Sunday , 16 August 2026

SE Palmeiras vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 11 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 43' Rodrigo Sam
Micael 71' Y
Y 82' Alan Ruschel

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct EC Juventude H 4–1 W
05 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 3–2 W
01 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
28 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
01 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
27 Sep SC Internacional H 1–1 D
21 Sep Mirassol FC A 0–2 L
14 Sep CR Flamengo H 0–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Allianz Parque. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SE Palmeiras and EC Juventude.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' EC Juventude fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' It’s high time Claudio Tencati made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 27' Raphael Veiga has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 27 minutes.
  • 32' EC Juventude is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Ferreira will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' Poor challenge from Rodrigo Sam. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruno Rodrigues makes it 2-0.
  • 49' What a strike from Bruno Fuchs! The score is 3-0.
  • 53' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Juan Sforza departs to be replaced by Nene.
  • 56' What a moment for Felipe Anderson! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Another change for EC Juventude made on 63 minute. Gilberto leaves to be changed by Alan Ruschel.
  • 65' SE Palmeiras make a change. Bruno Rodrigues trudges off to be replaced by Luighi Hanri on 65 minutes.
  • 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 71' Controversy at the stadium! Micael argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 76' The Brazil Rodrigo Sam breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 4-1!
  • 80' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Erick Machado comes on to replace Felipe Anderson.
  • 82' A moment of madness from Alan Ruschel on 82 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
  • 84' Time for substitution for EC Juventude. Caique is replaced by Peixoto.
  • 89' Micael has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.28 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras67% Draw20% EC Juventude13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or EC Juventude
33%
SE Palmeiras or EC Juventude
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras48% Draw39% EC Juventude13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 22% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
39%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.