 3-0.
  • 43' Germany international Ba-Muaka Simakala has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Sascha Burchert.
  • 45' Lewis Holtby has so much to prove this time. He replaces Finn Porath on 45 minute.
  • 47' Lewis Holtby picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Elias Saad on 49.
  • 50' A goal from the Germany international Lewis Holtby! He fires home on 50 to make it 3-1!
  • 55' It’s high time Fabian Hürzeler made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fabian Hürzeler will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Nicolai Remberg comes on to replace Lewis Holtby.
  • 69' GOAL! Lars Ritzka scores on 69. Assisted by Connor Metcalfe
  • 71' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreas Albers is hanging Johannes Eggestein on the field on 71 minute.
  • 73' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 77' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 77 minute. Elias Saad leaves to be changed by Etienne Amenyido.
  • 82' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 83' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ba-Muaka Simakala is hanging Steven Skrzybski on the field on 83 minute.
  • 87' The whistle greets Eric Smith as he departs to be replaced by Adam Dzwigala.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Holstein Kiel.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.48 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + FC St. Pauli 1910 to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191064% Draw20% Holstein Kiel16%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
84%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
36%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Holstein Kiel
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191051% Draw37% Holstein Kiel12%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 20% 52%
-1.5 48% — 52%
-1 48% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.