VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at MHPArena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Eric Muller
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
25 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | FC Augsburg | A | 5–2 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Porto | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | FC Porto | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 62 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 11 / 14 |
| 71 | Scored | 40 |
| 49 | Conceded | 54 |
| +22 | GD | -14 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Hamburger SV kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. William Mikelbrencis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Nicolai Remberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rayan Philippe suffering a number of foals already.
- 22' GOAL! Angelo Stiller scores on 22. Assisted by Jamie Leweling
- 24' Chema Andres was booked on 24.
- 29' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 32' Goal! Chris Fuhrich scores his 26 goal in 398 matches.
- 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
- 42' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
- 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ramon Hendriks, as he is very good at scoring at MHPArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 52' Hamburger SV looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 56' GOAL! Maximilian Mittelstadt scores on 56. Assisted by Chris Fuhrich
- 60' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Rayan Philippe by Otto Stange on 60 minute.
- 65' Jamie Leweling has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 70' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Ermedin Demirovic by Tiago Tomas on 70 minute.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Capaldo. He replaces Daniel Elfadli on 72 minute.
- 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 80' Nicolas Capaldo is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 86' GOAL! Bilal El Khannouss scores on 86. Assisted by Tiago Tomas
- 88' Jeremy is replacing Deniz Undav for the VfB Stuttgart side.
- Full Time. VfB Stuttgart beats Hamburger SV
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↓ Tiago Tomas 70'
- 7
- 33
- 10
- 18
-
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Jeremy 88'
- 22
- 6
- 3
-
30
Chema Andres ↓ Nikolas Nartey 70'
Bench
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 88'
- 23
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↑ 70'
- 1
-
8
Tiago Tomas ↑ 70'
-
11
Bilal El Khannouss ↑ 70'
- 14
-
25
Jeremy ↑ 88'
- 29
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Hamburger SV Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
-
14
Rayan Philippe ↓ Otto Stange 60'
- 11
- 20
- 23
- 17
- 2
- 21
- 8
- 45
Bench
-
9
Robert Glatzel ↑ 60'
-
24
Nicolas Capaldo ↑ 72'
- 3
- 27
-
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili ↑ 72'
- 19
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 60'
- 40
- 43
Coach
Merlin Polzin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Fuhrich | 1 |
| Angelo Stiller | 1 |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 |
| Aaron Hunt | 1 |
| Nicolas Gonzalez | 1 |
| Hamadi Al Ghaddioui | 1 |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.33
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + VfB Stuttgart to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
84%
Draw or Hamburger SV
37%
VfB Stuttgart or Hamburger SV
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

