VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at MHPArena.
- VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Eric Muller
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | FC Augsburg | A | 5–2 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Porto | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | FC Porto | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #16 |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 3 |
| 6 | Scored | 2 |
| 9 | Conceded | 13 |
| -3 | GD | -11 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 25% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 1 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G | |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, Hamburger SV does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Ermedin Demirovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 39 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 22' Magnificent from Angelo Stiller! That is 11 goals in 546 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 24' The referee calls foul for Chema Andres. He receives a card.
- 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' A goal from the Germany international Chris Fuhrich! He fires home on 32 to make it 2-0!
- 37' A quiet spell here at MHPArena. Hamburger SV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Giorgi Gocholeishvili has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 52' Warmed Omari is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
- 56' The deadlock is broken! Maximilian Mittelstadt gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
- 60' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Rayan Philippe departs to be replaced by Otto Stange.
- 65' Hamburger SV come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 70' The crowd applauds Ermedin Demirovic as he leaves the pitch. Tiago Tomas steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
- 72' Another change for Hamburger SV made on 72 minute. Daniel Elfadli leaves to be changed by Nicolas Capaldo.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas Capaldo.
- 85' VfB Stuttgart started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
- 86' Goal! Bilal El Khannouss scores his 7 goal in 17 matches.
- 88' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 88 minute. Deniz Undav leaves to be changed by Jeremy.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↓ Tiago Tomas 70'
- 7
- 33
- 10
- 18
-
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Jeremy 88'
- 22
- 6
- 3
-
30
Chema Andres ↓ Nikolas Nartey 70'
Bench
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 88'
- 23
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↑ 70'
- 1
-
8
Tiago Tomas ↑ 70'
-
11
Bilal El Khannouss ↑ 70'
- 14
-
25
Jeremy ↑ 88'
- 29
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Hamburger SV Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
-
14
Rayan Philippe ↓ Otto Stange 60'
- 11
- 20
- 23
- 17
- 2
- 21
- 8
- 45
Bench
-
9
Robert Glatzel ↑ 60'
-
24
Nicolas Capaldo ↑ 72'
- 3
- 27
-
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili ↑ 72'
- 19
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 60'
- 40
- 43
Coach
Merlin Polzin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 |
| Aaron Hunt | 1 |
| Nicolas Gonzalez | 1 |
| Hamadi Al Ghaddioui | 1 |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 1 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 1 |
| Angelo Stiller | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.63
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
88%
Draw or Hamburger SV
31%
VfB Stuttgart or Hamburger SV
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.1%
3 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
5 – 0
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

