Monday , 14 September 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 28 Jul 2026 · 18:45 UTC Tynecastle Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 64' Simon Seidl
0–2 68' Emran Soglo

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League Q at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andris Treimanis

Head-to-Head

2
Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul SK Sturm Graz H 0–2 L
21 Jul SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
16 May Celtic FC A 1–3 L
13 May Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
09 May Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
04 May Rangers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–0 W
21 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
29 Jan SK Brann H 1–0 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
27 Nov Panathinaikos AO A 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
2/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Heart of Midlothian FC vs SK Sturm Graz — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabio Ingolitsch might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Stephen Kingsley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heart of Midlothian FC so far.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SK Sturm Graz winning 100% of all matches.
  • 20' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Brilliant from the ! Seedy Jatta makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 26.
  • 31' Szymon Wlodarczyk has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Stuart Findlay gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Stephen Kingsley and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Fosso. He replaces Luca Weinhandl on 46 minute.
  • 51' SK Sturm Graz is showing some good football. However, SK Sturm Graz are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' The 23-year-old Simon Seidl has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Albert Vallci.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Albert Vallci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' Brilliant from the ! Simon Seidl makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 64.
  • 68' Jordi Altena doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 69' The whistle greets Blair Spittal as he departs to be replaced by Tom Renaud.
  • 72' The SK Sturm Graz bench stirs into life. Szymon Wlodarczyk is withdrawn and Belmin Beganovic gets his opportunity.
  • 77' The SK Sturm Graz manager makes a substitution. Emran Soglo departs to be replaced by Arjan Malic.
  • 81' Jon Gorenc-Stankovic makes way for Julian Halwachs at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from SK Sturm Graz.
  • 86' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heart of Midlothian FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • Full Time. SK Sturm Graz beats Heart of Midlothian FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.08 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC or SK Sturm Graz 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC31% Draw31% SK Sturm Graz38%
Actual: SK Sturm Graz win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
62%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
69%
Heart of Midlothian FC or SK Sturm Graz
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC23% Draw51% SK Sturm Graz26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
31%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.