Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
5 games this season
🟨 5.6/game
⚽ 26.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 Feb | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Jan | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 5–6 | L |
| 27 Jan | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli 1910 | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #9 |
| 8 | Points | 12 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 1 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 3 |
| 11 | Scored | 13 |
| 14 | Conceded | 16 |
| -3 | GD | -3 |
| 0.73 | PPG | 1.09 |
| 9% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
Holstein Kiel are 18th (8 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 9th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
5/6
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
FC St. Pauli 1910
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 5 G | |
| Taichi Hara | 2 G | 1 A |
| Martijn Kaars | 2 G | |
| Marcus Mathisen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Holstein Kiel have kicked off against FC St. Pauli 1910. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Karol Mets needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 11' A goal from the England international Oladapo Afolayan! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-1!
- 16' Tom Rothe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 21' With 0 assists to his name this season, Manolis Saliakas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 26' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 31' Holstein Kiel currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 34' Goal! Marcel Hartel scores his 41 goal in 446 matches.
- 36' The England Oladapo Afolayan breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 0-3!
- 41' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Steven Skrzybski by Joshua Mees on 46 minute.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Niklas Niehoff made 290 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 53' GOAL! Shuto Machino fires home to make it 1-3!
- 57' What a moment for Connor Metcalfe! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 65' Joshua Mees doubles the advantage! 2-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 70' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Lewis Holtby departs to be replaced by Alexander Bernhardsson.
- 72' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Connor Metcalfe trudges off to be replaced by Carlo Boukhalfa on 72 minutes.
- 77' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Oladapo Afolayan trudges off to be replaced by Lars Ritzka on 77 minutes.
- 82' GOAL! Alexander Bernhardsson scores on 82. Assisted by Finn Porath
- 84' Niklas Niehoff gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Shuto Machino and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Aljoscha Kemlein is replaced by Adam Dzwigala on 85 minute.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Manolis Saliakas argues furiously but the card stands.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC St. Pauli 1910 take all three points.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Joshua Mees 46'
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Niklas Niehoff 84'
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↓ Philipp Sander 46'
- 1
- 8
- 17
- 22
- 18
- 34
Bench
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 46'
- 31
-
16
Philipp Sander ↑ 46'
- 32
- 3
- 23
- 6
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 84'
-
11
Alexander Bernhardsson ↑ 70'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 10
- 24
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Lars Ritzka 77'
- 22
- 2
- 36
- 23
Bench
- 11
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 77'
- 6
- 30
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 85'
- 15
- 19
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 72'
- 4
Coach
Fabian Hürzeler
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Phil Harres | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Johannes Eggestein | 1 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-02-23
Holstein Kiel
3–4
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-02-18
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
W
2024-02-10
1. FC Magdeburg
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-02-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
W
2024-01-30
FC St. Pauli 1910
5–6
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2024-01-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
54%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
70%
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 20% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.