Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | SC Recife | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jul | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gremio FBPA launch into their encounter with SC Recife.
- 5' Gremio FBPA have won 387 goals from 330 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Leo Augusto, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' It’s high time Mano Menezes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 36' Poor challenge from Alysson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' Igor Carius has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 46' Brazil international Gabriel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 51' Matheusinho puts SC Recife on the lead.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 58' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Cristian Olivera by Carlos Vinicius on 58 minute.
- 63' Over 63 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 69' Chrystian Barletta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leo Augusto on 69 minute.
- 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Paulista will be considering his options from the bench.
- 78' Another change for SC Recife made on 78 minute. Matheusinho leaves to be changed by Pedro Augusto.
- 83' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gremio FBPA and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 84' Gremio FBPA make a change. Camilo trudges off to be replaced by Francis Amuzu on 84 minutes.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Martin Braithwaite on 86 minutes.
- 89' Fresh legs for SC Recife! Joao Silva comes on to replace ze Lucas.
- With this win, SC Recife is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 13
- 22
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 3
- 99
- 65
- 47
Bench
- 6
- 80
- 21
- 95
- 10
- 9
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 35
- 44
- 16
Coach
Mano Menezes
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
- 15
- 16
- 10
- 33
- 38
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Pablo Felipe 89'
-
17
Matheusinho ↓ Pedro Augusto 78'
- 14
-
58
ze Lucas ↓ Joao Silva 89'
Bench
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 89'
- 19
- 11
- 22
- 9
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 78'
- 3
-
6
Joao Silva ↑ 89'
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 69'
- 13
- 20
Coach
Daniel Paulista
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jair | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Pepe | 2 |
| Matheus Henrique | 1 |
| Douglas Costa | 1 |
| Thonny Anderson | 1 |
| Mikael | 1 |
| Juninho Capixaba | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.07
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
SC Recife xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or SC Recife 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Recife win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Recife
68%
Gremio FBPA or SC Recife
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | SC Recife covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.