Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 6 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
3 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 28.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 Feb | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Jan | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 5–6 | L |
| 27 Jan | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli 1910 | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 0 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 8 |
| 10 | Conceded | 8 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 0% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
17%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 8th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
FC St. Pauli 1910
| Taichi Hara | 2 G | 1 A |
| Martijn Kaars | 2 G | |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 2 G | |
| Marcus Mathisen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Holstein Kiel is hosting FC St. Pauli 1910 for another epic battle.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 11' FC St. Pauli 1910 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Oladapo Afolayan on 11.
- 16' Tom Rothe, a Germany , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolai Remberg made 75 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 26' Timon Weiner is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' The Germany Marcel Hartel breaks the deadlock on 34 minutes. 0-2!
- 36' A goal from the England international Oladapo Afolayan! He fires home on 36 to make it 0-3!
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 45.
- 46' Joshua Mees has so much to prove this time. He replaces Steven Skrzybski on 46 minute.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 53' GOAL! Shuto Machino fires home to make it 1-3!
- 57' Goal! Connor Metcalfe scores his 14 goal in 208 matches.
- 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
- 65' Joshua Mees adds to his 0 season tally! Holstein Kiel lead 2-4 — and this changes everything.
- 70' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Alexander Bernhardsson on, Lewis Holtby off on 70 minutes.
- 72' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Carlo Boukhalfa is hanging Connor Metcalfe on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Oladapo Afolayan is replaced by Lars Ritzka on 77 minute.
- 82' What a moment for Alexander Bernhardsson! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
- 84' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Shuto Machino is replaced by Niklas Niehoff on 84 minute.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Adam Dzwigala. He replaces Aljoscha Kemlein on 85 minute.
- 90' Manolis Saliakas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Another three points for FC St. Pauli 1910.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Joshua Mees 46'
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Niklas Niehoff 84'
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↓ Philipp Sander 46'
- 1
- 8
- 17
- 22
- 18
- 34
Bench
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 46'
- 31
-
16
Philipp Sander ↑ 46'
- 32
- 3
- 23
- 6
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 84'
-
11
Alexander Bernhardsson ↑ 70'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 10
- 24
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Lars Ritzka 77'
- 22
- 2
- 36
- 23
Bench
- 11
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 77'
- 6
- 30
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 85'
- 15
- 19
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 72'
- 4
Coach
Fabian Hürzeler
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Phil Harres | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Manolis Saliakas | 1 |
| Danel Sinani | 1 |
| Taichi Hara | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-02-23
Holstein Kiel
3–4
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-02-18
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
W
2024-02-10
1. FC Magdeburg
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-02-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
W
2024-01-30
FC St. Pauli 1910
5–6
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2024-01-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
52%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
72%
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 3
4.2%
1 – 4
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 13% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

