Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
25 Nov Hibernian FC H 2–0 W
22 Nov Kilmarnock FC A 3–1 W
09 Nov Aberdeen FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Dundee United FC H 2–0 W
25 Oct Livingston FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Motherwell FC A 0–0 D
23 Nov Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
09 Nov Dundee United FC H 1–1 D
01 Nov Dundee FC H 4–0 W
29 Oct St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
26 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#4 Position #1
54 Points 70
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
52 Scored 58
29 Conceded 28
+23 GD +30
1.64 PPG 2.12
42% Win % 64%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC39% Draw32% Heart of Midlothian FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
61%
Motherwell FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC24% Draw56% Heart of Midlothian FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.