Gremio FBPA vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- EC Juventude 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena do Gremio. Gremio FBPA are looking to make home advantage count against EC Juventude.
- 5' Peixoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tiago Volpi suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Enio has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 346 appearances.
- 20' Rodrigo Sam has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 23' Jadson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
- 27' Gabriel Taliari was booked on 27.
- 32' EC Juventude come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 33' Rodrigo Sam picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 35' Carlos Vinicius makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
- 37' Poor challenge from Edenilson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Alan Ruschel is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Jadson departs to be replaced by Giovanny.
- 48' What an equalizer from Carlos Vinicius!
- 52' Carlos Vinicius is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 57' EC Juventude are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 59' A moment of madness from Marcos Paulo on 59 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
- 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alysson on 61.
- 63' The referee calls foul for Giovanny. He receives a card.
- 65' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Enio comes on to replace Rafael Bilu.
- 66' Hudson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Caique at the 66 minute mark.
- 67' Carlos Vinicius adds to his 4 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 70' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
- 72' Luan Freitas gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Gabriel Taliari and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Carlos Vinicius by Andre on 74 minute.
- 75' Cristian Pavon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alysson on 75 minute.
- 79' Igor Formiga adds to his 2 season tally! EC Juventude lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 80' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Alexander Aravena on, Francis Amuzu off on 80 minutes.
- 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 86' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 86 minute. Arthur leaves to be changed by Gustavo Cuellar.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 17
- 29
- 95
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 19
- 47
Bench
- 6
- 7
- 10
- 25
- 15
- 3
- 53
- 77
- 11
- 99
- 16
- 31
Coach
Mano Menezes
EC Juventude Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
9
Gilberto ↓ Joao Paulo 65'
-
19
Gabriel Taliari ↓ Luan Freitas 72'
- 13
- 28
-
99
Rafael Bilu ↓ Enio 65'
- 47
- 32
- 34
- 95
- 72
Bench
- 93
- 10
-
11
Giovanny ↑ 46'
-
97
Enio ↑ 65'
- 6
- 7
-
3
Luan Freitas ↑ 72'
- 23
- 22
- 21
-
55
Hudson ↑ 66'
-
90
Joao Paulo ↑ 65'
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Carlos Vinicius | 3 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Joao Lucas | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Matheus Peixoto | 1 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 1 |
| Paulinho | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
EC Juventude xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
80%
Draw or EC Juventude
44%
Gremio FBPA or EC Juventude
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Juventude covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

