Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 23 Feb 2024 · 17:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 19102. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

4
Holstein Kiel 4 games · Avg 5.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–4 L
17 Feb SC Paderborn 07 A 4–0 W
11 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 1–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–1 D
28 Jan SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 1–2 L
19 Jan Eintracht Braunschweig H 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Holstein Kiel host FC St. Pauli 1910 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Manolis Saliakas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 273 appearances.
  • 10' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 11' A goal from the England international Oladapo Afolayan! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-1!
  • 16' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Karol Mets has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 34' The deadlock is broken! Marcel Hartel gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
  • 36' Magnificent from Oladapo Afolayan! That is 29 goals in 14 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Marvin Schulz on 45 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
  • 46' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Steven Skrzybski exits the field as Joshua Mees enters on 46.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact .
  • 53' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Machino gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
  • 57' A goal from the Australia international Connor Metcalfe! He fires home on 57 to make it 1-4!
  • 62' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' Joshua Mees is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 70' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Lewis Holtby departs to be replaced by Alexander Bernhardsson.
  • 72' Carlo Boukhalfa gets the nod from FC St. Pauli 1910. He replaces Connor Metcalfe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Lars Ritzka is replacing Oladapo Afolayan for the FC St. Pauli 1910 side.
  • 82' Magnificent from Alexander Bernhardsson! That is 11 goals in 277 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 84' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niklas Niehoff is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 84 minute.
  • 85' Adam Dzwigala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aljoscha Kemlein at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' That is a card for FC St. Pauli 1910. Manolis Saliakas will be fuming at that decision.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel30% Draw24% FC St. Pauli 191046%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
70%
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel25% Draw39% FC St. Pauli 191036%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 14% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.