Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 23' Jadson
Y 33' Rodrigo Sam
Edenilson 37' Y
Y 45' Alan Ruschel
Y 45' Rafael Bilu
Y 59' Marcos Paulo
Alysson 61' Y
Y 63' Giovanny
YR 70' Marcos Paulo

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct EC Juventude H 3–1 W
19 Oct EC Bahia A 0–4 L
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
20 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
17 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
11 Oct SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
01 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Arena do Gremio. Gremio FBPA are looking to make home advantage count against EC Juventude.
  • 5' Peixoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tiago Volpi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Enio has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 346 appearances.
  • 20' Rodrigo Sam has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 23' Jadson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
  • 27' Gabriel Taliari was booked on 27.
  • 32' EC Juventude come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 33' Rodrigo Sam picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 35' Carlos Vinicius makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
  • 37' Poor challenge from Edenilson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Alan Ruschel is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Jadson departs to be replaced by Giovanny.
  • 48' What an equalizer from Carlos Vinicius!
  • 52' Carlos Vinicius is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
  • 57' EC Juventude are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Marcos Paulo on 59 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
  • 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alysson on 61.
  • 63' The referee calls foul for Giovanny. He receives a card.
  • 65' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Enio comes on to replace Rafael Bilu.
  • 66' Hudson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Caique at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' Carlos Vinicius adds to his 4 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 70' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' Luan Freitas gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Gabriel Taliari and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Carlos Vinicius by Andre on 74 minute.
  • 75' Cristian Pavon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alysson on 75 minute.
  • 79' Igor Formiga adds to his 2 season tally! EC Juventude lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPAAlexander Aravena on, Francis Amuzu off on 80 minutes.
  • 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 86 minute. Arthur leaves to be changed by Gustavo Cuellar.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA56% Draw24% EC Juventude20%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
80%
Draw or EC Juventude
44%
Gremio FBPA or EC Juventude
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA39% Draw44% EC Juventude17%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
36%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.