Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SE Palmeiras
4 – 1
Full Time
EC Juventude
Sat 11 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 43' Rodrigo Sam
Micael 71' Y
Y 82' Alan Ruschel

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

7
1
SE Palmeiras 8 games · Avg 3.8 goals EC Juventude
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 EC Juventude 2024-10-20 EC Juventude 3–5 SE Palmeiras 2024-06-23 SE Palmeiras 3–1 EC Juventude 2022-09-11 SE Palmeiras 2–1 EC Juventude 2022-05-21 EC Juventude 0–3 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct EC Juventude H 4–1 W
05 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 3–2 W
01 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
28 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
EC Juventude
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
01 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
27 Sep SC Internacional H 1–1 D
21 Sep Mirassol FC A 0–2 L
14 Sep CR Flamengo H 0–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between SE Palmeiras and EC Juventude is underway.
  • 5' EC Juventude is showing some good football. However, EC Juventude are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' GOAL! Raphael Veiga fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 32' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past EC Juventude's compact .
  • 37' Agustin Giay has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 196 appearances.
  • 42' EC Juventude are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' The referee shows EC Juventude player a card on 43.
  • 44' Against the run of play, Bruno Rodrigues has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 49' Bruno Fuchs has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 53' Another substitution for EC Juventude to replace Juan Sforza by Nene on 53 minute.
  • 56' Felipe Anderson makes no mistake. The score reads 4-0 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alan Ruschel, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Parque with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 63' Alan Ruschel gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Gilberto and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Luighi Hanri gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Bruno Rodrigues and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Micael will be fuming at that decision.
  • 76' Rodrigo Sam adds to his 0 season tally! EC Juventude lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Felipe Anderson departs to be replaced by Erick Machado.
  • 82' Alan Ruschel is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 84' Peixoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Caique on 84 minute.
  • 89' Igor Formiga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 28 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • With this win, SE Palmeiras is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

EC Juventude Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Claudio Tencati

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 4
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 2
Guilherme Castilho 2
Roni 2
Felipe Anderson 2
Bruno Rodrigues 2
Breno Lopes 2
Estevao 2

Head to Head

2025-10-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 EC Juventude 2024-10-20 EC Juventude 3–5 SE Palmeiras 2024-06-23 SE Palmeiras 3–1 EC Juventude 2022-09-11 SE Palmeiras 2–1 EC Juventude 2022-05-21 EC Juventude 0–3 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-10-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 EC Juventude W 2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-10-01 SE Palmeiras 3–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras L 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-09-13 SE Palmeiras 4–1 SC Internacional W

EC Juventude Form

2025-10-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 EC Juventude L 2025-10-05 EC Juventude 1–2 Fortaleza EC L 2025-10-01 CA Mineiro 0–0 EC Juventude D 2025-09-27 EC Juventude 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-09-21 Mirassol FC 2–0 EC Juventude L 2025-09-14 EC Juventude 0–2 CR Flamengo L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.28 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras67% Draw20% EC Juventude13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or EC Juventude
33%
SE Palmeiras or EC Juventude
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras48% Draw39% EC Juventude13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 22% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.