FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
5 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 31.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Holstein Kiel | H | 5–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | SV Atlas Delmenhorst | A | 5–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–5 | L |
| 02 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FC Gutersloh | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #18 |
| 12 | Points | 8 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 5 / 5 |
| 13 | Scored | 11 |
| 16 | Conceded | 14 |
| -3 | GD | -3 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 0.73 |
| 18% | Win % | 9% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 9th (12 pts). Holstein Kiel are 18th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
5/6
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 5 G | |
| Taichi Hara | 2 G | 1 A |
| Martijn Kaars | 2 G | |
| Marcus Mathisen | 1 G |
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli 1910 are looking to make home advantage count against Holstein Kiel.
- 4' A stunning finish from Connor Metcalfe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 7' Eric Smith is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 12' Marko Ivezic is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
- 16' That looks like a foul for a card for Finn Porath.
- 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 27' A moment of madness from Eric Smith on 27 minutes earns him a card. FC St. Pauli 1910 will be frustrated.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Timon Weiner suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' Magnificent from Oladapo Afolayan! That is 34 goals in 15 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 43' Benedikt Pichler has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Sascha Burchert gets a card.
- 45' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Holtby. He replaces Finn Porath on 45 minute.
- 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Lewis Holtby.
- 49' Elias Saad is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
- 50' A stunning finish from Lewis Holtby — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their trying to find a way past Holstein Kiel's compact .
- 68' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Lewis Holtby is replaced by Nicolai Remberg.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lars Ritzka makes it 4-1.
- 71' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Johannes Eggestein is replaced by Andreas Albers on 71 minute.
- 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Tom Rothe.
- 77' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 77 minute. Elias Saad leaves to be changed by Etienne Amenyido.
- 82' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 82 minutes.
- 83' Ba-Muaka Simakala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Steven Skrzybski at the 83 minute mark.
- 87' Eric Smith makes way for Adam Dzwigala at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC St. Pauli 1910.
- Game over. The scoreline of 5-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 21
- 10
- 24
-
8
Eric Smith ↓ Adam Dzwigala 87'
- 17
- 22
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Etienne Amenyido 77'
- 23
Bench
- –
- 30
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 87'
- 15
-
14
Etienne Amenyido ↑ 77'
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 71'
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 87'
- 32
- 29
Coach
Fabian Hürzeler
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Joshua Mees 45'
- 15
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lewis Holtby 45'
- 9
- 17
- 3
- 18
- 6
Bench
-
11
Ba-Muaka Simakala ↑ 83'
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 45'
- 20
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 45'
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 83'
- 21
- 22
- 23
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Phil Harres | 2 |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2023-09-17
FC St. Pauli 1910
5–1
Holstein Kiel
W
2023-09-01
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2023-08-27
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
1. FC Magdeburg
D
2023-08-19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2023-08-12
SV Atlas Delmenhorst
0–5
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2023-08-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
D
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + FC St. Pauli 1910 to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
83%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
38%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Holstein Kiel
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 20% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

