Tuesday , 28 July 2026

45 - Heart of Midlothian FC vs SK Sturm Graz, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 28 Jul 2026 · 18:45 UTC Tynecastle Park
0–1 26' Seedy Jatta

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs SK Sturm GrazChampions League Q at Tynecastle Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andris Treimanis
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Heart of Midlothian FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals SK Sturm Graz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul SK Sturm Graz A 0–1 L
16 May Celtic FC A 1–3 L
13 May Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
09 May Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
04 May Rangers FC H 2–1 W
26 Apr Hibernian FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
29 Jan SK Brann H 1–0 W
22 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
27 Nov Panathinaikos AO A 1–2 L
06 Nov Nottingham Forest FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heart of Midlothian FC and SK Sturm Graz has kicked off!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SK Sturm Graz winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' SK Sturm Graz is showing some good football. However, SK Sturm Graz are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' It looks surprising SK Sturm Graz does not make any changes. Stuart Findlay has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 26' Magnificent from Seedy Jatta! That is 2 goals in 142 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 31' Scotland international Harry Milne has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alexander Schwolow made 493 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The whistle greets Stephen Kingsley as he departs to be replaced by Stuart Findlay.

Lineups

Predictions

1.47 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 SK Sturm Graz xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

Heart of Midlothian FC49% Draw28% SK Sturm Graz23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.33

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
77%
Draw or SK Sturm Graz
51%
Heart of Midlothian FC or SK Sturm Graz
72%

Half-Time Result

Heart of Midlothian FC34% Draw50% SK Sturm Graz16%

Correct Score

1 – 0
13.2%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
11.8%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push SK Sturm Graz covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
43%
SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.