Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
20 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 5.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 Feb | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Jan | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 5–6 | L |
| 27 Jan | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Holstein Kiel host FC St. Pauli 1910 — let the battle begin!
- 5' Manolis Saliakas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 273 appearances.
- 10' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 11' A goal from the England international Oladapo Afolayan! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-1!
- 16' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Karol Mets has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' The deadlock is broken! Marcel Hartel gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
- 36' Magnificent from Oladapo Afolayan! That is 29 goals in 14 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' A moment of madness from Marvin Schulz on 45 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
- 46' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Steven Skrzybski exits the field as Joshua Mees enters on 46.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact .
- 53' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Machino gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
- 57' A goal from the Australia international Connor Metcalfe! He fires home on 57 to make it 1-4!
- 62' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 65' Joshua Mees is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 70' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Lewis Holtby departs to be replaced by Alexander Bernhardsson.
- 72' Carlo Boukhalfa gets the nod from FC St. Pauli 1910. He replaces Connor Metcalfe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Lars Ritzka is replacing Oladapo Afolayan for the FC St. Pauli 1910 side.
- 82' Magnificent from Alexander Bernhardsson! That is 11 goals in 277 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 84' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niklas Niehoff is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 84 minute.
- 85' Adam Dzwigala is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aljoscha Kemlein at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' That is a card for FC St. Pauli 1910. Manolis Saliakas will be fuming at that decision.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Joshua Mees 46'
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Niklas Niehoff 84'
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↓ Philipp Sander 46'
- 1
- 8
- 17
- 22
- 18
- 34
Bench
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 46'
- 31
-
16
Philipp Sander ↑ 46'
- 32
- 3
- 23
- 6
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 84'
-
11
Alexander Bernhardsson ↑ 70'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 10
- 24
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Lars Ritzka 77'
- 22
- 2
- 36
- 23
Bench
- 11
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 77'
- 6
- 30
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 85'
- 15
- 19
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 72'
- 4
Coach
Fabian Hürzeler
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Danel Sinani | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-02-23
Holstein Kiel
3–4
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-02-18
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
W
2024-02-10
1. FC Magdeburg
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-02-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
W
2024-01-30
FC St. Pauli 1910
5–6
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2024-01-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
70%
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 19% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

