Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
- Assistant 2 Arno Blos
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Köln | H | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Jan | AC Sparta Praha | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 9' Patrik Schick makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
- 12' Magnus Knudsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 12.
- 17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
- 24' A moment of madness from David Zec on 24 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
- 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 34' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Bayer 04 Leverkusen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' What composure from Amine Adli! The Morocco international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past Bayer 04 Leverkusen's compact 4-4-2.
- 63' Jann-Fiete Arp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shuto Machino on 63 minute.
- 68' Germany international Robert Andrich has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 70' Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emiliano Buendia is hanging Amine Adli on the field on 70 minute.
- 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Dominik Javorcek.
- 75' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Armin Gigovic is replaced by Andu Yobel Kelati.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Piero Hincapie.
- 78' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Max Geschwill on, Dominik Javorcek off on 78 minutes.
- 82' A moment of madness from Marco Komenda on 82 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
- 83' The crowd applauds Patrik Schick as he leaves the pitch. Victor Boniface steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 63'
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Lewis Holtby 63'
- 3
- 33
- 37
- 22
- 19
- 23
- 6
-
26
David Zec ↓ Timo Becker 63'
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 63'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 63'
- 31
- 15
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 63'
- 21
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 78'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 75'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 8
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Victor Boniface 83'
- 20
- 12
- 30
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Emiliano Buendia 70'
- 17
- 10
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 70'
- 1
-
23
Nordi Mukiele ↑ 83'
- 7
- 24
- 5
- 25
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 83'
- 13
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
| Max Geschwill | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 1 |
| Amine Adli | 1 |
| Jonas Hofmann | 1 |
| Victor Boniface | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-02-22
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-15
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
FC Bayern München
D
2025-02-08
VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-02-05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–2
1. FC Köln
W
2025-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
AC Sparta Praha
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%
Holstein Kiel or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.