Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 15:30 UTC MHPArena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Angelo Stiller 22' 1–0
Chris Fuhrich 32' 2–0
Bilal El Khannouss 86' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SVBundesliga at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Eric Muller
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
04 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Mar FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
19 Mar FC Porto A 0–2 L
15 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
12 Mar FC Porto H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
21 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Mar 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Hamburger SV
#4 Position #13
62 Points 38
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
71 Scored 40
49 Conceded 54
+22 GD -14
1.82 PPG 1.12
53% Win % 26%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/
16-30
/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Hamburger SV kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. William Mikelbrencis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Nicolai Remberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rayan Philippe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' GOAL! Angelo Stiller scores on 22. Assisted by Jamie Leweling
  • 24' Chema Andres was booked on 24.
  • 29' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 32' Goal! Chris Fuhrich scores his 26 goal in 398 matches.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 42' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ramon Hendriks, as he is very good at scoring at MHPArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 52' Hamburger SV looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 56' GOAL! Maximilian Mittelstadt scores on 56. Assisted by Chris Fuhrich
  • 60' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Rayan Philippe by Otto Stange on 60 minute.
  • 65' Jamie Leweling has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 70' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Ermedin Demirovic by Tiago Tomas on 70 minute.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Capaldo. He replaces Daniel Elfadli on 72 minute.
  • 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' Nicolas Capaldo is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' GOAL! Bilal El Khannouss scores on 86. Assisted by Tiago Tomas
  • 88' Jeremy is replacing Deniz Undav for the VfB Stuttgart side.
  • Full Time. VfB Stuttgart beats Hamburger SV

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.33 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + VfB Stuttgart to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart63% Draw21% Hamburger SV16%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
84%
Draw or Hamburger SV
37%
VfB Stuttgart or Hamburger SV
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart48% Draw39% Hamburger SV13%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 19% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 22% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
36%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.