Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 15:30 UTC MHPArena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Angelo Stiller 22' 1–0
Chris Fuhrich 32' 2–0
Bilal El Khannouss 86' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Eric Muller
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
04 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Mar FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
19 Mar FC Porto A 0–2 L
15 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
12 Mar FC Porto H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
21 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Mar 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Hamburger SV
#15 Position #16
3 Points 3
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
6 Scored 2
9 Conceded 13
-3 GD -11
0.75 PPG 0.75
25% Win % 25%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, Hamburger SV does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Ermedin Demirovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 39 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 22' Magnificent from Angelo Stiller! That is 11 goals in 546 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 24' The referee calls foul for Chema Andres. He receives a card.
  • 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' A goal from the Germany international Chris Fuhrich! He fires home on 32 to make it 2-0!
  • 37' A quiet spell here at MHPArena. Hamburger SV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Giorgi Gocholeishvili has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 47' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 52' Warmed Omari is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
  • 56' The deadlock is broken! Maximilian Mittelstadt gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
  • 60' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Rayan Philippe departs to be replaced by Otto Stange.
  • 65' Hamburger SV come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Ermedin Demirovic as he leaves the pitch. Tiago Tomas steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 72' Another change for Hamburger SV made on 72 minute. Daniel Elfadli leaves to be changed by Nicolas Capaldo.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas Capaldo.
  • 85' VfB Stuttgart started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
  • 86' Goal! Bilal El Khannouss scores his 7 goal in 17 matches.
  • 88' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 88 minute. Deniz Undav leaves to be changed by Jeremy.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.63 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart69% Draw18% Hamburger SV13%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
88%
Draw or Hamburger SV
31%
VfB Stuttgart or Hamburger SV
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart55% Draw36% Hamburger SV9%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.1%
3 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
5 – 0
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 21% 46%
-1.5 54% — 46%
-1 54% 21% 25%
-0.5 75% — 25%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.